Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 4.11 ZEC at 476.6$ per unit. Take profit: 480.4945 (0.82 %) & Stop Loss: 474.6528 (0.41 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 4.11 ZEC at 476.6$ per unit. Take profit: 480.4945 (0.82 %) & Stop Loss: 474.6528 (0.41 %)
Position
Entry 476.6$
Qty 4.1084 ZEC
Size 1958.0481$ (margin 100$) (leverage 20)
Risk Setup
TP 480.4945 (+0.82%)
TP $ 16$
SL 474.6528 (-0.41%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8438
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.60×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.28×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 22:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.4686 15m : 0.505242 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 02/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/08 22:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4915 | r1h: -0.981% · r4h: -2.277% · r1d: 2.79% · r3d: 3.00% · ema21_slope: 0.1507% · dist_ema21: 0.387% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5015 | rs_1h: -0.839% · rs_4h: -1.720% · rs_1d: 2.42% · rs_3d: 5.05% · beta_24h: 1.678 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3342 | rvol_20: 0.74× · zscore_50: -0.080 · trend: 26.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7405 | ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 31.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.087% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.300% | 0.7R | -0.390% | 1.0R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.311% | 0.8R | -0.403% | 1.0R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.388% | 1.0R | -0.940% | 2.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.846% | 2.1R | -1.152% | 2.8R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.798% | 9.3R | -1.152% | 2.8R | 3.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.42 | bear_high | -5.66% | -0.86 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -1.26% | +0.32 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.59 | range_low | -0.49% | +0.16 | 02/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.52 | range_low | -0.14% | -0.24 | 02/08 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 19b | — | 3.595×ATR | p22 | +0.13×ATR | p10 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 2.68×ATR | p36 | +0.282×ATR | p31 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 3.455×ATR | p73 | -0.743×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 21b | — | 7.074×ATR | p96 | -0.855×ATR | p67 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63346.4
-0.00269058
63176
0.4686
63326.8
-0.0024926
63169
0.505242
63425.9
-0.00420906
63159
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
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495.81
194
0.6783
0.6815
0.3481
0.246
0.4317
1
0.2647
0.5669
0.7324
0.952
0.6924
0.5727
0.1066
0.0844
0.6667
-0.3559
0.6562
0.65
0.35
1
5
1
0.5081
0.6811
5.5418
0.5
3.434
7.1179
0.6562
0.3141
0.3264
0.92
0.4209
0.585
0.4176
0.7056
0.5727
-3.3984
4.5544
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 20:35:00 | 492.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 21:40:00 | 495.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 21:55:00 | 490.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 22:40:00 | 486.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 23:15:00 | 490.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 00:30:00 | 482.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 00:55:00 | 485.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 01:25:00 | 478.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 01:45:00 | 480.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 02:45:00 | 476.59 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 07:15:00 | 475.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 07:45:00 | 471 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 476.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:45:00 | 469.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 13:00:00 | 475 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 469.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 16:30:00 | 473.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 21:30:00 | 495.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 22:30:00 | 486.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 02:45:00 | 476.59 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 453.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 468.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 461.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 473.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 458.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 04:00:00 | 477.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 476.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 469.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 495.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 02:00:00 | 476.63 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 476.6 | 474.6528 | 480.4945 | 2 | 1227.3 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 474.6528 - 476.6 = -1.9472
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 476.6 - 480.4945 = -3.8945
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.8945 / -1.9472 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1958.0481 | 100 | 4.1084 | 20.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.9472 = -4.11
Taille de position USD = -4.11 x 476.6 = -1958.83
Donc, tu peux acheter -4.11 avec un stoploss a 474.6528
Avec un position size USD de -1958.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4.11 x -1.9472 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4.11 x -3.8945 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.82 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.41 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.41 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.94 % | 230.05 % | 24 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 476.6 | 474.6528 | 480.4945 | 2 | 1227.3 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 474.6528 - 476.6 = -1.9472
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 476.6 - 480.4945 = -3.8945
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.8945 / -1.9472 = 2.0001
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.300% | 0.7R | -0.390% | 1.0R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.311% | 0.8R | -0.403% | 1.0R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.388% | 1.0R | -0.940% | 2.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.846% | 2.1R | -1.152% | 2.8R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.798% | 9.3R | -1.152% | 2.8R | 3.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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