Long Trade on kSHIB (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 45792.79 kSHIB at 0.005$ per unit. Take profit: 0.005125 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.004825 (3.5 %)
02 Aug 2026 at 04:10:04
hyperliquid
kSHIB
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Aug 2026 04:10
→ 04:15
· 4 minutes
Position
Entry 0.005$
Qty 45792.7876 kSHIB
Size 228.9639$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.005125 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.72$
SL 0.004825 (-3.5%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.71
Status
loss
PnL
-0.18%
/ -0.41$
MAE -0.96%
MFE +0.20%
0.1R
expires
02 Aug 04:20
Exit
rank_decay: long rank=13 > threshold=10/37
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 56271)
#13 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/08/2026 04:00
score du 02/08/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5712
Quality Score
0.601
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/08 04:00
02/08 04:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#13 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.50 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#13 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.50 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.79×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 4.41×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 04:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/08 03:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1232
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.49
Snapshot évalué :
02/08 04:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
02/08/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.6005
Score SMA
0.6077
Rank
#13
/ 37
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5712
Rank Norm SMA
0.7624
Calculé le
02/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6583 | r1h: 0.281% · r4h: 2.566% · r1d: 2.57% · r3d: 8.75% · ema21_slope: 0.0277% · dist_ema21: 1.778% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6614 | rs_1h: 0.220% · rs_4h: 2.448% · rs_1d: 1.78% · rs_3d: 9.48% · beta_24h: 1.064 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2227 | rvol_20: 0.15× · zscore_50: -0.432 · trend: -11.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6209 | ADX: 36.8 (trend) · Chop: 61.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.491% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -3.500%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.160% | 0.1R | -0.960% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.160% | 0.1R | -0.960% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.200% | 0.1R | -0.960% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.380% | 0.4R | -2.120% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.380% | 0.4R | -2.120% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.42
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.72 | bear_high | -5.71% | +0.93 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -0.91% | +0.66 | 02/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.24 | range_low | -0.07% | -0.01 | 02/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bull_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 49% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.59% | +0.17 | 02/08 03:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 2.956×ATR | p11 | +0.694×ATR | p67 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 1.098×ATR | p0 | +0.629×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 2.712×ATR | p60 | +0.893×ATR | p76 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 0.622×ATR | p0 | +0.608×ATR | p56 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.005 | 0.004825 | 0.005125 | 0.71 | 0.005086 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.005
- Stop Loss: 0.004825
- Take Profit: 0.005125
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.004825 - 0.005 = -0.000175
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.005 - 0.005125 = -0.000125
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000125 / -0.000175 = 0.7143
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 228.9639 | 100 | 45792.7876 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.000175
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000175 = -45714.29
Taille de position USD = -45714.29 x 0.005 = -228.57
Donc, tu peux acheter -45714.29 avec un stoploss a 0.004825
Avec un position size USD de -228.57$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -45714.29 x -0.000175 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -45714.29 x -0.000125 = 5.71
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.71$
Résumé
- Taille de position -45714.29
- Taille de position USD -228.57
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.71
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7143
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.72 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.5 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.41 $ | -0.18 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.26 % | 7.43 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.005 | 0.004825 | 0.005125 | 0.71 | 0.005086 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.005
- Stop Loss: 0.004825
- Take Profit: 0.005125
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.004825 - 0.005 = -0.000175
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.005 - 0.005125 = -0.000125
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000125 / -0.000175 = 0.7143
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -3.500%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.160% | 0.1R | -0.960% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.160% | 0.1R | -0.960% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.200% | 0.1R | -0.960% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.380% | 0.4R | -2.120% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.380% | 0.4R | -2.120% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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