Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 2.63 ZEC at 486.85$ per unit. Take profit: 492.9372 (1.25 %) & Stop Loss: 483.8064 (0.63 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 2.63 ZEC at 486.85$ per unit. Take profit: 492.9372 (1.25 %) & Stop Loss: 483.8064 (0.63 %)
Position
Entry 486.85$
Qty 2.6284 ZEC
Size 1279.6589$ (margin 100$) (leverage 13)
Risk Setup
TP 492.9372 (+1.25%)
TP $ 16$
SL 483.8064 (-0.63%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5242
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.73×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.24×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 18:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.48754 15m : 0.572921 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed 5m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 02/08 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6984 | r1h: 0.620% · r4h: 4.775% · r1d: 6.56% · r3d: 4.59% · ema21_slope: 0.1161% · dist_ema21: 3.789% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7142 | rs_1h: 0.294% · rs_4h: 4.153% · rs_1d: 5.13% · rs_3d: 6.15% · beta_24h: 1.445 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8639 | rvol_20: 2.49× · zscore_50: 2.357 · trend: 91.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7272 | ADX: 27.3 (trend) · Chop: 28.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.960% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.742% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.742% | 1.2R | -0.939% | 1.5R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.742% | 1.2R | -2.099% | 3.4R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.742% | 1.2R | -3.026% | 4.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.742% | 1.2R | -3.233% | 5.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.42 | bear_high | -5.92% | -0.57 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.67 | range_high | -0.53% | +0.47 | 02/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.58 | range_low | +0.28% | +0.35 | 02/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
57%
|
choppy 52% | early | — | — | 0.50 | range_low | +0.52% | +0.35 | 02/08 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 18b | — | 3.938×ATR | p33 | -0.175×ATR | p13 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 4.255×ATR | p71 | +1.984×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 4.974×ATR | p94 | +2.06×ATR | p98 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.578×ATR | p0 | +0.184×ATR | p16 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63369.9
4.8483E-5
63373
0.48754
63224
0.00300384
63414
0.572921
63380.8
0.00115474
63454
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495.81
198
0.7793
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0.1174
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1.9921
2.9776
0.65
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1
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0.5561
0.6811
5.5418
0.5
3.434
7.1179
2.9776
0.3141
0.3847
0.98
0.2086
0.5195
0.4079
0.5607
0.8286
-1.3569
6.5587
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 16:05:00 | 469.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 16:40:00 | 473.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 17:05:00 | 470.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 17:35:00 | 472.07 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 18:00:00 | 470.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 18:40:00 | 476.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 20:35:00 | 492.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 21:40:00 | 495.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 21:55:00 | 490.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 22:35:00 | 486.71 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 04:15:00 | 477.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:15:00 | 475.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:45:00 | 471 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 476.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:45:00 | 469.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 13:00:00 | 475 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 469.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 16:30:00 | 473.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 21:30:00 | 495.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 22:30:00 | 489.17 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 18:00:00 | 463.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 453.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 468.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 461.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 473.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 458.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 04:00:00 | 477.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 476.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 469.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 495.81 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 486.85 | 483.8064 | 492.9372 | 2 | 1285 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 483.8064 - 486.85 = -3.0436
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 486.85 - 492.9372 = -6.0872
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -6.0872 / -3.0436 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1279.6589 | 100 | 2.6284 | 13.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -3.0436 = -2.63
Taille de position USD = -2.63 x 486.85 = -1280.42
Donc, tu peux acheter -2.63 avec un stoploss a 483.8064
Avec un position size USD de -1280.42$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2.63 x -3.0436 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2.63 x -6.0872 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.25 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.63 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.63 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7086 % | 113.34 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 486.85 | 483.8064 | 492.9372 | 2 | 1285 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 483.8064 - 486.85 = -3.0436
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 486.85 - 492.9372 = -6.0872
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -6.0872 / -3.0436 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.742% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.742% | 1.2R | -0.939% | 1.5R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.742% | 1.2R | -2.099% | 3.4R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.742% | 1.2R | -3.026% | 4.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.742% | 1.2R | -3.233% | 5.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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