Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 5.34 ZEC at 483.93$ per unit. Take profit: 486.9269 (0.62 %) & Stop Loss: 482.4315 (0.31 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 5.34 ZEC at 483.93$ per unit. Take profit: 486.9269 (0.62 %) & Stop Loss: 482.4315 (0.31 %)
Position
Entry 483.93$
Qty 5.3388 ZEC
Size 2583.595$ (margin 100$) (leverage 26)
Risk Setup
TP 486.9269 (+0.62%)
TP $ 16$
SL 482.4315 (-0.31%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6995
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.31×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.44×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 17:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.010624 15m : 0.589402 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 03/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 03/08 16:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5533 | r1h: 0.037% · r4h: -1.087% · r1d: -0.99% · r3d: 6.43% · ema21_slope: 0.1241% · dist_ema21: 0.417% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4918 | rs_1h: -0.041% · rs_4h: -1.302% · rs_1d: -1.62% · rs_3d: 4.90% · beta_24h: 1.068 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1707 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -1.029 · trend: -20.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7075 | ADX: 26.7 (trend) · Chop: 40.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.976% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.141% | 0.5R | -0.351% | 1.1R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.219% | 0.7R | -0.889% | 2.9R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.219% | 0.7R | -1.091% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.166% | 3.8R | -1.143% | 3.7R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.166% | 3.8R | -1.143% | 3.7R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.42 | bear_high | -4.93% | -0.84 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.65 | range_high | -0.15% | +0.47 | 03/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.59 | bull_medium | +0.78% | -0.07 | 03/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | — | bull_low | +0.92% | -0.06 | 03/08 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 19b | — | 3.215×ATR | p6 | +0.353×ATR | p29 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.64×ATR | p0 | +0.543×ATR | p52 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.727×ATR | p17 | -0.054×ATR | p6 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 16b | — | 3.371×ATR | p66 | -0.363×ATR | p37 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63632.1
0.00138077
63720
-0.010624
63353.9
0.00577742
63720
0.589402
63442.8
0.004258
63713
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494.7
192
0.7358
0.6346
0.3316
0.2399
0.4067
0.9551
0.4143
0.545
0.7079
0.2548
0.6347
0.7508
0.0743
0.0819
1
0.2117
1.4493
0.65
0.35
1
24
1
0.5202
0.5768
5.5418
0.5
0.9551
5.1741
1.4493
0.551
0.2684
0.4
-0.2778
0.4605
0.4765
0.8123
0.7508
-2.5431
7.6619
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:10 | 483.93000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:16 | 483.80000000 | -0.027% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 14:25:00 | 494.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:00:00 | 488.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:05:00 | 487.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:45:00 | 493.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 17:40:00 | 489.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 19:05:00 | 485.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 19:35:00 | 488.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:00:00 | 485.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 20:20:00 | 488.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 21:05:00 | 483.85 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 22:30:00 | 486.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 04:00:00 | 474.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 05:15:00 | 478.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 471.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 13:30:00 | 482.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 14:15:00 | 494.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 16:00:00 | 487.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:45:00 | 493.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:15:00 | 488.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 21:00:00 | 483.85 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 461.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 473.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 458.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 04:00:00 | 477.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 476.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 469.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 495.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 471.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 14:00:00 | 494.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 21:00:00 | 483.85 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 483.93 | 482.4315 | 486.9269 | 2 | 1334.7 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 482.4315 - 483.93 = -1.4985
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 483.93 - 486.9269 = -2.9969
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.9969 / -1.4985 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2583.595 | 100 | 5.3388 | 26.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.4985 = -5.34
Taille de position USD = -5.34 x 483.93 = -2584.19
Donc, tu peux acheter -5.34 avec un stoploss a 482.4315
Avec un position size USD de -2584.19$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5.34 x -1.4985 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5.34 x -2.9969 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.62 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.31 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.31 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3513 % | 113.43 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 483.93 | 482.4315 | 486.9269 | 2 | 1334.7 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 482.4315 - 483.93 = -1.4985
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 483.93 - 486.9269 = -2.9969
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.9969 / -1.4985 = 1.9999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.141% | 0.5R | -0.351% | 1.1R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.219% | 0.7R | -0.889% | 2.9R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.219% | 0.7R | -1.091% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.166% | 3.8R | -1.143% | 3.7R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.166% | 3.8R | -1.143% | 3.7R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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