Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.088 BTC at 63720$ per unit. Take profit: 63902.6109 (0.29 %) & Stop Loss: 63628.6946 (0.14 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.088 BTC at 63720$ per unit. Take profit: 63902.6109 (0.29 %) & Stop Loss: 63628.6946 (0.14 %)
Position
Entry 63720$
Qty 0.08762 BTC
Size 5583.0186$ (margin 100$) (leverage 56)
Risk Setup
TP 63902.6109 (+0.29%)
TP $ 16$
SL 63628.6946 (-0.14%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6935
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.65×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.64×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.66×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 17:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 03/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 03/08 16:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5242 | r1h: 0.078% · r4h: 0.215% · r1d: 0.63% · r3d: 1.53% · ema21_slope: 0.0486% · dist_ema21: 0.802% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2964 | rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: -0.156 · trend: 13.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7202 | ADX: 26.4 (trend) · Chop: 30.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.485% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.058% | 0.4R | -0.554% | 3.9R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.058% | 0.4R | -0.554% | 3.9R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.058% | 0.4R | -0.680% | 4.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.785% | 5.5R | -0.680% | 4.7R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.785% | 5.5R | -0.680% | 4.7R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -0.7ATR | — | — | — | — | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | — | — | — | — | 03/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | — | — | — | — | 03/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | — | — | — | — | 03/08 17:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 1.843×ATR | p0 | +0.042×ATR | p6 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.809×ATR | p16 | +0.82×ATR | p73 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 4.705×ATR | p86 | +0.709×ATR | p63 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.959×ATR | p27 | -0.591×ATR | p51 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
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[0] => 2026-07-31 14:00:00
[1] => 62440
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[1] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-01 05:00:00
[1] => 63115
[2] => H
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[2] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-01 10:00:00
[1] => 62951
[2] => L
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[3] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-01 15:00:00
[1] => 63099
[2] => H
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[4] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-01 18:00:00
[1] => 62237
[2] => L
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[5] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-02 05:00:00
[1] => 63617
[2] => H
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[6] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-02 11:00:00
[1] => 62960
[2] => L
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[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 22:00:00
[1] => 63784
[2] => H
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[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 08:00:00
[1] => 62270
[2] => L
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[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 19:00:00
[1] => 64050
[2] => H
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[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.52615144418423
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3173277661795
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8585193512125
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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Array
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[0] => 2026-08-03 00:00:00
[1] => 63590
[2] => H
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[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 05:00:00
[1] => 62720
[2] => L
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[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 08:30:00
[1] => 62270
[2] => L
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[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 09:45:00
[1] => 62835
[2] => H
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[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 12:00:00
[1] => 62423
[2] => L
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[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 15:00:00
[1] => 63955
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 17:15:00
[1] => 64017
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 18:45:00
[1] => 63728
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 19:30:00
[1] => 64050
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 21:00:00
[1] => 63700
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.5152224824356
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.031397174254317
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.54945054945055
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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Array
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[0] => 2026-08-03 16:25:00
[1] => 63916
[2] => H
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[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 16:40:00
[1] => 63686
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 17:00:00
[1] => 63686
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 17:20:00
[1] => 64017
[2] => H
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[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 18:15:00
[1] => 63963
[2] => H
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[5] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-03 18:45:00
[1] => 63728
[2] => L
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[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 19:30:00
[1] => 64050
[2] => H
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[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 20:00:00
[1] => 63779
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 20:20:00
[1] => 64006
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 21:05:00
[1] => 63700
[2] => L
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[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.44683310939599
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.031397174254317
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.48037676609105
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
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62423
190
0.595
0.5674
0.3588
0.2413
0.455
0.7292
0.5305
0.4539
0.3767
0.792
0.53
0.4689
0.1714
0.0784
1
1.0393
1.4737
0.55
0.45
-1
13
1
0.5174
0.3497
6.3836
0.6
0.7292
1.6869
1.4737
0.864
0.2238
0.82
0.15
0.5444
0.4127
0.5176
0.4689
-5.6695
5.0049
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:06 | 63720.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:12 | 63703.00000000 | -0.027% |
| 3 | 17:36 | 63652.00000000 | -0.107% |
| 4 | 17:42 | 63649.00000000 | -0.111% |
| 5 | 17:48 | 63633.00000000 | -0.137% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 16:25:00 | 63916 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 16:40:00 | 63686 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:00:00 | 63686 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:20:00 | 64017 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 18:15:00 | 63963 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 18:45:00 | 63728 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 19:30:00 | 64050 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:00:00 | 63779 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 20:20:00 | 64006 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 21:05:00 | 63700 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 00:00:00 | 63590 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 05:00:00 | 62720 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 08:30:00 | 62270 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:45:00 | 62835 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 12:00:00 | 62423 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 15:00:00 | 63955 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 17:15:00 | 64017 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 18:45:00 | 63728 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 19:30:00 | 64050 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 21:00:00 | 63700 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 62440 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 63115 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 62951 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 15:00:00 | 63099 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 62237 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 63617 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:00:00 | 62960 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 22:00:00 | 63784 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 62270 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 19:00:00 | 64050 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63720 | 63628.6946 | 63902.6109 | 2 | 85687 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 63628.6946 - 63720 = -91.305399999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 63720 - 63902.6109 = -182.6109
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -182.6109 / -91.305399999997 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5583.0186 | 100 | 0.08762 | 56.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -91.305399999997 = -0.09
Taille de position USD = -0.09 x 63720 = -5734.8
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.09 avec un stoploss a 63628.6946
Avec un position size USD de -5734.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.09 x -91.305399999997 = 8.22
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.22$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.09 x -182.6109 = 16.43
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.43$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.29 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.14 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.146 % | 101.88 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63720 | 63628.6946 | 63902.6109 | 2 | 85687 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 63628.6946 - 63720 = -91.305399999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 63720 - 63902.6109 = -182.6109
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -182.6109 / -91.305399999997 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
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[take_profit] => 63902.6109
[entry_price] => 63720
[stop_loss] => 63619.56406
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-03 21:45:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.2] => Array
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[take_profit] => 63902.6109
[entry_price] => 63720
[stop_loss] => 63610.43352
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-03 21:50:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.3] => Array
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[take_profit] => 63902.6109
[entry_price] => 63720
[stop_loss] => 63601.30298
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-03 21:50:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.5] => Array
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[take_profit] => 63902.6109
[entry_price] => 63720
[stop_loss] => 63583.0419
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-03 21:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.058% | 0.4R | -0.554% | 3.9R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.058% | 0.4R | -0.554% | 3.9R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.058% | 0.4R | -0.680% | 4.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.785% | 5.5R | -0.680% | 4.7R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.785% | 5.5R | -0.680% | 4.7R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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