Short Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 44.44 HYPE at 52.399$ per unit. Take profit: 52.0389 (0.69 %) & Stop Loss: 52.579 (0.34 %)
Short Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 44.44 HYPE at 52.399$ per unit. Take profit: 52.0389 (0.69 %) & Stop Loss: 52.579 (0.34 %)
Position
Entry 52.399$
Qty 44.4369 HYPE
Size 2328.4467$ (margin 100$) (leverage 23)
Risk Setup
TP 52.0389 (+0.69%)
TP $ 16$
SL 52.579 (-0.34%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5122
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 3.33×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 14:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.463561 15m : 0.477888 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : bull_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4965 | r1h: 0.290% · r4h: 1.357% · r1d: 0.33% · r3d: -4.56% · ema21_slope: -0.0738% · dist_ema21: 0.655% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4963 | rs_1h: 0.062% · rs_4h: 1.010% · rs_1d: -0.70% · rs_3d: -2.22% · beta_24h: 0.850 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3447 | rvol_20: 1.07× · zscore_50: -0.213 · trend: 0.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6881 | ADX: 28.4 (trend) · Chop: 44.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.842% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.145% | 0.4R | -0.666% | 1.9R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.145% | 0.4R | -0.783% | 2.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.145% | 0.4R | -1.147% | 3.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.399% | 1.2R | -1.147% | 3.3R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.723% | 2.1R | -1.147% | 3.3R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -5.92% | -0.97 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -1.13% | +0.08 | 02/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.49 | range_low | -0.29% | -0.02 | 02/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.25% | +0.14 | 02/08 14:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 26b | — | 6.479×ATR | p91 | -0.836×ATR | p73 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 16b | — | 3.67×ATR | p60 | +0.244×ATR | p23 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.982×ATR | p70 | +1.022×ATR | p81 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 2.202×ATR | p29 | +1.488×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63175.9
0.00196307
63300
0.463561
63110.6
0.00301616
63301
0.477888
63428.4
-0.00208877
63296
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51.081
191
0.3279
0.6451
0.3671
0.2668
0.4492
1
0.0778
0.4828
0.2492
0.68
0.6813
0.2543
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0.8847
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8
1
0.4664
0.6223
4.7519
0.5
1.3642
4.7794
-0.1594
0.0386
0.1937
0.56
0.216
0.5669
0.444
0.7753
0.2543
-8.5258
2.9081
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:20 | 52.39900000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:26 | 52.44900000 | +0.095% |
| 3 | 14:44 | 52.60100000 | +0.386% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 13:20:00 | 51.674 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 13:35:00 | 51.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 13:55:00 | 51.64 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 14:05:00 | 51.414 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 14:55:00 | 51.294 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 15:20:00 | 51.598 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:05:00 | 51.252 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 16:40:00 | 52.401 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 17:25:00 | 51.921 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 18:10:00 | 52.463 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 23:15:00 | 52.017 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 52.262 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 03:00:00 | 53.025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 08:00:00 | 51.725 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 10:15:00 | 51.081 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 12:15:00 | 51.111 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 13:15:00 | 51.674 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 51.252 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 16:30:00 | 52.401 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 18:00:00 | 52.463 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 52.761 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:00:00 | 56.094 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 13:00:00 | 55.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 20:00:00 | 51.814 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 51.488 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 13:00:00 | 52.611 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 51.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 03:00:00 | 53.025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 51.081 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 18:00:00 | 52.463 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.399 | 52.579 | 52.0389 | 2 | 81.191 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 52.579 - 52.399 = 0.18
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 52.399 - 52.0389 = 0.3601
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3601 / 0.18 = 2.0006
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2328.4467 | 100 | 44.4369 | 23.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.18 = 44.44
Taille de position USD = 44.44 x 52.399 = 2328.61
Donc, tu peux acheter 44.44 avec un stoploss a 52.579
Avec un position size USD de 2328.61$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 44.44 x 0.18 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 44.44 x 0.3601 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.69 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.34 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.666 % | 193.89 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.399 | 52.579 | 52.0389 | 2 | 81.191 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 52.579 - 52.399 = 0.18
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 52.399 - 52.0389 = 0.3601
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3601 / 0.18 = 2.0006
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.145% | 0.4R | -0.666% | 1.9R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.145% | 0.4R | -0.783% | 2.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.145% | 0.4R | -1.147% | 3.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.399% | 1.2R | -1.147% | 3.3R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.723% | 2.1R | -1.147% | 3.3R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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