Long Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.74 ZEC at 485.79$ per unit. Take profit: 497.9348 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 475.0024 (2.22 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.74 ZEC at 485.79$ per unit. Take profit: 497.9348 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 475.0024 (2.22 %)
Position
Entry 485.79$
Qty 0.7416 ZEC
Size 360.2593$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 497.9348 (+2.5%)
TP $ 9.01$
SL 475.0024 (-2.22%)
SL $ 8$
RR 1.13
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4061
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.14×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.26×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 16:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 02/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/08 15:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6720 | r1h: 1.902% · r4h: 2.620% · r1d: 4.46% · r3d: 1.98% · ema21_slope: 0.0710% · dist_ema21: 2.472% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6968 | rs_1h: 1.882% · rs_4h: 2.187% · rs_1d: 3.07% · rs_3d: 4.14% · beta_24h: 1.143 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7242 | rvol_20: 2.36× · zscore_50: 1.934 · trend: 23.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6330 | ADX: 21.7 (weak) · Chop: 44.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.897% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.517% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.063% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.063% | 0.9R | -0.492% | 0.2R | 4.2× | 48 |
| 5.2h ★ | +2.063% | 0.9R | -1.414% | 0.6R | 1.5× | 61 |
| 8h | +2.063% | 0.9R | -2.287% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.063% | 0.9R | -3.022% | 1.4R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.42 | bear_high | -5.92% | -0.57 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | near -0.5ATR | near -1.3ATR | 0.67 | bear_high | -1.03% | +0.17 | 02/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.58 | range_low | -0.17% | +0.30 | 02/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_low_confirmed |
37%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.50 | range_low | +0.33% | +0.15 | 02/08 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 18b | — | 3.938×ATR | p33 | -0.175×ATR | p13 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 2.562×ATR | p32 | +0.657×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 2.767×ATR | p62 | +1.8×ATR | p99 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 4.016×ATR | p81 | +2.43×ATR | p99 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 485.79 | 475.0024 | 497.9348 | 1.13 | 1338.9 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 475.0024 - 485.79 = -10.7876
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 485.79 - 497.9348 = -12.1448
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -12.1448 / -10.7876 = 1.1258
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 360.2593 | 100 | 0.7416 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -10.7876 = -0.74
Taille de position USD = -0.74 x 485.79 = -359.48
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.74 avec un stoploss a 475.0024
Avec un position size USD de -359.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.74 x -10.7876 = 7.98
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.74 x -12.1448 = 8.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 9.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.22 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.78 $ | -1.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4142 % | 63.69 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 485.79 | 475.0024 | 497.9348 | 1.13 | 1338.9 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 475.0024 - 485.79 = -10.7876
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 485.79 - 497.9348 = -12.1448
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -12.1448 / -10.7876 = 1.1258
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.517% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.063% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.063% | 0.9R | -0.492% | 0.2R | 4.2× | 48 |
| 5.2h ★ | +2.063% | 0.9R | -1.414% | 0.6R | 1.5× | 61 |
| 8h | +2.063% | 0.9R | -2.287% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.063% | 0.9R | -3.022% | 1.4R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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