Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 1531.82 NEAR at 1.71$ per unit. Take profit: 1.7206 (0.61 %) & Stop Loss: 1.705 (0.3 %)
Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 1531.82 NEAR at 1.71$ per unit. Take profit: 1.7206 (0.61 %) & Stop Loss: 1.705 (0.3 %)
Position
Entry 1.7102$
Qty 1531.8217 NEAR
Size 2619.7214$ (margin 100$) (leverage 26)
Risk Setup
TP 1.7206 (+0.61%)
TP $ 15.93$
SL 1.705 (-0.3%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6737
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 8.18×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 13.25×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.48×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 06:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.38278 15m : 0.265328 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 02/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/08 06:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6031 | r1h: 0.490% · r4h: 0.274% · r1d: 4.39% · r3d: 3.60% · ema21_slope: 0.1477% · dist_ema21: 1.523% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6242 | rs_1h: 0.364% · rs_4h: 0.569% · rs_1d: 4.04% · rs_3d: 5.61% · beta_24h: 0.712 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2239 | rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.540 · trend: -16.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6970 | ADX: 23.6 (weak) · Chop: 37.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.859% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.181% | 0.6R | -0.380% | 1.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.181% | 0.6R | -0.959% | 3.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.181% | 0.6R | -1.041% | 3.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.456% | 1.5R | -1.129% | 3.7R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.573% | 1.9R | -1.129% | 3.7R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -5.71% | -0.86 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -1.28% | +0.59 | 02/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.56 | range_low | -0.56% | +0.24 | 02/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | — | range_low | +0.14% | +0.06 | 02/08 06:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 18b | — | 3.901×ATR | p40 | +0.002×ATR | p0 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 24b | — | 4.606×ATR | p67 | +0.919×ATR | p77 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.2×ATR | p2 | +0.248×ATR | p23 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.296×ATR | p0 | -0.451×ATR | p40 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63366.6
-0.00371811
63131
0.38278
63140.5
0.00174997
63251
0.265328
63568.7
-0.00613052
63179
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1.7318
194
0.7712
0.6049
0.3297
0.2419
0.4017
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0.2847
0.5981
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0.2741
0.6298
0.8942
0.1898
0.1196
1
1.217
2.441
0.6
0.4
1
5
1
0.5163
0.4719
5.4518
0.55
9.5
5.1602
2.441
0
0.2844
0.08
0.0391
0.4765
0.5249
0.8989
0.8942
-1.275
10.7707
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:26 | 1.71020000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:20 | 1.70650000 | -0.216% |
| 3 | 07:26 | 1.70520000 | -0.292% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 05:15:00 | 1.7054 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:35:00 | 1.7318 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 06:15:00 | 1.7157 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 06:50:00 | 1.716 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:20:00 | 1.7283 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 08:10:00 | 1.713 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 08:45:00 | 1.7209 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 1.707 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 09:50:00 | 1.7229 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:20:00 | 1.7089 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 20:30:00 | 1.6528 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 22:15:00 | 1.6776 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:15:00 | 1.669 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 1.7108 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 03:00:00 | 1.699 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:15:00 | 1.7054 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:30:00 | 1.7318 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:15:00 | 1.7283 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 1.707 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 09:45:00 | 1.7229 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 20:00:00 | 1.6974 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 02:00:00 | 1.635 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 10:00:00 | 1.6337 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 17:00:00 | 1.7095 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 23:00:00 | 1.6568 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 02:00:00 | 1.6851 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 1.6439 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 1.6859 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 1.6463 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 1.7318 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7102 | 1.705 | 1.7206 | 2 | 5.331 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.705 - 1.7102 = -0.0051999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.7102 - 1.7206 = -0.0104
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0104 / -0.0051999999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2619.7214 | 100 | 1531.8217 | 26.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0051999999999999 = -1538.46
Taille de position USD = -1538.46 x 1.7102 = -2631.07
Donc, tu peux acheter -1538.46 avec un stoploss a 1.705
Avec un position size USD de -2631.07$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1538.46 x -0.0051999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1538.46 x -0.0104 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.61 % | 15.93 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.3 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.97 $ | -0.30 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3801 % | 124.99 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7102 | 1.705 | 1.7206 | 2 | 5.331 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.705 - 1.7102 = -0.0051999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.7102 - 1.7206 = -0.0104
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0104 / -0.0051999999999999 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.181% | 0.6R | -0.380% | 1.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.181% | 0.6R | -0.959% | 3.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.181% | 0.6R | -1.041% | 3.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.456% | 1.5R | -1.129% | 3.7R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.573% | 1.9R | -1.129% | 3.7R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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