Long Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 2563.14 FARTCOIN at 0.133$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1406 (5.87 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1297 (2.33 %)
03 Aug 2026 at 20:09:14
hyperliquid
FARTCOIN
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
03 Aug 2026 20:09
→ 08:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1328$
Qty 2563.1414 FARTCOIN
Size 340.4364$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1406 (+5.87%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.1297 (-2.33%)
SL $ 7.95$
RR 2.52
Status
loss
PnL
-0.75%
/ -2.54$
MAE -1.75%
MFE +1.14%
0.5R
expires
04 Aug 08:09
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 57775)
#9 / 38
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/08/2026 20:00
score du 03/08/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7102
Quality Score
0.575
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/08 20:02
03/08 20:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#9 / 38
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.33 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#9 / 38
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.33 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.62×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.82×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 12.16×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 20:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 03/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 03/08 19:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1272
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué :
03/08 20:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
03/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5745
Score SMA
0.5405
Rank
#9
/ 38
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7102
Rank Norm SMA
0.5293
Calculé le
03/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5840 | r1h: 0.106% · r4h: 0.190% · r1d: 2.75% · r3d: 6.02% · ema21_slope: 0.1312% · dist_ema21: 1.425% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6070 | rs_1h: 0.297% · rs_4h: 0.776% · rs_1d: 2.91% · rs_3d: 5.06% · beta_24h: 1.256 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1982 | rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.733 · trend: -14.71% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7193 | ADX: 33.3 (trend) · Chop: 45.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.159% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.334%
(0.0031)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.143% | 0.1R | -1.657% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.143% | 0.1R | -1.664% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.137% | 0.5R | -1.664% | 0.7R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.137% | 0.5R | -1.747% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.137% | 0.5R | -1.747% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.955% | 2.1R | -2.764% | 1.2R | 1.8× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.53
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -4.93% | -0.76 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.65 | range_high | -0.62% | +0.60 | 03/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.64 | range_medium | +0.10% | +0.28 | 03/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | near -1.3ATR | — | range_low | +0.15% | +0.00 | 03/08 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 31b | — | 5.349×ATR | p69 | +0.524×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 1.68×ATR | p0 | +0.622×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.04×ATR | p0 | +0.376×ATR | p39 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 2.671×ATR | p52 | +0.881×ATR | p73 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8241
- reason: up_bo width=2.25×ATR dur=44b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.12969883
- tp_price: 0.14062292
- atr:
- score: 0.82411383764587
- expires_at: 2026-08-04T12:09:07.089771
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.82411383764587
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0735
- obi_top10 : 0.0134
- micro_price : 0.13267018
- spread_pct : 0.075415
- mid_price : 0.13265
- bid_wall_price : 0.132
- bid_wall_size : 2531933.32
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.133
- ask_wall_size : 1997817.82
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.048
- obi_top5_std : 0.0143
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6908
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.13155
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.12815
- balance_zone_mid:
0.12985
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785646800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785801600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2491
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
44
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8241
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785794400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.13155
