Short Trade on ONDO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 827.74 ONDO at 0.375$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3658 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3849 (2.59 %)
02 Aug 2026 at 21:10:04
hyperliquid
ONDO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Aug 2026 21:10
→ 21:20
· 9 minutes
Position
Entry 0.3752$
Qty 827.7392 ONDO
Size 310.576$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3658 (+2.51%)
TP $ 7.78$
SL 0.3849 (-2.59%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 0.97
Status
win
PnL
+0.17%
/ +0.51$
MAE -0.04%
MFE +1.67%
0.7R
expires
02 Aug 21:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=10 <= threshold=27/37
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 56904)
#10 / 37
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/08/2026 21:00
score du 02/08/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3264
Quality Score
0.566
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/08 21:01
02/08 21:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#10 / 37
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#10 / 37
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.87×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.67×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.38×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 21:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/08 20:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1249
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.53
Transition risk :
0.47
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.47
Snapshot évalué :
02/08 21:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
02/08/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.5657
Score SMA
0.4986
Rank
#10
/ 37
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3264
Rank Norm SMA
0.2298
Calculé le
02/08/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3306 | r1h: -1.079% · r4h: -3.207% · r1d: -1.24% · r3d: -9.29% · ema21_slope: -0.0591% · dist_ema21: -2.535% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3248 | rs_1h: -0.696% · rs_4h: -2.938% · rs_1d: -2.04% · rs_3d: -7.14% · beta_24h: 2.676 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9160 | rvol_20: 3.14× · zscore_50: 2.616 · trend: 56.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6805 | ADX: 21.7 (weak) · Chop: 36.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.100% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -2.585%
(0.0097)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.653% | 0.6R | -0.037% | 0.0R | 44.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.653% | 0.6R | -0.037% | 0.0R | 44.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.668% | 0.7R | -0.037% | 0.0R | 44.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.508% | 1.0R | -0.037% | 0.0R | 67.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.508% | 1.0R | -0.037% | 0.0R | 67.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.26
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.65 | bear_high | -5.66% | +0.96 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | near -1.7ATR | — | 0.59 | bear_high | -0.86% | -0.73 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.60 | range_low | -0.26% | -0.42 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.08% | -0.30 | 02/08 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 40b | — | 3.351×ATR | p33 | -0.51×ATR | p58 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 2.28×ATR | p12 | -1.125×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 3.75×ATR | p79 | -1.915×ATR | p99 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.086×ATR | p0 | -1.161×ATR | p74 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.38487488
- tp_price: 0.36582975
- atr: 0.00386595
- expires_at: 2026-08-03T07:10:03+00:00
Details
- rank: 36
- total: 37
- score: 0.3306
- delta_2h: -0.0507
- extension_atr: -2.24
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3264
- confidence: 0.972
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3752 | 0.3849 | 0.3658 | 0.97 | 0.4952 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3752
- Stop Loss: 0.3849
- Take Profit: 0.3658
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3849 - 0.3752 = 0.0097
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3752 - 0.3658 = 0.0094
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0094 / 0.0097 = 0.9691
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 310.576 | 100 | 827.7392 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0097
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0097 = 824.74
Taille de position USD = 824.74 x 0.3752 = 309.44
Donc, tu peux acheter 824.74 avec un stoploss a 0.3849
Avec un position size USD de 309.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 824.74 x 0.0097 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 824.74 x 0.0094 = 7.75
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.75$
Résumé
- Taille de position 824.74
- Taille de position USD 309.44
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.75
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9691
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 7.78 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.59 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.51 $ | 0.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0373 % | 1.44 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3752 | 0.3849 | 0.3658 | 0.97 | 0.4952 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3752
- Stop Loss: 0.3849
- Take Profit: 0.3658
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3849 - 0.3752 = 0.0097
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3752 - 0.3658 = 0.0094
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0094 / 0.0097 = 0.9691
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -2.585%
(0.0097)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.653% | 0.6R | -0.037% | 0.0R | 44.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.653% | 0.6R | -0.037% | 0.0R | 44.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.668% | 0.7R | -0.037% | 0.0R | 44.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.508% | 1.0R | -0.037% | 0.0R | 67.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.508% | 1.0R | -0.037% | 0.0R | 67.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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