03 Aug 2026 at 13:10:03 hyperliquid

Short Trade on UNI (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 58.14 UNI at 3.903$ per unit. Take profit: 3.8052 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 4.0404 (3.53 %)

UNI SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Aug 2026 13:10 → 19:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 3.9028$

Qty 58.1449 UNI

Size 226.9278$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 3.8052 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.67$

SL 4.0404 (-3.53%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.71

Status loss PnL -0.14% / -0.33$ MAE -1.16% MFE +0.65% 0.2R expires 03 Aug 19:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 57501)
#36 / 38 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/08/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1509

Quality Score
0.465
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
11.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/08 13:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#36 / 38 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-4 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.53 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#36 / 38 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-4 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.53 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.75×ATR
4h near 0.07×ATR
1d clear 5.59×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

03/08 13:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

02/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

03/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

03/08 12:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1265
range compression range_bound
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational range compression — 0
Tactical range range — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.53
Transition risk : 0.47
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.72
Snapshot évalué : 03/08 13:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 03/08/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.4654
Score SMA
0.5006
Rank
#36 / 38
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1509
Rank Norm SMA
0.3001
Calculé le
03/08/2026 13:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2932 r1h: -0.683% · r4h: -4.508% · r1d: -7.31% · r3d: -8.19% · ema21_slope: -0.1770% · dist_ema21: -4.392%
Force Relative 25% 0.1582 rs_1h: -0.815% · rs_4h: -6.212% · rs_1d: -8.22% · rs_3d: -9.62% · beta_24h: 0.279
Volume 20% 0.6878 rvol_20: 1.76× · zscore_50: 1.287 · trend: 103.56%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6690 ADX: 20.3 (weak) · Chop: 31.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.500% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.526% (0.1376)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.135% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.646% 0.2R -1.135% 0.3R 0.6× 24
4h +0.646% 0.2R -1.161% 0.3R 0.6× 48
6h ★ +0.646% 0.2R -1.161% 0.3R 0.6× 72
8h +0.784% 0.2R -1.161% 0.3R 0.7× 96
12h +2.427% 0.7R -1.161% 0.3R 2.1× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.8
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.66 bear_high -7.04% +0.89 02/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong balanced compression bull_high
52%
noisy_chop 41% late near 0.1ATR — 0.50 range_high -0.15% -0.78 03/08 12:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_high_confirmed
56%
choppy 49% late near -0.7ATR — 0.42 range_medium +0.62% -0.69 03/08 12:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
44%
noisy_chop 46% late — — — bull_low +1.01% -0.57 03/08 12:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 33b — 5.373×ATR p47 +0.02×ATR p2
4h ↓ down late 9b — 3.249×ATR p49 -1.278×ATR p91
1h ↓ down late 3b — 3.797×ATR p83 -2.066×ATR p94
15m ↓ down late 11b — 6.401×ATR p93 -1.575×ATR p94

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 4.04038737
  2. tp_price: 3.80523
  3. atr: 0.05503495
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-03T23:10:03+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 38
  2. total: 39
  3. score: 0.2932
  4. delta_2h: -0.1348
  5. extension_atr: -2.79
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1509
  9. confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.9028 4.0404 3.8052 0.71 8.8722
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.9028
  • Stop Loss: 4.0404
  • Take Profit: 3.8052

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.0404 - 3.9028 = 0.1376

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.9028 - 3.8052 = 0.0976

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0976 / 0.1376 = 0.7093

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
226.9278 100 58.1449 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1376

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1376 = 58.14

Taille de position USD = 58.14 x 3.9028 = 226.91

Donc, tu peux acheter 58.14 avec un stoploss a 4.0404

Avec un position size USD de 226.91$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 58.14 x 0.1376 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 58.14 x 0.0976 = 5.67

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.67$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 58.14
  • Taille de position USD 226.91
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 5.67
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7093

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 5.67 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.53 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.33 $ -0.14
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.1607 % 32.92 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.9028 4.0404 3.8052 0.71 8.8722
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.9028
  • Stop Loss: 4.0404
  • Take Profit: 3.8052

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.0404 - 3.9028 = 0.1376

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.9028 - 3.8052 = 0.0976

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0976 / 0.1376 = 0.7093

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.526% (0.1376)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.135% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.646% 0.2R -1.135% 0.3R 0.6× 24
4h +0.646% 0.2R -1.161% 0.3R 0.6× 48
6h ★ +0.646% 0.2R -1.161% 0.3R 0.6× 72
8h +0.784% 0.2R -1.161% 0.3R 0.7× 96
12h +2.427% 0.7R -1.161% 0.3R 2.1× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.