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6364
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.8401
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.0015117 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
44
inside_close_ratio
0.6364
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
0.8401
Signaux confirmants (46)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:09 | 0.13282000 | +0.015% |
| 2 | 20:15 | 0.13282000 | +0.015% |
| 3 | 20:21 | 0.13180000 | -0.753% |
| 4 | 20:27 | 0.13180000 | -0.753% |
| 5 | 20:33 | 0.13180000 | -0.753% |
| 6 | 20:39 | 0.13157000 | -0.926% |
| 7 | 20:45 | 0.13157000 | -0.926% |
| 8 | 22:15 | 0.13190000 | -0.678% |
| 9 | 22:21 | 0.13175000 | -0.791% |
| 10 | 22:26 | 0.13175000 | -0.791% |
| 11 | 22:33 | 0.13175000 | -0.791% |
| 12 | 22:38 | 0.13289000 | +0.068% |
| 13 | 22:44 | 0.13289000 | +0.068% |
| 14 | 22:51 | 0.13391000 | +0.836% |
| 15 | 22:57 | 0.13391000 | +0.836% |
| 16 | 23:04 | 0.13391000 | +0.836% |
| 17 | 23:09 | 0.13310000 | +0.226% |
| 18 | 23:15 | 0.13310000 | +0.226% |
| 19 | 23:21 | 0.13235000 | -0.339% |
| 20 | 23:27 | 0.13235000 | -0.339% |
| 21 | 23:33 | 0.13235000 | -0.339% |
| 22 | 23:39 | 0.13260000 | -0.151% |
| 23 | 23:45 | 0.13260000 | -0.151% |
| 24 | 23:51 | 0.13378000 | +0.738% |
| 25 | 23:57 | 0.13378000 | +0.738% |
| 26 | 00:04 | 0.13378000 | +0.738% |
| 27 | 00:09 | 0.13303000 | +0.173% |
| 28 | 00:15 | 0.13303000 | +0.173% |
| 29 | 00:21 | 0.13298000 | +0.136% |
| 30 | 00:27 | 0.13298000 | +0.136% |
| 31 | 00:33 | 0.13298000 | +0.136% |
| 32 | 00:39 | 0.13325000 | +0.339% |
| 33 | 00:45 | 0.13325000 | +0.339% |
| 34 | 00:51 | 0.13385000 | +0.791% |
| 35 | 00:57 | 0.13385000 | +0.791% |
| 36 | 01:04 | 0.13385000 | +0.791% |
| 37 | 01:09 | 0.13268000 | -0.09% |
| 38 | 01:15 | 0.13268000 | -0.09% |
| 39 | 01:21 | 0.13249000 | -0.233% |
| 40 | 01:27 | 0.13249000 | -0.233% |
| 41 | 01:33 | 0.13249000 | -0.233% |
| 42 | 01:39 | 0.13242000 | -0.286% |
| 43 | 01:45 | 0.13242000 | -0.286% |
| 44 | 01:51 | 0.13234000 | -0.346% |
| 45 | 01:57 | 0.13234000 | -0.346% |
| 46 | 02:04 | 0.13234000 | -0.346% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6908ms
Confidence avant OB :
82%
→
82%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.074
avg 0.048
± 0.014
OBI Top 10
0.013
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1327
Micro Price
0.1327
Spread
0.0754%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1320
Size
2,531,933.32
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1330
Size
1,997,817.82
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1328 | 0.1297 | 0.1406 | 2.52 | 0.1776 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1328
- Stop Loss: 0.1297
- Take Profit: 0.1406
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1297 - 0.1328 = -0.0031
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1328 - 0.1406 = -0.0078
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0078 / -0.0031 = 2.5161
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 340.4364 | 100 | 2563.1414 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0031
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0031 = -2580.65
Taille de position USD = -2580.65 x 0.1328 = -342.71
Donc, tu peux acheter -2580.65 avec un stoploss a 0.1297
Avec un position size USD de -342.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2580.65 x -0.0031 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2580.65 x -0.0078 = 20.13
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.13$
Résumé
- Taille de position -2580.65
- Taille de position USD -342.71
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.13
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5161
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.87 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.33 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.54 $ | -0.75 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.747 % | 74.84 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1328 | 0.1297 | 0.1406 | 2.52 | 0.1776 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1328
- Stop Loss: 0.1297
- Take Profit: 0.1406
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1297 - 0.1328 = -0.0031
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1328 - 0.1406 = -0.0078
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0078 / -0.0031 = 2.5161
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.334%
(0.0031)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.143% | 0.1R | -1.657% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.143% | 0.1R | -1.664% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.137% | 0.5R | -1.664% | 0.7R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.137% | 0.5R | -1.747% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.137% | 0.5R | -1.747% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.955% | 2.1R | -2.764% | 1.2R | 1.8× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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