Long Trade on ARB

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02 Aug 2026 at 02:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ARB (momentum_rotation_score)

With 4175.95 ARB at 0.082$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08013 (2.34 %)

ARB LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Aug 2026 02:10 → 05:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.08205$

Qty 4175.9538 ARB

Size 342.637$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 342.64$

SL 0.08013 (-2.34%)

SL $ 8.02$

Status loss PnL -0.35% / -1.21$ MAE -0.72% MFE +0.23% 0.1R expires 02 Aug 05:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 56190)

#3 / 35 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 02/08/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6911

Quality Score

0.769

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

88 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

2.8M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
02/08 02:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#3 / 35 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

88 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-5 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.34 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#3 / 35 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

88 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-5 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.34 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	0.07×ATR
4h	clear	5.50×ATR
1d	clear	28.93×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
4h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 02:00 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

02/08 02:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 02/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 02/08 01:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

01/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

02/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

02/08 01:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1230

range compression range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	bear	expansion	—	-1
Tactical	range	range	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.57

Transition risk : 0.43

Score contribution (this trade) -1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.49

Snapshot évalué : 02/08 02:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 02/08/2026 02:00

Score brut

0.7692

Score SMA

0.5646

Rank

#3 / 35

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.6911

Rank Norm SMA

0.6964

Calculé le

02/08/2026 02:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6570	r1h: 0.778% · r4h: 2.602% · r1d: 4.95% · r3d: 3.35% · ema21_slope: 0.1349% · dist_ema21: 2.942%
Force Relative	25%	0.6736	rs_1h: 1.044% · rs_4h: 1.923% · rs_1d: 4.33% · rs_3d: 4.31% · beta_24h: 0.986
Volume	20%	1.0000	rvol_20: 3.27× · zscore_50: 3.575 · trend: 102.33%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6916	ADX: 23.0 (weak) · Chop: 15.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 0.835% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -2.340% (0.0019)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-0.719%	0.3R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-0.719%	0.3R	0.0×	24
3h ★	+0.232%	0.1R	-0.719%	0.3R	0.3×	36
4h	+0.232%	0.1R	-0.719%	0.3R	0.3×	48
8h	+0.232%	0.1R	-1.280%	0.6R	0.2×	96
12h	+0.232%	0.1R	-2.316%	1.0R	0.1×	144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60

ML Pullback Score: 0.11

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 39%	mid	near 0.0ATR	—	0.71	bear_high	-6.42%	-0.88	01/08 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 41%	late	—	—	0.67	bear_high	-0.87%	+0.32	02/08 00:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	fading	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	56%	noisy_chop 51%	late	—	near 0.1ATR	0.60	range_low	-0.26%	+0.37	02/08 01:00
15m	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	expansion_after_compression	bull_medium_confirmed	63%	choppy 50%	late	—	—	—	range_low	+0.51%	+0.24	02/08 01:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	21b	—	5.355×ATR	p72	-0.198×ATR	p25
4h	↑ up	late	10b	—	4.407×ATR	p79	+1.586×ATR	p96
1h	↑ up	late	6b	—	4.385×ATR	p90	+1.873×ATR	p98
15m	↑ up	late	21b	—	7.291×ATR	p96	+1.903×ATR	p96

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.08013427
atr: 0.00063858
expires_at: 2026-08-02T09:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 5
total: 35
score: 0.657
confidence: 0.882

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.08205	0.08013			0.1838

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.08205
Stop Loss: 0.08013
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.08013 - 0.08205 = -0.00192
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.08205 - = 0.08205
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08205 / -0.00192 = -42.7344

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
342.637	100	4175.9538	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.00192

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00192 = -4166.67

Taille de position USD = -4166.67 x 0.08205 = -341.88

Donc, tu peux acheter -4166.67 avec un stoploss a 0.08013

Avec un position size USD de -341.88$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -4166.67 x -0.00192 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -4166.67 x 0.08205 = -341.88

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -341.88$

Résumé

Taille de position -4166.67
Taille de position USD -341.88
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel -341.88
Risk-Reward Ratio -42.7344

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	342.64 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
2.34 %	8.02 $

PNL	PNL %
-1.21 $	-0.35

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.7191 %	30.73 %	1

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.08205	0.08013			0.1838

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.08205
Stop Loss: 0.08013
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.08013 - 0.08205 = -0.00192
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.08205 - = 0.08205
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08205 / -0.00192 = -42.7344

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.08205
            [stop_loss] => 0.079938
            [rr_ratio] => 38.85
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-02 06:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.08205
            [stop_loss] => 0.079746
            [rr_ratio] => 35.61
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-02 06:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.08205
            [stop_loss] => 0.079554
            [rr_ratio] => 32.87
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-02 06:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.08205
            [stop_loss] => 0.07917
            [rr_ratio] => 28.49
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-02 06:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -2.340% (0.0019)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-0.719%	0.3R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-0.719%	0.3R	0.0×	24
3h ★	+0.232%	0.1R	-0.719%	0.3R	0.3×	36
4h	+0.232%	0.1R	-0.719%	0.3R	0.3×	48
8h	+0.232%	0.1R	-1.280%	0.6R	0.2×	96
12h	+0.232%	0.1R	-2.316%	1.0R	0.1×	144

computed 2 months ago

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