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Short Trade on KAITO

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03 Aug 2026 at 20:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_score)

With 97.62 KAITO at 0.935$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0168 (8.77 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 03 Aug 2026 20:10 → 23:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.9348$

Qty 97.6204 KAITO

Size 91.2575$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 91.26$

SL 1.0168 (-8.77%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +3.76% / +3.44$ MAE -0.17% MFE +4.37% 0.5R expires 03 Aug 23:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 57778)
#38 / 38 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/08/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0000

Quality Score
0.398
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
15.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/08 20:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#38 / 38 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.77 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#38 / 38 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.77 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.53×ATR
4h clear 0.80×ATR
1d clear 1.54×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

03/08 20:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

02/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

03/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/08 19:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1272
range compression range_bound
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational range compression — 0
Tactical range range — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.50
Transition risk : 0.50
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.70
Snapshot évalué : 03/08 20:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 03/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3981
Score SMA
0.3241
Rank
#38 / 38
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.0220
Calculé le
03/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3033 r1h: 1.162% · r4h: 1.365% · r1d: -6.82% · r3d: -12.34% · ema21_slope: -0.4823% · dist_ema21: -3.516%
Force Relative 25% 0.4028 rs_1h: 1.352% · rs_4h: 1.951% · rs_1d: -6.67% · rs_3d: -13.30% · beta_24h: -0.966
Volume 20% 0.1420 rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.871 · trend: -66.00%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5293 ADX: 16.9 (weak) · Chop: 52.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.9863 ATR%: 3.041% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.772% (0.0820)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.978% 0.2R -0.173% 0.0R 11.4× 12
2h +2.329% 0.3R -0.173% 0.0R 13.4× 24
3h ★ +4.368% 0.5R -0.173% 0.0R 25.2× 36
4h +4.682% 0.5R -0.173% 0.0R 27.0× 48
8h +4.682% 0.5R -0.173% 0.0R 27.0× 96
12h +4.682% 0.5R -0.173% 0.0R 27.0× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.2
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 36% mid — — 0.41 bear_high -4.93% +0.96 02/08 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.01 range_high -0.62% -0.94 03/08 16:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 39% mid near -1.5ATR — -0.14 range_medium +0.10% -0.74 03/08 19:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.03 range_low +0.15% -0.03 03/08 19:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 5b — 2.996×ATR p10 -0.782×ATR p67
4h ↓ down mid 13b — 4.811×ATR p78 -1.009×ATR p80
1h ↓ down mid 11b — 3.504×ATR p69 -0.227×ATR p22
15m ↑ up mid 6b — 2.661×ATR p48 +0.845×ATR p60

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 1.01677005
  2. atr: 0.02731668
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-04T03:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 38
  2. total: 38
  3. score: 0.3033
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.9348 1.0168 0.3462
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.9348
  • Stop Loss: 1.0168
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.0168 - 0.9348 = 0.082

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.9348 - = 0.9348

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.9348 / 0.082 = 11.4

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
91.2575 91.2575 97.6204 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.082

Taille de position = 8 / 0.082 = 97.56

Taille de position USD = 97.56 x 0.9348 = 91.2

Donc, tu peux acheter 97.56 avec un stoploss a 1.0168

Avec un position size USD de 91.2$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 97.56 x 0.082 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 97.56 x 0.9348 = 91.2

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 91.2$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 97.56
  • Taille de position USD 91.2
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 91.2
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 11.4

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 91.26 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.77 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
3.44 $ 3.76
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1733 % 1.98 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.9348 1.0168 0.3462
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.9348
  • Stop Loss: 1.0168
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.0168 - 0.9348 = 0.082

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.9348 - = 0.9348

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.9348 / 0.082 = 11.4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.772% (0.0820)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.978% 0.2R -0.173% 0.0R 11.4× 12
2h +2.329% 0.3R -0.173% 0.0R 13.4× 24
3h ★ +4.368% 0.5R -0.173% 0.0R 25.2× 36
4h +4.682% 0.5R -0.173% 0.0R 27.0× 48
8h +4.682% 0.5R -0.173% 0.0R 27.0× 96
12h +4.682% 0.5R -0.173% 0.0R 27.0× 144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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