Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 4.96 ZEC at 473.37$ per unit. Take profit: 476.5933 (0.68 %) & Stop Loss: 471.7583 (0.34 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 4.96 ZEC at 473.37$ per unit. Take profit: 476.5933 (0.68 %) & Stop Loss: 471.7583 (0.34 %)
Position
Entry 473.37$
Qty 4.9638 ZEC
Size 2349.7212$ (margin 100$) (leverage 23)
Risk Setup
TP 476.5933 (+0.68%)
TP $ 16$
SL 471.7583 (-0.34%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8595
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.20×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.52×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 02:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.538425 15m : 0.528664 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 03/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 03/08 02:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5594 | r1h: 0.021% · r4h: -0.696% · r1d: 0.50% · r3d: 3.13% · ema21_slope: 0.1310% · dist_ema21: -0.341% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5642 | rs_1h: -0.003% · rs_4h: -0.043% · rs_1d: 1.53% · rs_3d: 5.53% · beta_24h: 1.651 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2143 | rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.501 · trend: -14.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6867 | ADX: 22.4 (weak) · Chop: 34.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.001% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.251% | 0.7R | -0.393% | 1.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.251% | 0.7R | -0.477% | 1.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.401% | 4.1R | -0.477% | 1.4R | 2.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.354% | 12.8R | -0.477% | 1.4R | 9.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.506% | 13.2R | -0.477% | 1.4R | 9.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.42 | bear_high | -6.47% | -0.88 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -1.74% | +0.41 | 03/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.59 | bear_low | -0.94% | +0.09 | 03/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.54 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.00 | 03/08 02:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 19b | — | 3.766×ATR | p28 | -0.112×ATR | p9 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.047×ATR | p0 | +0.08×ATR | p8 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 4.421×ATR | p84 | -0.503×ATR | p48 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 0.649×ATR | p0 | -0.337×ATR | p32 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63114.7
-0.0053838
62775
0.538425
63210.3
-0.00660221
62793
0.528664
63401.4
-0.00912312
62823
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
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495.81
190
0.6551
0.6815
0.3398
0.248
0.415
1
0.246
0.5632
0.7324
0.715
0.6536
0.5426
-0.0478
0.0283
0.6667
-0.4849
0.5184
0.65
0.35
1
9
1
0.504
0.6811
5.5418
0.5
3.434
7.1179
0.5184
0.3141
0.3001
0.68
0.1605
0.555
0.4093
0.5442
0.5426
-4.5886
5.4434
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:21 | 473.37000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 02:27 | 473.79000000 | +0.089% |
| 3 | 02:34 | 473.71000000 | +0.072% |
| 4 | 02:39 | 473.09000000 | -0.059% |
| 5 | 02:45 | 473.33000000 | -0.008% |
| 6 | 03:04 | 472.05000000 | -0.279% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 01:25:00 | 478.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 01:45:00 | 480.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 02:50:00 | 475.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 03:15:00 | 478.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 04:00:00 | 474.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 04:45:00 | 478.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 05:20:00 | 478.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 05:35:00 | 475.49 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 06:00:00 | 477.01 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 06:20:00 | 472.12 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 476.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:45:00 | 469.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 13:00:00 | 475 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 469.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 16:30:00 | 473.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 21:30:00 | 495.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 22:30:00 | 486.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 04:00:00 | 474.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 05:15:00 | 478.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 06:15:00 | 475.19 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 453.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 468.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 461.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 473.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 458.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 04:00:00 | 477.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 476.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 469.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 495.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 04:00:00 | 474.68 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 473.37 | 471.7583 | 476.5933 | 2 | 1240.6 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 471.7583 - 473.37 = -1.6117
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 473.37 - 476.5933 = -3.2233
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.2233 / -1.6117 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2349.7212 | 100 | 4.9638 | 23.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.6117 = -4.96
Taille de position USD = -4.96 x 473.37 = -2347.92
Donc, tu peux acheter -4.96 avec un stoploss a 471.7583
Avec un position size USD de -2347.92$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4.96 x -1.6117 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4.96 x -3.2233 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.68 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.34 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3528 % | 103.61 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 473.37 | 471.7583 | 476.5933 | 2 | 1240.6 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 471.7583 - 473.37 = -1.6117
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 473.37 - 476.5933 = -3.2233
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.2233 / -1.6117 = 1.9999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.251% | 0.7R | -0.393% | 1.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.251% | 0.7R | -0.477% | 1.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.401% | 4.1R | -0.477% | 1.4R | 2.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.354% | 12.8R | -0.477% | 1.4R | 9.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.506% | 13.2R | -0.477% | 1.4R | 9.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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