Long Trade on NIL

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03 Aug 2026 at 17:10:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 4296.85 NIL at 0.0322$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03301 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03034 (5.81 %)

NIL LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Aug 2026 17:10 → 18:30 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.03221$

Qty 4296.8477 NIL

Size 138.3843$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.03301 (+2.48%)

TP $ 3.44$

SL 0.03034 (-5.81%)

SL $ 8.04$

RR 0.43

Status win PnL +2.48% / +3.44$ MAE -0.38% MFE +10.12% 1.7R expires 03 Aug 23:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 57629)

#1 / 38 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 03/08/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8305

Quality Score

0.752

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

2 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

936,745 $

volume USDT au moment du signal
03/08 17:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#1 / 38 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-4 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.81 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#1 / 38 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-4 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.81 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	0.22×ATR
4h	clear	—
1d	clear	53.89×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
4h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 17:00 Score : 0

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

03/08 17:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 03/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 03/08 16:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

02/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

03/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

03/08 16:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1269

range compression range_bound

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	range	compression	—	0
Tactical	range	range	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.53

Transition risk : 0.47

Score contribution (this trade) 0

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.72

Snapshot évalué : 03/08 17:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 03/08/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.7523

Score SMA

0.5928

Rank

#1 / 38

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8305

Rank Norm SMA

0.8026

Calculé le

03/08/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7815	r1h: 0.018% · r4h: 5.743% · r1d: 5.48% · r3d: 14.92% · ema21_slope: 0.2600% · dist_ema21: 6.138%
Force Relative	25%	0.7766	rs_1h: -0.115% · rs_4h: 5.330% · rs_1d: 4.73% · rs_3d: 13.35% · beta_24h: 0.307
Volume	20%	0.3901	rvol_20: 1.22× · zscore_50: 0.114 · trend: 0.44%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9714	ADX: 61.5 (trend) · Chop: 41.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.256% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.806% (0.0019)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.922%	0.3R	-0.379%	0.1R	5.1×	12
2h	+2.543%	0.4R	-0.379%	0.1R	6.7×	24
4h	+6.954%	1.2R	-0.379%	0.1R	18.4×	48
6h ★	+10.124%	1.7R	-0.379%	0.1R	26.7×	72
8h	+11.006%	1.9R	-0.379%	0.1R	29.1×	96
12h	+11.006%	1.9R	-0.379%	0.1R	29.1×	144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 6.7

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 41%	mid	—	—	0.37	bear_high	-7.04%	-0.67	02/08 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	normal	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 43%	late	—	—	0.45	range_high	-0.15%	+0.79	03/08 16:00
1h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	normal	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 41%	late	—	near 0.2ATR	0.15	bull_medium	+0.75%	+0.68	03/08 16:00
15m	—
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	7b	—	5.071×ATR	p68	-0.332×ATR	p36
4h	↑ up	late	7b	—	2.353×ATR	p23	+1.115×ATR	p87
1h	↑ up	late	12b	—	4.746×ATR	p84	+1.726×ATR	p94

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.03034417
tp_price: 0.03301115
atr: 0.00074473
expires_at: 2026-08-04T03:10:07+00:00

Details

rank: 1
total: 40
score: 0.7815
delta_2h: 0.2706
extension_atr: 1.47
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8305
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	17:10	0.03220600	-0.012%
2	18:10	0.03235100	+0.438%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.03221	0.03034	0.03301	0.43	0.08854

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.03221
Stop Loss: 0.03034
Take Profit: 0.03301

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.03034 - 0.03221 = -0.00187
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.03221 - 0.03301 = -0.0008
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0008 / -0.00187 = 0.4278

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
138.3843	100	4296.8477	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.00187

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00187 = -4278.07

Taille de position USD = -4278.07 x 0.03221 = -137.8

Donc, tu peux acheter -4278.07 avec un stoploss a 0.03034

Avec un position size USD de -137.8$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -4278.07 x -0.00187 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -4278.07 x -0.0008 = 3.42

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.42$

Résumé

Taille de position -4278.07
Taille de position USD -137.8
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.42
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4278

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.48 %	3.44 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.81 %	8.04 $

PNL	PNL %
3.44 $	2.48

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.3788 %	6.52 %	2

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.03221	0.03034	0.03301	0.43	0.08854

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.03221
Stop Loss: 0.03034
Take Profit: 0.03301

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.03034 - 0.03221 = -0.00187
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.03221 - 0.03301 = -0.0008
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0008 / -0.00187 = 0.4278

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.806% (0.0019)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.922%	0.3R	-0.379%	0.1R	5.1×	12
2h	+2.543%	0.4R	-0.379%	0.1R	6.7×	24
4h	+6.954%	1.2R	-0.379%	0.1R	18.4×	48
6h ★	+10.124%	1.7R	-0.379%	0.1R	26.7×	72
8h	+11.006%	1.9R	-0.379%	0.1R	29.1×	96
12h	+11.006%	1.9R	-0.379%	0.1R	29.1×	144

computed 2 months ago

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