Long Trade on DOGE (CatchTheWave)
With 73132.83 DOGE at 0.0702$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07043 (0.31 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07011 (0.14 %)
Long Trade on DOGE (CatchTheWave)
With 73132.83 DOGE at 0.0702$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07043 (0.31 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07011 (0.14 %)
Position
Entry 0.07021$
Qty 73132.8275 DOGE
Size 5135.0215$ (margin 100$) (leverage 51)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07043 (+0.31%)
TP $ 16.09$
SL 0.07011 (-0.14%)
SL $ 7.31$
RR 2.2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2694
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.80×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.95×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.85×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 18:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.719122 15m : 0.747358 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 03/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 03/08 17:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | range | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5143 | r1h: -0.023% · r4h: 0.258% · r1d: -0.43% · r3d: 1.23% · ema21_slope: 0.0254% · dist_ema21: 0.470% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5132 | rs_1h: 0.161% · rs_4h: 0.618% · rs_1d: -0.56% · rs_3d: 0.08% · beta_24h: 0.738 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1654 | rvol_20: 0.13× · zscore_50: -0.519 · trend: -64.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5894 | ADX: 19.1 (weak) · Chop: 46.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.521% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.245% | 1.7R | -0.150% | 1.1R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.245% | 1.7R | -0.150% | 1.1R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.423% | 3.0R | -0.473% | 3.3R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.578% | 4.1R | -0.473% | 3.3R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.578% | 4.1R | -0.473% | 3.3R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -4.93% | -0.36 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.4ATR | near -0.9ATR | 0.83 | range_high | -0.31% | +0.04 | 03/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.68 | range_medium | +0.40% | -0.01 | 03/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | — | range_low | +0.49% | +0.05 | 03/08 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 30b | — | 3.472×ATR | p38 | -0.038×ATR | p6 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.134×ATR | p0 | +0.365×ATR | p39 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 4.126×ATR | p84 | +0.483×ATR | p52 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 1.785×ATR | p15 | +0.362×ATR | p34 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63684.3
-0.00487389
63374
0.719122
63387.7
-0.000216225
63374
0.747358
63453.8
0.000190989
63466
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0.068949
185
0.6062
0.6547
0.2718
0.2323
0.3042
1
0.1062
0.5856
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0.1937
0.6087
0.6757
0.0844
0.0409
1
0.3206
0.5916
0.5
0.5
-1
14
1
0.5355
0.5437
6.5273
0.6
2.5508
6.6628
0.5916
0
0.2179
0.14
-0.1354
0.474
0.5235
0.6001
0.6757
-3.573
7.4461
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:07 | 0.07021500 | +0.007% |
| 2 | 18:31 | 0.07019100 | -0.027% |
| 3 | 18:37 | 0.07015100 | -0.084% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 17:20:00 | 0.070557 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 17:50:00 | 0.070191 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:10:00 | 0.070439 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 18:30:00 | 0.070236 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 19:30:00 | 0.070495 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:00:00 | 0.070213 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 21:00:00 | 0.070513 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 21:20:00 | 0.070323 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 21:35:00 | 0.070504 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:05:00 | 0.070144 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 08:15:00 | 0.068949 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:45:00 | 0.069768 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 12:00:00 | 0.069221 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 14:15:00 | 0.070491 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 16:30:00 | 0.070111 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:15:00 | 0.070557 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:30:00 | 0.070495 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:00:00 | 0.070213 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 21:00:00 | 0.070513 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 0.070144 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 19:00:00 | 0.070352 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 0.070249 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 0.069591 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 0.070195 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.0678 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 0.070553 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 0.06983 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 22:00:00 | 0.071436 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 0.068949 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:00:00 | 0.070557 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07021 | 0.07011 | 0.07043 | 2.2 | 0.09337 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07011 - 0.07021 = -9.9999999999989E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07021 - 0.07043 = -0.00022000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00022000000000001 / -9.9999999999989E-5 = 2.2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5135.0215 | 100 | 73132.8275 | 51.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -9.9999999999989E-5 = -80000
Taille de position USD = -80000 x 0.07021 = -5616.8
Donc, tu peux acheter -80000 avec un stoploss a 0.07011
Avec un position size USD de -5616.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -80000 x -9.9999999999989E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -80000 x -0.00022000000000001 = 17.6
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 17.6$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.31 % | 16.09 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.14 % | 7.31 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.31 $ | -0.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1496 % | 105.06 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07021 | 0.07011 | 0.07043 | 2.2 | 0.09337 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07011 - 0.07021 = -9.9999999999989E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07021 - 0.07043 = -0.00022000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00022000000000001 / -9.9999999999989E-5 = 2.2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.245% | 1.7R | -0.150% | 1.1R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.245% | 1.7R | -0.150% | 1.1R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.423% | 3.0R | -0.473% | 3.3R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.578% | 4.1R | -0.473% | 3.3R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.578% | 4.1R | -0.473% | 3.3R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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