Long Trade on WLD (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 801.47 WLD at 0.322$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3302 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3122 (3.07 %)
Long Trade on WLD (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 801.47 WLD at 0.322$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3302 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3122 (3.07 %)
Position
Entry 0.3221$
Qty 801.4675 WLD
Size 258.1928$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3302 (+2.51%)
TP $ 6.49$
SL 0.3122 (-3.07%)
SL $ 7.93$
RR 0.82
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5330
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.88×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 3.10×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 12:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 03/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 03/08 11:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6831 | r1h: 1.036% · r4h: 4.304% · r1d: 3.40% · r3d: 6.16% · ema21_slope: -0.0097% · dist_ema21: 2.655% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6696 | rs_1h: 1.308% · rs_4h: 2.334% · rs_1d: 2.34% · rs_3d: 4.46% · beta_24h: 1.420 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4730 | rvol_20: 1.54× · zscore_50: 0.193 · trend: 20.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6657 | ADX: 22.0 (weak) · Chop: 40.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.300% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.857% | 0.3R | -0.183% | 0.1R | 4.7× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.857% | 0.3R | -0.183% | 0.1R | 4.7× | 13 |
| 2h | +0.857% | 0.3R | -0.553% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.354% | 0.4R | -0.553% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.366% | 0.4R | -0.553% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.105% | 1.0R | -0.553% | 0.2R | 5.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bear_high | -7.04% | -0.99 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.44 | range_high | -0.17% | +0.28 | 03/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.52 | range_medium | +0.66% | +0.17 | 03/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_medium_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | near -1.6ATR | — | bull_low_confirmed | +1.12% | +0.21 | 03/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 47b | — | 15.448×ATR | p94 | -0.447×ATR | p42 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 0.808×ATR | p0 | +0.622×ATR | p58 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 3.857×ATR | p74 | +1.576×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 3.197×ATR | p59 | +1.399×ATR | p83 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3221 | 0.3122 | 0.3302 | 0.82 | 0.5634 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3122 - 0.3221 = -0.0099
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3221 - 0.3302 = -0.0081
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0081 / -0.0099 = 0.8182
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 258.1928 | 100 | 801.4675 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0099 = -808.08
Taille de position USD = -808.08 x 0.3221 = -260.28
Donc, tu peux acheter -808.08 avec un stoploss a 0.3122
Avec un position size USD de -260.28$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -808.08 x -0.0099 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -808.08 x -0.0081 = 6.55
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.55$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 6.49 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.07 % | 7.93 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.15 $ | 0.06 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1832 % | 5.96 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3221 | 0.3122 | 0.3302 | 0.82 | 0.5634 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3122 - 0.3221 = -0.0099
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3221 - 0.3302 = -0.0081
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0081 / -0.0099 = 0.8182
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.857% | 0.3R | -0.183% | 0.1R | 4.7× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.857% | 0.3R | -0.183% | 0.1R | 4.7× | 13 |
| 2h | +0.857% | 0.3R | -0.553% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.354% | 0.4R | -0.553% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.366% | 0.4R | -0.553% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.105% | 1.0R | -0.553% | 0.2R | 5.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Aucun commentaire.