Short Trade on ONDO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 699.21 ONDO at 0.37$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3813 (3.11 %)
03 Aug 2026 at 02:10:03
hyperliquid
ONDO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
03 Aug 2026 02:10
→ 05:05
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.3698$
Qty 699.2084 ONDO
Size 258.5813$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 258.57$
SL 0.3813 (-3.11%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR
Status
loss
PnL
-0.01%
/ -0.021$
MAE -0.95%
MFE +1.08%
0.4R
expires
03 Aug 05:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 57092)
#31 / 38
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/08/2026 02:00
score du 03/08/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3661
Quality Score
0.476
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/08 02:01
03/08 02:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#31 / 38
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.11 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#31 / 38
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.11 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 6.25×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.38×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 02:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 03/08 01:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1254
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.53
Transition risk :
0.47
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.47
Snapshot évalué :
03/08 02:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
03/08/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.4763
Score SMA
0.4882
Rank
#31
/ 38
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3661
Rank Norm SMA
0.2244
Calculé le
03/08/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3492 | r1h: -0.321% · r4h: -0.986% · r1d: -5.30% · r3d: -8.91% · ema21_slope: -0.1509% · dist_ema21: -2.655% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3710 | rs_1h: -0.345% · rs_4h: -0.333% · rs_1d: -4.28% · rs_3d: -6.51% · beta_24h: 1.476 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3280 | rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.174 · trend: 31.59% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7544 | ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 31.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.052% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -3.110%
(0.0115)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.084% | 0.4R | -0.268% | 0.1R | 4.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.084% | 0.4R | -0.952% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.084% | 0.4R | -0.952% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.084% | 0.4R | -0.952% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.084% | 0.4R | -2.123% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.084% | 0.4R | -2.545% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.26
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.65 | bear_high | -5.66% | +0.96 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.59 | bear_high | -1.84% | -0.68 | 03/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.59 | bear_low | -1.02% | -0.42 | 03/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.62% | -0.06 | 03/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 40b | — | 3.351×ATR | p33 | -0.51×ATR | p58 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 2.797×ATR | p31 | -1.29×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 5.562×ATR | p98 | -1.254×ATR | p90 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.072×ATR | p31 | -0.706×ATR | p52 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3698 | 0.3813 | 0.4826 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3698
- Stop Loss: 0.3813
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3813 - 0.3698 = 0.0115
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3698 - = 0.3698
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3698 / 0.0115 = 32.1565
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 258.5813 | 100 | 699.2084 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0115
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0115 = 695.65
Taille de position USD = 695.65 x 0.3698 = 257.25
Donc, tu peux acheter 695.65 avec un stoploss a 0.3813
Avec un position size USD de 257.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 695.65 x 0.0115 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 695.65 x 0.3698 = 257.25
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 257.25$
Résumé
- Taille de position 695.65
- Taille de position USD 257.25
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 257.25
- Risk-Reward Ratio 32.1565
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 258.57 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.11 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.021 $ | -0.01 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9519 % | 30.61 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3698 | 0.3813 | 0.4826 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3698
- Stop Loss: 0.3813
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3813 - 0.3698 = 0.0115
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3698 - = 0.3698
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3698 / 0.0115 = 32.1565
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -3.110%
(0.0115)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.084% | 0.4R | -0.268% | 0.1R | 4.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.084% | 0.4R | -0.952% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.084% | 0.4R | -0.952% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.084% | 0.4R | -0.952% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.084% | 0.4R | -2.123% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.084% | 0.4R | -2.545% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.