Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 4751.33 DOT at 0.82$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8238 (0.4 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8188 (0.21 %)
Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 4751.33 DOT at 0.82$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8238 (0.4 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8188 (0.21 %)
Position
Entry 0.8205$
Qty 4751.3274 DOT
Size 3898.2741$ (margin 100$) (leverage 39)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8238 (+0.4%)
TP $ 15.68$
SL 0.8188 (-0.21%)
SL $ 8.08$
RR 1.94
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8266
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.47×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.91×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.29×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 16:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.384203 15m : 0.378049 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 03/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 03/08 16:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6216 | r1h: -0.503% · r4h: 0.202% · r1d: 3.76% · r3d: 8.62% · ema21_slope: 0.1968% · dist_ema21: 1.824% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5653 | rs_1h: -0.636% · rs_4h: -0.211% · rs_1d: 3.00% · rs_3d: 7.05% · beta_24h: 0.592 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2660 | rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.292 · trend: 14.07% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7703 | ADX: 32.4 (trend) · Chop: 25.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.776% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.453% | 2.2R | -0.099% | 0.5R | 4.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.518% | 2.5R | -0.099% | 0.5R | 5.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.579% | 2.8R | -0.099% | 0.5R | 5.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.233% | 15.6R | -0.099% | 0.5R | 32.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.233% | 15.6R | -0.099% | 0.5R | 32.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -4.93% | -0.11 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.74 | range_high | -0.15% | +0.58 | 03/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.65 | bull_medium | +0.78% | +0.19 | 03/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
50%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | near -1.4ATR | — | 0.36 | bull_low | +0.92% | -0.04 | 03/08 16:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.444×ATR | p0 | +1.057×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 20b | — | 7.144×ATR | p100 | +1.295×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.847×ATR | p29 | -0.197×ATR | p21 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 3.973×ATR | p67 | -1.62×ATR | p92 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63633.4
0.00197294
63759
0.384203
63353.6
0.00644566
63762
0.378049
63462.8
0.00660457
63882
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2
1
0.4872
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5.887
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1.23
2.5242
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0.7722
0.1885
0.84
0.8833
0.6441
0.5648
0.8503
0.8636
-1.7369
10.9966
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:56 | 0.82046000 | -0.005% |
| 2 | 17:14 | 0.81969000 | -0.099% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 14:15:00 | 0.8199 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 15:00:00 | 0.82404 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:05:00 | 0.81419 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:00:00 | 0.82704 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 16:40:00 | 0.82129 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:25:00 | 0.82992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 18:20:00 | 0.82973 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 18:30:00 | 0.82682 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:55:00 | 0.83152 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:45:00 | 0.81874 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 03:45:00 | 0.7871 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 05:30:00 | 0.78878 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 06:00:00 | 0.79838 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:30:00 | 0.79025 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:45:00 | 0.80667 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 14:00:00 | 0.82828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:00:00 | 0.81419 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:15:00 | 0.82992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 18:45:00 | 0.83152 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:45:00 | 0.81874 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 23:00:00 | 0.75783 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 0.76749 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 0.76058 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 0.78392 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.76317 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 0.79923 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 0.80063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 0.79096 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 03:00:00 | 0.7871 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 0.83152 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8205 | 0.8188 | 0.8238 | 1.94 | 1.2336 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8188 - 0.8205 = -0.0017
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8205 - 0.8238 = -0.0033
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0033 / -0.0017 = 1.9412
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3898.2741 | 100 | 4751.3274 | 39.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0017 = -4705.88
Taille de position USD = -4705.88 x 0.8205 = -3861.17
Donc, tu peux acheter -4705.88 avec un stoploss a 0.8188
Avec un position size USD de -3861.17$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4705.88 x -0.0017 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4705.88 x -0.0033 = 15.53
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.53$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.4 % | 15.68 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.21 % | 8.08 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.68 $ | 0.40 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0987 % | 47.64 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8205 | 0.8188 | 0.8238 | 1.94 | 1.2336 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8188 - 0.8205 = -0.0017
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8205 - 0.8238 = -0.0033
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0033 / -0.0017 = 1.9412
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)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.453% | 2.2R | -0.099% | 0.5R | 4.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.518% | 2.5R | -0.099% | 0.5R | 5.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.579% | 2.8R | -0.099% | 0.5R | 5.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.233% | 15.6R | -0.099% | 0.5R | 32.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.233% | 15.6R | -0.099% | 0.5R | 32.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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