Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 40142.51 XPL at 0.0765$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07688 (0.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07628 (0.26 %)
Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 40142.51 XPL at 0.0765$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07688 (0.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07628 (0.26 %)
Position
Entry 0.07648$
Qty 40142.5059 XPL
Size 3070.2594$ (margin 100$) (leverage 31)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07688 (+0.52%)
TP $ 16.06$
SL 0.07628 (-0.26%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3957
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.08×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 8.68×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.00×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 18:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.464797 15m : 0.440954 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 03/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 03/08 17:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | range | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5317 | r1h: 0.173% · r4h: -0.270% · r1d: -0.18% · r3d: 3.50% · ema21_slope: 0.0724% · dist_ema21: 0.890% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5324 | rs_1h: 0.357% · rs_4h: 0.090% · rs_1d: -0.31% · rs_3d: 2.34% · beta_24h: 0.878 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1605 | rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -0.592 · trend: -53.80% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6864 | ADX: 25.4 (trend) · Chop: 41.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.834% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.774% | 3.0R | -0.205% | 0.8R | 3.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.678% | 6.4R | -0.205% | 0.8R | 8.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.678% | 6.4R | -0.205% | 0.8R | 8.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.869% | 7.2R | -0.205% | 0.8R | 9.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.339% | 9.0R | -0.205% | 0.8R | 11.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.54 | bear_high | -4.93% | -0.94 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.40 | range_high | -0.31% | +0.08 | 03/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.53 | range_medium | +0.40% | +0.15 | 03/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_low |
47%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.45 | range_low | +0.49% | +0.03 | 03/08 17:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 30b | — | 6.26×ATR | p86 | -0.197×ATR | p16 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 2.56×ATR | p36 | +0.483×ATR | p52 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.051×ATR | p0 | +0.393×ATR | p37 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.249×ATR | p0 | +0.238×ATR | p28 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63708.4
-0.00338207
63493
0.464797
63390
0.00162387
63493
0.440954
63453.8
0.000190989
63466
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0.077422
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0.6394
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1
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0.5661
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1
5
1
0.46
0.4436
4.5897
0.6
2.6501
4.7064
0.5661
0
0.2431
0.24
-0.0366
0.5502
0.5388
0.8015
0.5945
-4.3049
6.3112
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 17:50:00 | 0.076943 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 0.077271 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:05:00 | 0.076282 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 19:35:00 | 0.076599 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:40:00 | 0.07629 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 20:35:00 | 0.077199 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:50:00 | 0.0767 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 21:30:00 | 0.076725 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 0.077058 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:05:00 | 0.076425 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 06:00:00 | 0.075465 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 06:45:00 | 0.074651 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 07:30:00 | 0.075421 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:15:00 | 0.074279 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 10:45:00 | 0.07543 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 14:00:00 | 0.077134 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 17:15:00 | 0.077422 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:00:00 | 0.076282 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 20:30:00 | 0.077199 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 0.076425 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 22:00:00 | 0.073 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 06:00:00 | 0.077847 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.072515 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 03:00:00 | 0.077421 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:00:00 | 0.0757 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 0.077364 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 02:00:00 | 0.074475 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 0.074279 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:00:00 | 0.077422 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:00:00 | 0.076282 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07648 | 0.07628 | 0.07688 | 2 | 0.09558 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07628 - 0.07648 = -0.00020000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07648 - 0.07688 = -0.0004
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0004 / -0.00020000000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3070.2594 | 100 | 40142.5059 | 31.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00020000000000001 = -40000
Taille de position USD = -40000 x 0.07648 = -3059.2
Donc, tu peux acheter -40000 avec un stoploss a 0.07628
Avec un position size USD de -3059.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -40000 x -0.00020000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -40000 x -0.0004 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.52 % | 16.06 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.06 $ | 0.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2053 % | 78.51 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07648 | 0.07628 | 0.07688 | 2 | 0.09558 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07628 - 0.07648 = -0.00020000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07648 - 0.07688 = -0.0004
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0004 / -0.00020000000000001 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.774% | 3.0R | -0.205% | 0.8R | 3.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.678% | 6.4R | -0.205% | 0.8R | 8.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.678% | 6.4R | -0.205% | 0.8R | 8.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.869% | 7.2R | -0.205% | 0.8R | 9.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.339% | 9.0R | -0.205% | 0.8R | 11.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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