Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 515.28 AVAX at 6.566$ per unit. Take profit: 6.5966 (0.47 %) & Stop Loss: 6.55 (0.24 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 515.28 AVAX at 6.566$ per unit. Take profit: 6.5966 (0.47 %) & Stop Loss: 6.55 (0.24 %)
Position
Entry 6.5655$
Qty 515.2757 AVAX
Size 3383.0424$ (margin 100$) (leverage 34)
Risk Setup
TP 6.5966 (+0.47%)
TP $ 16.03$
SL 6.55 (-0.24%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7786
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.85×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.54×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 9.86×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 12:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.482598 15m : 0.254587 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/08 11:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6080 | r1h: 0.071% · r4h: -0.026% · r1d: 3.42% · r3d: 2.16% · ema21_slope: 0.2784% · dist_ema21: 1.633% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5704 | rs_1h: -0.067% · rs_4h: -0.221% · rs_1d: 3.18% · rs_3d: 4.56% · beta_24h: 2.184 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1682 | rvol_20: 0.11× · zscore_50: -0.478 · trend: -65.80% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8108 | ADX: 37.3 (trend) · Chop: 24.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.900% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.410% | 1.7R | -0.047% | 0.2R | 8.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.573% | 6.7R | -0.047% | 0.2R | 33.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.573% | 6.7R | -0.047% | 0.2R | 33.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.573% | 6.7R | -0.594% | 2.5R | 2.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.573% | 6.7R | -2.623% | 11.1R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | continuation_ready | bear_trend | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.76 | bear_high | -6.16% | +0.10 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | — | 0.69 | bear_high | -1.46% | +0.39 | 02/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
choppy 48% | early | — | — | 0.56 | range_low | -0.57% | +0.56 | 02/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_low |
45%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.30 | range_low | +0.03% | +0.02 | 02/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 29b | — | 1.663×ATR | p0 | +0.467×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 4.519×ATR | p79 | +1.153×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 1.513×ATR | p2 | +0.371×ATR | p39 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 1.612×ATR | p0 | +0.015×ATR | p1 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63173.9
-0.00164516
63070
0.482598
63121.4
-0.00081517
63070
0.254587
63526.7
-0.00707995
63077
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0.6636
0.8384
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0.5104
0.589
8.9459
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1.8481
12.129
2.6849
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0.3473
0.5
-0.163
0.4934
0.4836
0.8734
0.8384
-1.9775
10.2609
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 09:50:00 | 6.65 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:00:00 | 6.5769 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 11:15:00 | 6.6277 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 13:05:00 | 6.5537 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 14:00:00 | 6.5957 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 14:10:00 | 6.5599 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 14:35:00 | 6.6029 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 15:10:00 | 6.6078 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 6.6013 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:05:00 | 6.5647 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 18:45:00 | 6.0382 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 22:30:00 | 6.2058 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 02:15:00 | 6.3412 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 05:15:00 | 6.6806 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 6.5524 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 09:45:00 | 6.65 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:15:00 | 6.6277 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 13:00:00 | 6.5537 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 15:00:00 | 6.6078 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 6.5647 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 01:00:00 | 6.5418 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 07:00:00 | 6.3934 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 11:00:00 | 6.5206 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 6.3318 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 23:00:00 | 6.3783 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 6.4476 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 6.3203 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 6.3858 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 6.0382 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 6.6806 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5655 | 6.55 | 6.5966 | 2.01 | 10.259 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.55 - 6.5655 = -0.0155
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.5655 - 6.5966 = -0.031099999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.031099999999999 / -0.0155 = 2.0065
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3383.0424 | 100 | 515.2757 | 34.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0155 = -516.13
Taille de position USD = -516.13 x 6.5655 = -3388.65
Donc, tu peux acheter -516.13 avec un stoploss a 6.55
Avec un position size USD de -3388.65$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -516.13 x -0.0155 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -516.13 x -0.031099999999999 = 16.05
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.05$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.47 % | 16.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.03 $ | 0.47 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0472 % | 19.99 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5655 | 6.55 | 6.5966 | 2.01 | 10.259 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.55 - 6.5655 = -0.0155
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.5655 - 6.5966 = -0.031099999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.031099999999999 / -0.0155 = 2.0065
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.410% | 1.7R | -0.047% | 0.2R | 8.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.573% | 6.7R | -0.047% | 0.2R | 33.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.573% | 6.7R | -0.047% | 0.2R | 33.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.573% | 6.7R | -0.594% | 2.5R | 2.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.573% | 6.7R | -2.623% | 11.1R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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