Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 5.5 ZEC at 470.17$ per unit. Take profit: 473.0766 (0.62 %) & Stop Loss: 468.7167 (0.31 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 5.5 ZEC at 470.17$ per unit. Take profit: 473.0766 (0.62 %) & Stop Loss: 468.7167 (0.31 %)
Position
Entry 470.17$
Qty 5.5048 ZEC
Size 2588.1693$ (margin 100$) (leverage 26)
Risk Setup
TP 473.0766 (+0.62%)
TP $ 16$
SL 468.7167 (-0.31%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6210
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.09×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.10×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 07:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.467875 15m : 0.553962 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 02/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/08 07:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5640 | r1h: 0.030% · r4h: 0.398% · r1d: 2.39% · r3d: 0.29% · ema21_slope: 0.1005% · dist_ema21: 1.080% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5708 | rs_1h: 0.147% · rs_4h: 0.855% · rs_1d: 2.14% · rs_3d: 2.42% · beta_24h: 1.243 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2143 | rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.645 · trend: -7.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6490 | ADX: 25.1 (trend) · Chop: 45.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.817% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.974% | 3.2R | -0.115% | 0.4R | 8.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.027% | 3.3R | -0.115% | 0.4R | 8.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.027% | 3.3R | -0.115% | 0.4R | 8.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.480% | 11.3R | -0.134% | 0.4R | 26.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.453% | 17.6R | -0.134% | 0.4R | 40.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.42 | bear_high | -5.71% | -0.55 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | near -0.6ATR | near -1.1ATR | 0.67 | bear_high | -1.37% | +0.18 | 02/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.59 | range_low | -0.63% | +0.06 | 02/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.40 | range_low | -0.05% | +0.03 | 02/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 18b | — | 3.865×ATR | p33 | -0.104×ATR | p8 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 2.359×ATR | p23 | +0.706×ATR | p65 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 0.854×ATR | p0 | +0.365×ATR | p35 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.104×ATR | p23 | -0.657×ATR | p66 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63306.3
-0.00340099
63091
0.467875
63130.1
-0.000620281
63091
0.553962
63540.4
-0.00707358
63091
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477.19
192
0.7415
0.5445
0.3151
0.2195
0.3933
1
0.2825
0.5869
0.6985
0.354
0.5526
0.749
0.1183
0.0748
1
0.6361
1.4185
0.6
0.4
1
7
1
0.561
0.384
4.4805
0.55
1.2427
4.5762
1.4185
0.1724
0.3575
0.2
0.051
0.4646
0.4001
0.8303
0.749
-1.9841
5.9212
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:46 | 470.17000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:58 | 469.77000000 | -0.085% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 06:15:00 | 472.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 06:25:00 | 474.64 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 06:55:00 | 472.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:20:00 | 475.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:45:00 | 471 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 472.53 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 10:05:00 | 476.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:20:00 | 473.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 10:40:00 | 475.84 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:40:00 | 469.66 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 18:30:00 | 458.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 21:15:00 | 460.29 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 23:15:00 | 461.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:15:00 | 475.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 03:30:00 | 471.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 04:15:00 | 477.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:15:00 | 475.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:45:00 | 471 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 476.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:30:00 | 469.66 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 01:00:00 | 477.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 452.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 18:00:00 | 463.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 453.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 468.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 461.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 473.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 458.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 04:00:00 | 477.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 476.24 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 470.17 | 468.7167 | 473.0766 | 2 | 1226.7 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 468.7167 - 470.17 = -1.4533
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 470.17 - 473.0766 = -2.9066
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.9066 / -1.4533 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2588.1693 | 100 | 5.5048 | 26.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.4533 = -5.5
Taille de position USD = -5.5 x 470.17 = -2585.94
Donc, tu peux acheter -5.5 avec un stoploss a 468.7167
Avec un position size USD de -2585.94$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5.5 x -1.4533 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5.5 x -2.9066 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.62 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.31 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.62 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1149 % | 37.17 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 470.17 | 468.7167 | 473.0766 | 2 | 1226.7 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 468.7167 - 470.17 = -1.4533
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 470.17 - 473.0766 = -2.9066
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.9066 / -1.4533 = 2
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[result] => win
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[result] => win
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.974% | 3.2R | -0.115% | 0.4R | 8.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.027% | 3.3R | -0.115% | 0.4R | 8.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.027% | 3.3R | -0.115% | 0.4R | 8.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.480% | 11.3R | -0.134% | 0.4R | 26.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.453% | 17.6R | -0.134% | 0.4R | 40.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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