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Short Trade on ONDO

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02 Aug 2026 at 23:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ONDO (momentum_rotation_score)

With 693.19 ONDO at 0.37$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3817 (3.11 %)

ONDO SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Aug 2026 23:10 → 02:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.3702$

Qty 693.1916 ONDO

Size 256.6057$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 256.62$

SL 0.3817 (-3.11%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR

Status win PnL +0.04% / +0.11$ MAE -0.87% MFE +0.39% 0.1R expires 03 Aug 02:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 56978)
#5 / 37 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/08/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4167

Quality Score
0.571
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/08 23:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#5 / 37 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.11 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 37 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.11 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -1.97×ATR
1d clear 4.38×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

02/08 23:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

02/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

02/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/08 22:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1251
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational bear transition — +1
Tactical range range — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.53
Transition risk : 0.47
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.47
Snapshot évalué : 02/08 23:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 02/08/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.5714
Score SMA
0.4967
Rank
#5 / 37
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4167
Rank Norm SMA
0.2534
Calculé le
02/08/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2999 r1h: -0.750% · r4h: -2.716% · r1d: -5.40% · r3d: -9.03% · ema21_slope: -0.0956% · dist_ema21: -3.197%
Force Relative 25% 0.2996 rs_1h: -0.692% · rs_4h: -2.336% · rs_1d: -4.97% · rs_3d: -7.30% · beta_24h: 2.271
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 6.79× · zscore_50: 5.863 · trend: 157.72%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7104 ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 31.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.096% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -3.106% (0.0115)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.340% 0.1R -0.870% 0.3R 0.4× 12
2h +0.340% 0.1R -0.870% 0.3R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +0.386% 0.1R -0.870% 0.3R 0.4× 36
4h +1.191% 0.4R -0.870% 0.3R 1.4× 48
8h +1.191% 0.4R -0.870% 0.3R 1.4× 96
12h +1.191% 0.4R -2.431% 0.8R 0.5× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.91
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.65 bear_high -5.66% +0.96 02/08 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 52% late near -2.0ATR — 0.59 bear_high -1.26% -0.75 02/08 20:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate fading expansion bear_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 50% late — — 0.60 range_low -0.49% -0.50 02/08 22:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_medium_confirmed
61%
choppy 53% mid — — — range_low -0.14% -0.42 02/08 22:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 40b — 3.351×ATR p33 -0.51×ATR p58
4h ↓ down late 5b — 2.576×ATR p27 -1.417×ATR p93
1h ↓ down late 5b — 5.109×ATR p94 -2.16×ATR p100
15m ↓ down mid 8b — 2.576×ATR p46 -0.995×ATR p65

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.38172082
  2. atr: 0.00384694
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-03T06:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 36
  2. total: 37
  3. score: 0.2999
  4. confidence: 0.972

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3702 0.3817 0.5
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3702
  • Stop Loss: 0.3817
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3817 - 0.3702 = 0.0115

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3702 - = 0.3702

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3702 / 0.0115 = 32.1913

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
256.6057 100 693.1916 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0115

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0115 = 695.65

Taille de position USD = 695.65 x 0.3702 = 257.53

Donc, tu peux acheter 695.65 avec un stoploss a 0.3817

Avec un position size USD de 257.53$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 695.65 x 0.0115 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 695.65 x 0.3702 = 257.53

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 257.53$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 695.65
  • Taille de position USD 257.53
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 257.53
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 32.1913

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 256.62 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.11 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
0.11 $ 0.04
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8698 % 28 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3702 0.3817 0.5
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3702
  • Stop Loss: 0.3817
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3817 - 0.3702 = 0.0115

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3702 - = 0.3702

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3702 / 0.0115 = 32.1913

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -3.106% (0.0115)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.340% 0.1R -0.870% 0.3R 0.4× 12
2h +0.340% 0.1R -0.870% 0.3R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +0.386% 0.1R -0.870% 0.3R 0.4× 36
4h +1.191% 0.4R -0.870% 0.3R 1.4× 48
8h +1.191% 0.4R -0.870% 0.3R 1.4× 96
12h +1.191% 0.4R -2.431% 0.8R 0.5× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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