02 Aug 2026 at 11:10:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on kPEPE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 105638.45 kPEPE at 0.00292$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002991 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002842 (2.6 %)

kPEPE LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Aug 2026 11:10 → 17:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.002918$

Qty 105638.4524 kPEPE

Size 308.253$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.002991 (+2.5%)

TP $ 7.71$

SL 0.002842 (-2.6%)

SL $ 8.03$

RR 0.96

Status loss PnL -0.31% / -0.95$ MAE -1.06% MFE +0.24% 0.1R expires 02 Aug 17:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 56522)
#4 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/08/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8819

Quality Score
0.701
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/08 11:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#4 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.60 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#4 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.60 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 0.57×ATR
1d clear 8.57×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

02/08 11:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

01/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

02/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

02/08 10:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1239
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational bear expansion — -1
Tactical range compression — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.57
Transition risk : 0.43
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.49
Snapshot évalué : 02/08 11:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 02/08/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.7014
Score SMA
0.6044
Rank
#4 / 37
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8819
Rank Norm SMA
0.7365
Calculé le
02/08/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7288 r1h: 1.658% · r4h: 1.658% · r1d: 6.28% · r3d: 5.86% · ema21_slope: 0.2556% · dist_ema21: 2.514%
Force Relative 25% 0.7479 rs_1h: 1.592% · rs_4h: 1.709% · rs_1d: 6.22% · rs_3d: 8.19% · beta_24h: 1.154
Volume 20% 0.3573 rvol_20: 1.07× · zscore_50: 0.128 · trend: -7.28%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8286 ADX: 39.4 (trend) · Chop: 35.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.030% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.605% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.062% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.240% 0.1R -1.062% 0.4R 0.2× 24
4h +0.240% 0.1R -1.062% 0.4R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +0.240% 0.1R -1.062% 0.4R 0.2× 72
8h +0.651% 0.3R -1.062% 0.4R 0.6× 96
12h +0.651% 0.3R -1.885% 0.7R 0.4× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.46
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 36% mid — — 0.70 bear_high -6.16% +0.45 01/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced normal bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 41% mid — — 0.74 bear_high -1.48% +0.62 02/08 08:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading expansion bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 48% mid — — 0.53 range_low -0.57% +0.52 02/08 10:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_medium
58%
noisy_chop 34% late — near -0.4ATR 0.28 range_low +0.01% +0.10 02/08 10:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 6b — 1.37×ATR p0 +0.599×ATR p61
4h ↑ up mid 22b — 3.869×ATR p66 +0.822×ATR p76
1h ↑ up mid 2b — 1.847×ATR p19 +1.078×ATR p82
15m ↑ up late 8b — 3.419×ATR p64 +2.355×ATR p97

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00284227
  2. tp_price: 0.00299095
  3. atr: 3.029E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-02T21:10:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 38
  3. score: 0.7288
  4. delta_2h: 0.0901
  5. extension_atr: 1.4
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8819
  9. confidence: 0.942

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.002918 0.002842 0.002991 0.96 0.004151
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.002918
  • Stop Loss: 0.002842
  • Take Profit: 0.002991

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.002842 - 0.002918 = -7.6E-5

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.002918 - 0.002991 = -7.3E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.3E-5 / -7.6E-5 = 0.9605

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
308.253 100 105638.4524 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -7.6E-5

Taille de position = 8 / -7.6E-5 = -105263.16

Taille de position USD = -105263.16 x 0.002918 = -307.16

Donc, tu peux acheter -105263.16 avec un stoploss a 0.002842

Avec un position size USD de -307.16$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -105263.16 x -7.6E-5 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -105263.16 x -7.3E-5 = 7.68

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.68$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -105263.16
  • Taille de position USD -307.16
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 7.68
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9605

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 7.71 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.6 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
-0.95 $ -0.31
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0624 % 40.79 % 21
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.002918 0.002842 0.002991 0.96 0.004151
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.002918
  • Stop Loss: 0.002842
  • Take Profit: 0.002991

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.002842 - 0.002918 = -7.6E-5

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.002918 - 0.002991 = -7.3E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.3E-5 / -7.6E-5 = 0.9605

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.605% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.062% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.240% 0.1R -1.062% 0.4R 0.2× 24
4h +0.240% 0.1R -1.062% 0.4R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +0.240% 0.1R -1.062% 0.4R 0.2× 72
8h +0.651% 0.3R -1.062% 0.4R 0.6× 96
12h +0.651% 0.3R -1.885% 0.7R 0.4× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.