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Short Trade on KAITO

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03 Aug 2026 at 08:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_score)

With 75.52 KAITO at 1.007$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1126 (10.52 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 03 Aug 2026 08:10 → 11:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 1.0067$

Qty 75.5213 KAITO

Size 76.0273$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 76.03$

SL 1.1126 (-10.52%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +4.30% / +3.27$ MAE -2.24% MFE +4.63% 0.4R expires 03 Aug 11:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 57327)
#37 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/08/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0034

Quality Score
0.320
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
26.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/08 08:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#37 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.52 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#37 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.52 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.36×ATR
4h near 0.05×ATR
1d clear 1.63×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1)

03/08 08:00

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

02/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

03/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/08 07:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1260
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational bear expansion — +1
Tactical bear expansion — +1
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.53
Transition risk : 0.47
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.47
Snapshot évalué : 03/08 08:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 03/08/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3195
Score SMA
0.4076
Rank
#37 / 37
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0034
Rank Norm SMA
0.1181
Calculé le
03/08/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1945 r1h: -1.622% · r4h: 0.401% · r1d: -19.11% · r3d: -10.62% · ema21_slope: -0.5198% · dist_ema21: -3.775%
Force Relative 25% 0.2426 rs_1h: -1.542% · rs_4h: 0.284% · rs_1d: -18.57% · rs_3d: -8.89% · beta_24h: -0.432
Volume 20% 0.1887 rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -0.600 · trend: -28.51%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5358 ADX: 18.2 (weak) · Chop: 52.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.8241 ATR%: 3.528% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -10.520% (0.1059)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.873% 0.3R -2.235% 0.2R 1.3× 12
2h +4.294% 0.4R -2.235% 0.2R 1.9× 24
3h ★ +4.626% 0.4R -2.235% 0.2R 2.1× 36
4h +6.761% 0.6R -2.235% 0.2R 3.0× 48
8h +9.210% 0.9R -2.235% 0.2R 4.1× 96
12h +9.607% 0.9R -2.235% 0.2R 4.3× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.36
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 36% mid — — 0.42 bear_high -6.47% +0.98 02/08 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high_confirmed
53%
noisy_chop 41% mid near 0.1ATR — 0.03 bear_high -2.03% -0.73 03/08 04:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 48% early near 0.4ATR — -0.13 bear_low -1.06% -0.81 03/08 07:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
65%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.02 range_low -0.47% +0.16 03/08 07:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 5b — 2.946×ATR p10 -0.737×ATR p63
4h ↓ down mid 10b — 3.517×ATR p28 -0.858×ATR p73
1h ↑ up early 5b — 1.41×ATR p0 -0.271×ATR p26
15m ↓ down early 10b — 2.652×ATR p40 -0.599×ATR p40

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 1.11263037
  2. atr: 0.03531012
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-03T15:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 38
  2. total: 38
  3. score: 0.1945
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.0067 1.1126 0.3216
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.0067
  • Stop Loss: 1.1126
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.1126 - 1.0067 = 0.1059

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.0067 - = 1.0067

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0067 / 0.1059 = 9.5061

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
76.0273 76.0273 75.5213 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1059

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1059 = 75.54

Taille de position USD = 75.54 x 1.0067 = 76.05

Donc, tu peux acheter 75.54 avec un stoploss a 1.1126

Avec un position size USD de 76.05$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 75.54 x 0.1059 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 75.54 x 1.0067 = 76.05

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 76.05$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 75.54
  • Taille de position USD 76.05
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 76.05
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 9.5061

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 76.03 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
10.52 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
3.27 $ 4.30
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.235 % 21.25 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.0067 1.1126 0.3216
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.0067
  • Stop Loss: 1.1126
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.1126 - 1.0067 = 0.1059

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.0067 - = 1.0067

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0067 / 0.1059 = 9.5061

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -10.520% (0.1059)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.873% 0.3R -2.235% 0.2R 1.3× 12
2h +4.294% 0.4R -2.235% 0.2R 1.9× 24
3h ★ +4.626% 0.4R -2.235% 0.2R 2.1× 36
4h +6.761% 0.6R -2.235% 0.2R 3.0× 48
8h +9.210% 0.9R -2.235% 0.2R 4.1× 96
12h +9.607% 0.9R -2.235% 0.2R 4.3× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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