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Short Trade on KAITO

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02 Aug 2026 at 17:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_score)

With 73.61 KAITO at 1.03$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 1.139 (10.55 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Aug 2026 17:10 → 20:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 1.0303$

Qty 73.6119 KAITO

Size 75.8424$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 75.84$

SL 1.139 (-10.55%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +3.59% / +2.72$ MAE -0.00% MFE +4.66% 0.4R expires 02 Aug 20:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 56764)
#37 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/08/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2260

Quality Score
0.353
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
20.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/08 17:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#37 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.55 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#37 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.55 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.26×ATR
4h clear 0.91×ATR
1d clear 2.52×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

02/08 17:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

01/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

02/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/08 16:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1245
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational bear transition — +1
Tactical range range — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.57
Transition risk : 0.43
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.49
Snapshot évalué : 02/08 17:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 02/08/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.3527
Score SMA
0.5656
Rank
#37 / 37
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2260
Rank Norm SMA
0.5338
Calculé le
02/08/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2077 r1h: -3.376% · r4h: -7.759% · r1d: -14.26% · r3d: -4.13% · ema21_slope: -0.3575% · dist_ema21: -8.864%
Force Relative 25% 0.1076 rs_1h: -3.339% · rs_4h: -8.147% · rs_1d: -15.51% · rs_3d: -2.08% · beta_24h: -0.880
Volume 20% 0.4261 rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: 0.213 · trend: 85.71%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6819 ADX: 21.8 (weak) · Chop: 31.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.7603 ATR%: 3.719% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -10.550% (0.1087)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.106% 0.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +3.143% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
3h ★ +4.663% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 36
4h +5.670% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
8h +7.725% 0.7R -3.378% 0.3R 2.3× 96
12h +9.009% 0.9R -3.378% 0.3R 2.7× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.09
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.43 bear_high -5.92% +1.00 01/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.03 bear_high -0.92% -0.46 02/08 16:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 51% late near -0.3ATR — -0.13 range_low -0.10% -0.94 02/08 16:00
15m ↔ neutral range range strong explosive compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 49% mid — — -0.04 range_low +0.36% -0.71 02/08 16:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 4b — 2.142×ATR p0 -0.284×ATR p28
4h ↓ down mid 7b — 2.802×ATR p19 -1.114×ATR p84
1h ↓ down late 4b — 2.631×ATR p42 -1.421×ATR p90
15m ↓ down mid 7b — 3.624×ATR p66 -1.205×ATR p81

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 1.13897805
  2. atr: 0.03622602
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-03T00:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 37
  2. total: 37
  3. score: 0.2077
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.0303 1.139 0.3224
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.0303
  • Stop Loss: 1.139
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.139 - 1.0303 = 0.1087

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.0303 - = 1.0303

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0303 / 0.1087 = 9.4784

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
75.8424 75.8424 73.6119 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1087

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1087 = 73.6

Taille de position USD = 73.6 x 1.0303 = 75.83

Donc, tu peux acheter 73.6 avec un stoploss a 1.139

Avec un position size USD de 75.83$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 73.6 x 0.1087 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 73.6 x 1.0303 = 75.83

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 75.83$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 73.6
  • Taille de position USD 75.83
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 75.83
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 9.4784

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 75.84 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
10.55 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
2.72 $ 3.59
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.0303 1.139 0.3224
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.0303
  • Stop Loss: 1.139
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.139 - 1.0303 = 0.1087

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.0303 - = 1.0303

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0303 / 0.1087 = 9.4784

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -10.550% (0.1087)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.106% 0.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +3.143% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
3h ★ +4.663% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 36
4h +5.670% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
8h +7.725% 0.7R -3.378% 0.3R 2.3× 96
12h +9.009% 0.9R -3.378% 0.3R 2.7× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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