Long Trade on BNB (CatchTheWave)
With 14.86 BNB at 589.67$ per unit. Take profit: 590.7469 (0.18 %) & Stop Loss: 589.1316 (0.091 %)
Long Trade on BNB (CatchTheWave)
With 14.86 BNB at 589.67$ per unit. Take profit: 590.7469 (0.18 %) & Stop Loss: 589.1316 (0.091 %)
Position
Entry 589.67$
Qty 14.8578 BNB
Size 8761.1801$ (margin 100$) (leverage 88)
Risk Setup
TP 590.7469 (+0.18%)
TP $ 16$
SL 589.1316 (-0.091%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5073
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.32×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.11×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.40×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 18:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.682145 15m : 0.69195 |
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 03/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 03/08 17:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | range | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5130 | r1h: -0.102% · r4h: -0.279% · r1d: 0.16% · r3d: 0.59% · ema21_slope: 0.0558% · dist_ema21: 0.326% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5008 | rs_1h: 0.082% · rs_4h: 0.081% · rs_1d: 0.02% · rs_3d: -0.56% · beta_24h: 0.323 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1436 | rvol_20: 0.18× · zscore_50: -0.960 · trend: -44.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6969 | ADX: 23.6 (weak) · Chop: 34.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.378% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.161% | 1.8R | -0.061% | 0.7R | 2.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.161% | 1.8R | -0.114% | 1.2R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.485% | 5.3R | -0.148% | 1.6R | 3.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.548% | 6.0R | -0.148% | 1.6R | 3.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.548% | 6.0R | -0.276% | 3.0R | 2.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.81 | bear_high | -4.93% | +0.34 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.83 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.07 | 03/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_low |
49%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.68 | range_medium | +0.40% | +0.04 | 03/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.49% | -0.02 | 03/08 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 2.555×ATR | p0 | +0.827×ATR | p77 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 3.286×ATR | p45 | +0.538×ATR | p56 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.688×ATR | p10 | +0.042×ATR | p4 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 21b | — | 4.035×ATR | p74 | -0.924×ATR | p63 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63708
-0.0036898
63473
0.682145
63389.6
0.00131462
63473
0.69195
63453.8
0.000190989
63466
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594.16
193
0.7733
0.6033
0.3414
0.1995
0.4575
1
0.3646
0.5749
0.75
0.1303
0.5922
0.7545
0.1315
0.0962
1
0.5847
1.7159
0.7
0.3
1
6
1
0.601
0.5074
5.2164
0.5
1.3081
5.9718
1.7159
0.3254
0.3373
0.02
-0.1225
0.4087
0.4639
0.8553
0.7545
-3.238
9.9531
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 16:40:00 | 591.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:05:00 | 593.64 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 17:30:00 | 591 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:40:00 | 591.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 19:35:00 | 592.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:00:00 | 590.78 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 20:20:00 | 592.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 21:25:00 | 589.85 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 21:50:00 | 590.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:05:00 | 589.19 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 02:30:00 | 586.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 05:00:00 | 581.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 08:30:00 | 580.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 11:15:00 | 587.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 12:00:00 | 585.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 13:30:00 | 584.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:15:00 | 594.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 17:30:00 | 591 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 20:15:00 | 592.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 589.19 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 15:00:00 | 583.84 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 592.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 573.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 00:00:00 | 573.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:00:00 | 586.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 12:00:00 | 581.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 18:00:00 | 591.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 580.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:00:00 | 594.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 589.31 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 589.67 | 589.1316 | 590.7469 | 2 | 788.35 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 589.1316 - 589.67 = -0.53839999999991
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 589.67 - 590.7469 = -1.0769
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.0769 / -0.53839999999991 = 2.0002
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8761.1801 | 100 | 14.8578 | 88.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.53839999999991 = -14.86
Taille de position USD = -14.86 x 589.67 = -8762.5
Donc, tu peux acheter -14.86 avec un stoploss a 589.1316
Avec un position size USD de -8762.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -14.86 x -0.53839999999991 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -14.86 x -1.0769 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.18 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.091 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1068 % | 116.98 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 589.67 | 589.1316 | 590.7469 | 2 | 788.35 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 589.1316 - 589.67 = -0.53839999999991
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 589.67 - 590.7469 = -1.0769
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.0769 / -0.53839999999991 = 2.0002
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.161% | 1.8R | -0.061% | 0.7R | 2.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.161% | 1.8R | -0.114% | 1.2R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.485% | 5.3R | -0.148% | 1.6R | 3.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.548% | 6.0R | -0.148% | 1.6R | 3.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.548% | 6.0R | -0.276% | 3.0R | 2.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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