Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 530152.42 PUMP at 0.00213$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002157 (1.41 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002112 (0.71 %)
Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 530152.42 PUMP at 0.00213$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002157 (1.41 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002112 (0.71 %)
Position
Entry 0.002127$
Qty 530152.4188 PUMP
Size 1127.6342$ (margin 100$) (leverage 11)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002157 (+1.41%)
TP $ 15.9$
SL 0.002112 (-0.71%)
SL $ 7.95$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6090
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.84×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 18:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.043402 15m : 0.303032 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 03/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 03/08 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | range | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4673 | r1h: -0.647% · r4h: -3.108% · r1d: 1.46% · r3d: 4.11% · ema21_slope: 0.1201% · dist_ema21: 0.543% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4648 | rs_1h: -0.463% · rs_4h: -2.748% · rs_1d: 1.33% · rs_3d: 2.96% · beta_24h: 1.386 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5377 | rvol_20: 1.47× · zscore_50: 0.739 · trend: 49.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6648 | ADX: 20.5 (weak) · Chop: 39.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.898% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.235% | 0.3R | -0.893% | 1.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.705% | 1.0R | -0.893% | 1.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.633% | 3.7R | -1.081% | 1.5R | 2.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.924% | 8.4R | -1.081% | 1.5R | 5.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.958% | 9.9R | -1.081% | 1.5R | 6.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.61 | bear_high | -4.93% | +1.00 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.49 | range_high | -0.31% | +0.19 | 03/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.33 | range_medium | +0.40% | +0.31 | 03/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.18 | range_low | +0.49% | -0.04 | 03/08 17:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 20b | — | 4.908×ATR | p75 | +0.965×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.264×ATR | p0 | +0.227×ATR | p21 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.45×ATR | p48 | -0.029×ATR | p4 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 5.385×ATR | p92 | -0.437×ATR | p43 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63665.9
-0.00144468
63574
0.043402
63391.6
0.0028763
63574
0.303032
63453.8
0.000190989
63466
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0.6872
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0.0593
1
0.2563
0.5254
0.7
0.3
1
3
1
0.4925
0.707
4.2293
0.5
2.5493
4.9707
0.5254
0.1298
0.2693
0.66
0.2773
0.5721
0.5058
0.4995
0.6893
-3.2305
7.1684
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 15:55:00 | 0.002077 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:05:00 | 0.002077 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:15:00 | 0.002077 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:05:00 | 0.002193 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 17:35:00 | 0.002166 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:30:00 | 0.002258 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 21:00:00 | 0.002169 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 21:05:00 | 0.002142 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 21:40:00 | 0.002162 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 0.00212 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 07:15:00 | 0.002102 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:15:00 | 0.002068 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:45:00 | 0.002148 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 12:00:00 | 0.002082 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 12:30:00 | 0.002082 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 14:30:00 | 0.002135 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:45:00 | 0.002077 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:15:00 | 0.002077 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:30:00 | 0.002258 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 0.00212 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 22:00:00 | 0.002024 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 0.002249 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.002041 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 0.002288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 12:00:00 | 0.002129 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 0.002186 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 05:00:00 | 0.002044 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:00:00 | 0.002148 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:00:00 | 0.002077 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 0.002258 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002127 | 0.002112 | 0.002157 | 2 | 0.006254 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002112 - 0.002127 = -1.5E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002127 - 0.002157 = -3.0E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.0E-5 / -1.5E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1127.6342 | 100 | 530152.4188 | 11.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.5E-5 = -533333.33
Taille de position USD = -533333.33 x 0.002127 = -1134.4
Donc, tu peux acheter -533333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.002112
Avec un position size USD de -1134.4$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -533333.33 x -1.5E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -533333.33 x -3.0E-5 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.41 % | 15.9 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.71 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.95 $ | -0.71 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8933 % | 126.67 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002127 | 0.002112 | 0.002157 | 2 | 0.006254 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002112 - 0.002127 = -1.5E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002127 - 0.002157 = -3.0E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.0E-5 / -1.5E-5 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.235% | 0.3R | -0.893% | 1.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.705% | 1.0R | -0.893% | 1.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.633% | 3.7R | -1.081% | 1.5R | 2.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.924% | 8.4R | -1.081% | 1.5R | 5.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.958% | 9.9R | -1.081% | 1.5R | 6.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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