Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 4.44 ZEC at 486.5$ per unit. Take profit: 490.1018 (0.74 %) & Stop Loss: 484.6991 (0.37 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 4.44 ZEC at 486.5$ per unit. Take profit: 490.1018 (0.74 %) & Stop Loss: 484.6991 (0.37 %)
Position
Entry 486.5$
Qty 4.4422 ZEC
Size 2161.1369$ (margin 100$) (leverage 22)
Risk Setup
TP 490.1018 (+0.74%)
TP $ 16$
SL 484.6991 (-0.37%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7676
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.97×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.02×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 15:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.660543 15m : 0.562532 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 03/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 03/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | early_expansion | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5719 | r1h: -0.393% · r4h: -0.513% · r1d: 3.03% · r3d: 6.66% · ema21_slope: 0.1053% · dist_ema21: 1.148% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5574 | rs_1h: -0.277% · rs_4h: -0.294% · rs_1d: 2.34% · rs_3d: 5.50% · beta_24h: 1.131 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3272 | rvol_20: 0.88× · zscore_50: -0.147 · trend: 6.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7139 | ADX: 27.4 (trend) · Chop: 39.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.997% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.380% | 1.0R | -0.284% | 0.8R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.415% | 1.1R | -0.545% | 1.5R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.415% | 1.1R | -1.412% | 3.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.415% | 1.1R | -1.665% | 4.5R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.631% | 1.7R | -1.665% | 4.5R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.42 | bear_high | -4.93% | -0.84 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.65 | range_high | -0.09% | +0.56 | 03/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.59 | range_medium | +0.68% | -0.04 | 03/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.57 | bull_low | +0.92% | -0.15 | 03/08 14:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 19b | — | 3.215×ATR | p6 | +0.353×ATR | p29 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.976×ATR | p0 | +0.961×ATR | p81 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 3.841×ATR | p79 | +0.443×ATR | p43 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.93×ATR | p23 | -0.535×ATR | p54 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63480.7
0.00599032
63861
0.660543
63250.6
0.00965004
63861
0.562532
63448.4
0.00650177
63861
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[detected_trend] => range
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
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494.7
194
0.7447
0.6521
0.3499
0.2703
0.415
0.9551
0.4305
0.5438
0.7079
0.4412
0.6345
0.7833
0.1342
0.1009
1
0.5309
1.7535
0.65
0.35
1
22
1
0.4593
0.5768
5.5418
0.55
0.9551
5.1741
1.7535
0.551
0.2265
0.58
-0.1602
0.5293
0.4566
0.6531
0.7833
-2.0463
7.3978
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:09 | 486.50000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:22 | 486.31000000 | -0.039% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 11:10:00 | 477.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 12:20:00 | 485.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 13:30:00 | 482.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 13:55:00 | 493.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 14:25:00 | 494.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:00:00 | 488.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:05:00 | 487.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:45:00 | 493.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 17:40:00 | 489.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 19:05:00 | 485.26 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 21:30:00 | 495.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 22:30:00 | 486.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 04:00:00 | 474.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 05:15:00 | 478.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 471.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 13:30:00 | 482.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 14:15:00 | 494.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 16:00:00 | 487.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:45:00 | 493.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:00:00 | 485.26 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 461.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 473.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 458.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 04:00:00 | 477.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 476.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 469.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 495.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 471.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 14:00:00 | 494.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:00:00 | 486.35 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 486.5 | 484.6991 | 490.1018 | 2 | 1326.5 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 484.6991 - 486.5 = -1.8009
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 486.5 - 490.1018 = -3.6018
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.6018 / -1.8009 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2161.1369 | 100 | 4.4422 | 22.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.8009 = -4.44
Taille de position USD = -4.44 x 486.5 = -2160.06
Donc, tu peux acheter -4.44 avec un stoploss a 484.6991
Avec un position size USD de -2160.06$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4.44 x -1.8009 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4.44 x -3.6018 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.74 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.37 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3762 % | 101.62 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 486.5 | 484.6991 | 490.1018 | 2 | 1326.5 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 484.6991 - 486.5 = -1.8009
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 486.5 - 490.1018 = -3.6018
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.6018 / -1.8009 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.380% | 1.0R | -0.284% | 0.8R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.415% | 1.1R | -0.545% | 1.5R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.415% | 1.1R | -1.412% | 3.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.415% | 1.1R | -1.665% | 4.5R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.631% | 1.7R | -1.665% | 4.5R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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