Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 587371.51 PUMP at 0.00216$ per unit. Take profit: 0.00219 (1.25 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002149 (0.65 %)
Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 587371.51 PUMP at 0.00216$ per unit. Take profit: 0.00219 (1.25 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002149 (0.65 %)
Position
Entry 0.002163$
Qty 587371.5125 PUMP
Size 1270.4846$ (margin 100$) (leverage 13)
Risk Setup
TP 0.00219 (+1.25%)
TP $ 15.86$
SL 0.002149 (-0.65%)
SL $ 8.22$
RR 1.93
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7538
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.86×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 06:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.163197 15m : 0.194213 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/08 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6540 | r1h: 0.549% · r4h: -2.138% · r1d: 0.83% · r3d: 15.57% · ema21_slope: 0.2186% · dist_ema21: 0.893% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6101 | rs_1h: 0.423% · rs_4h: -1.843% · rs_1d: 0.48% · rs_3d: 17.58% · beta_24h: 2.004 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1902 | rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.787 · trend: -18.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6762 | ADX: 26.4 (trend) · Chop: 43.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.040% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.046% | 0.1R | -0.971% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.046% | 0.1R | -1.017% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.046% | 0.1R | -1.572% | 2.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.063% | 1.6R | -1.572% | 2.4R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.063% | 1.6R | -2.404% | 3.7R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.61 | bear_high | -5.71% | +1.00 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -1.37% | +0.94 | 02/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.31 | range_low | -0.47% | +0.15 | 02/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.14 | range_low | +0.15% | -0.28 | 02/08 05:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 19b | — | 5.005×ATR | p80 | +1.072×ATR | p87 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.784×ATR | p0 | +0.45×ATR | p41 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.12×ATR | p35 | -0.086×ATR | p10 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.729×ATR | p8 | +0.258×ATR | p25 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63306.1
-0.00199245
63180
0.163197
63139
0.000647778
63180
0.194213
63568.7
-0.00613052
63179
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1
8
1
0.5141
0.5477
5.1003
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5.5296
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0.4511
0.2624
0.26
0.002
0.5528
0.4708
0.7227
0.7568
-2.8816
8.9649
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:15 | 0.00216300 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:21 | 0.00216100 | -0.092% |
| 3 | 06:27 | 0.00215600 | -0.324% |
| 4 | 06:33 | 0.00215300 | -0.462% |
| 5 | 06:39 | 0.00215500 | -0.37% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 05:35:00 | 0.002236 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 06:10:00 | 0.002225 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:15:00 | 0.002169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:30:00 | 0.002196 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 08:15:00 | 0.002167 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 08:20:00 | 0.002193 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 08:45:00 | 0.002172 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 09:25:00 | 0.002207 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 0.002161 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 10:15:00 | 0.002161 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 19:45:00 | 0.002126 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 20:30:00 | 0.002085 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 21:45:00 | 0.002135 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:45:00 | 0.002111 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:15:00 | 0.002288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 04:15:00 | 0.002211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 0.002283 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 08:15:00 | 0.002167 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 09:15:00 | 0.002207 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 0.002161 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 08:00:00 | 0.001871 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 20:00:00 | 0.002043 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 03:00:00 | 0.002043 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 09:00:00 | 0.001972 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 17:00:00 | 0.002167 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 22:00:00 | 0.002024 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 0.002249 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.002041 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 0.002288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 0.002161 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002163 | 0.002149 | 0.00219 | 1.93 | 0.004528 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002149 - 0.002163 = -1.4E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002163 - 0.00219 = -2.7E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.7E-5 / -1.4E-5 = 1.9286
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1270.4846 | 100 | 587371.5125 | 13.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.4E-5 = -571428.57
Taille de position USD = -571428.57 x 0.002163 = -1236
Donc, tu peux acheter -571428.57 avec un stoploss a 0.002149
Avec un position size USD de -1236$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -571428.57 x -1.4E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -571428.57 x -2.7E-5 = 15.43
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.43$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.25 % | 15.86 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.65 % | 8.22 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.22 $ | -0.65 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6935 % | 107.15 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002163 | 0.002149 | 0.00219 | 1.93 | 0.004528 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002149 - 0.002163 = -1.4E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002163 - 0.00219 = -2.7E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.7E-5 / -1.4E-5 = 1.9286
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.046% | 0.1R | -0.971% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.046% | 0.1R | -1.017% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.046% | 0.1R | -1.572% | 2.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.063% | 1.6R | -1.572% | 2.4R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.063% | 1.6R | -2.404% | 3.7R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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