Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 3.15 ZEC at 485.34$ per unit. Take profit: 490.4156 (1.05 %) & Stop Loss: 482.8022 (0.52 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 3.15 ZEC at 485.34$ per unit. Take profit: 490.4156 (1.05 %) & Stop Loss: 482.8022 (0.52 %)
Position
Entry 485.34$
Qty 3.1523 ZEC
Size 1529.9415$ (margin 100$) (leverage 15)
Risk Setup
TP 490.4156 (+1.05%)
TP $ 16$
SL 482.8022 (-0.52%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7021
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.57×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.17×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 20:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.034451 15m : 0.565902 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 02/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 02/08 19:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6162 | r1h: -0.151% · r4h: 0.606% · r1d: 5.73% · r3d: 3.81% · ema21_slope: 0.1434% · dist_ema21: 2.140% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6029 | rs_1h: -0.312% · rs_4h: 0.513% · rs_1d: 4.60% · rs_3d: 5.74% · beta_24h: 1.483 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5545 | rvol_20: 1.34× · zscore_50: 0.743 · trend: 78.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7508 | ADX: 30.1 (trend) · Chop: 29.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.006% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.021% | 0.0R | -1.323% | 2.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.021% | 0.0R | -1.566% | 3.0R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.021% | 0.0R | -2.196% | 4.2R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.021% | 0.0R | -2.932% | 5.6R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.021% | 0.0R | -2.932% | 5.6R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.42 | bear_high | -5.92% | -0.57 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.67 | bear_high | -1.00% | +0.44 | 02/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -1.6ATR | 0.58 | range_low | +0.03% | +0.31 | 02/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.50 | range_low | +0.38% | +0.24 | 02/08 19:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 18b | — | 3.938×ATR | p33 | -0.175×ATR | p13 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 3.85×ATR | p65 | +1.625×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.414×ATR | p0 | +1.051×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 2.977×ATR | p50 | -0.423×ATR | p47 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63400.8
0.00120174
63477
-0.034451
63246.4
0.00364488
63477
0.565902
63424.3
0.00125552
63504
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495.81
196
0.7822
0.6815
0.3483
0.2363
0.44
1
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0.56
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0.8951
0.6552
0.7744
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0.1356
1
1.2602
2.4171
0.65
0.35
1
3
1
0.5275
0.6811
5.5418
0.5
3.434
7.1179
2.4171
0.3141
0.3563
0.94
0.1967
0.5375
0.4071
0.6069
0.7744
-1.8583
6.3801
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:10 | 485.34000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 20:16 | 484.02000000 | -0.272% |
| 3 | 20:21 | 483.80000000 | -0.317% |
| 4 | 20:27 | 483.51000000 | -0.377% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 17:05:00 | 470.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 17:35:00 | 472.07 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 18:00:00 | 470.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 18:40:00 | 476.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 20:35:00 | 492.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 21:40:00 | 495.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 21:55:00 | 490.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 22:40:00 | 486.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 23:15:00 | 490.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 00:05:00 | 485.19 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 07:15:00 | 475.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:45:00 | 471 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 476.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:45:00 | 469.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 13:00:00 | 475 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 469.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 16:30:00 | 473.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 21:30:00 | 495.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 22:30:00 | 486.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 00:00:00 | 485.19 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 18:00:00 | 463.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 453.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 468.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 461.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 473.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 458.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 04:00:00 | 477.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 476.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 469.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 495.81 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 485.34 | 482.8022 | 490.4156 | 2 | 1230.1 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 482.8022 - 485.34 = -2.5377999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 485.34 - 490.4156 = -5.0756
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.0756 / -2.5377999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1529.9415 | 100 | 3.1523 | 15.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.5377999999999 = -3.15
Taille de position USD = -3.15 x 485.34 = -1528.82
Donc, tu peux acheter -3.15 avec un stoploss a 482.8022
Avec un position size USD de -1528.82$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3.15 x -2.5377999999999 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3.15 x -5.0756 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.05 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.52 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6284 % | 120.18 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 485.34 | 482.8022 | 490.4156 | 2 | 1230.1 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 482.8022 - 485.34 = -2.5377999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 485.34 - 490.4156 = -5.0756
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.0756 / -2.5377999999999 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.021% | 0.0R | -1.323% | 2.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.021% | 0.0R | -1.566% | 3.0R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.021% | 0.0R | -2.196% | 4.2R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.021% | 0.0R | -2.932% | 5.6R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.021% | 0.0R | -2.932% | 5.6R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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