Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 3.22 ZEC at 482.4$ per unit. Take profit: 487.3702 (1.03 %) & Stop Loss: 479.9149 (0.52 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 3.22 ZEC at 482.4$ per unit. Take profit: 487.3702 (1.03 %) & Stop Loss: 479.9149 (0.52 %)
Position
Entry 482.4$
Qty 3.2192 ZEC
Size 1552.9384$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 487.3702 (+1.03%)
TP $ 16$
SL 479.9149 (-0.52%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7021
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.53×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.69×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 20:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.476703 15m : 0.586825 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 02/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 02/08 20:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6162 | r1h: -0.151% · r4h: 0.606% · r1d: 5.73% · r3d: 3.81% · ema21_slope: 0.1434% · dist_ema21: 2.140% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6029 | rs_1h: -0.312% · rs_4h: 0.513% · rs_1d: 4.60% · rs_3d: 5.74% · beta_24h: 1.483 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5545 | rvol_20: 1.34× · zscore_50: 0.743 · trend: 78.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7508 | ADX: 30.1 (trend) · Chop: 29.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.006% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.630% | 1.2R | -0.792% | 1.5R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.630% | 1.2R | -1.196% | 2.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.630% | 1.2R | -1.600% | 3.1R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.630% | 1.2R | -2.340% | 4.5R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.651% | 1.3R | -2.340% | 4.5R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.42 | bear_high | -5.66% | -0.86 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.39 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.58 | range_low | -0.13% | +0.21 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.52 | range_low | -0.05% | +0.05 | 02/08 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 19b | — | 3.595×ATR | p22 | +0.13×ATR | p10 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 3.449×ATR | p52 | +0.867×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.365×ATR | p46 | +0.015×ATR | p2 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 4.516×ATR | p88 | -1.153×ATR | p79 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63386.7
-0.00251986
63227
0.476703
63250.8
-0.00037654
63227
0.586825
63420.1
-0.00202097
63292
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495.81
196
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0.661
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2.0014
0.65
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0.5244
0.6811
5.5418
0.5
3.434
7.1179
2.0014
0.3141
0.3552
0.96
0.2495
0.5523
0.4051
0.608
0.7331
-2.1059
5.784
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:34 | 482.40000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 20:39 | 482.99000000 | +0.122% |
| 3 | 20:46 | 482.85000000 | +0.093% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 17:05:00 | 470.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 17:35:00 | 472.07 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 18:00:00 | 470.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 18:40:00 | 476.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 20:35:00 | 492.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 21:40:00 | 495.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 21:55:00 | 490.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 22:40:00 | 486.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 23:15:00 | 490.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 00:30:00 | 482.28 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 07:15:00 | 475.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:45:00 | 471 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 476.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:45:00 | 469.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 13:00:00 | 475 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 469.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 16:30:00 | 473.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 21:30:00 | 495.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 22:30:00 | 486.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 00:30:00 | 482.28 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 18:00:00 | 463.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 453.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 468.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 461.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 473.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 458.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 04:00:00 | 477.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 476.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 469.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 495.81 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 482.4 | 479.9149 | 487.3702 | 2 | 1225.6 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 479.9149 - 482.4 = -2.4851
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 482.4 - 487.3702 = -4.9702
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.9702 / -2.4851 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1552.9384 | 100 | 3.2192 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.4851 = -3.22
Taille de position USD = -3.22 x 482.4 = -1553.33
Donc, tu peux acheter -3.22 avec un stoploss a 479.9149
Avec un position size USD de -1553.33$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3.22 x -2.4851 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3.22 x -4.9702 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.03 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.52 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7214 % | 140.02 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 482.4 | 479.9149 | 487.3702 | 2 | 1225.6 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 479.9149 - 482.4 = -2.4851
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 482.4 - 487.3702 = -4.9702
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.9702 / -2.4851 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.630% | 1.2R | -0.792% | 1.5R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.630% | 1.2R | -1.196% | 2.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.630% | 1.2R | -1.600% | 3.1R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.630% | 1.2R | -2.340% | 4.5R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.651% | 1.3R | -2.340% | 4.5R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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