Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 4.35 ZEC at 478.68$ per unit. Take profit: 482.3604 (0.77 %) & Stop Loss: 476.8398 (0.38 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 4.35 ZEC at 478.68$ per unit. Take profit: 482.3604 (0.77 %) & Stop Loss: 476.8398 (0.38 %)
Position
Entry 478.68$
Qty 4.3473 ZEC
Size 2080.9833$ (margin 100$) (leverage 21)
Risk Setup
TP 482.3604 (+0.77%)
TP $ 16$
SL 476.8398 (-0.38%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6410
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.86×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.73×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 21:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.598802 15m : 0.560806 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 03/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 03/08 20:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | range | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5212 | r1h: -0.598% · r4h: -0.928% · r1d: -1.02% · r3d: 4.60% · ema21_slope: 0.0883% · dist_ema21: -0.580% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4934 | rs_1h: -0.418% · rs_4h: -0.327% · rs_1d: -1.15% · rs_3d: 3.85% · beta_24h: 0.953 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4957 | rvol_20: 1.50× · zscore_50: 0.841 · trend: 10.29% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5565 | ADX: 21.0 (weak) · Chop: 52.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.968% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.247% | 3.2R | -0.059% | 0.2R | 21.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.671% | 4.4R | -0.059% | 0.2R | 28.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.275% | 5.9R | -0.059% | 0.2R | 38.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.275% | 5.9R | -0.059% | 0.2R | 38.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.298% | 6.0R | -0.059% | 0.2R | 39.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -5.36% | -0.90 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.65 | range_high | -0.59% | +0.45 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | normal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.59 | range_medium | -0.03% | +0.01 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | range_medium |
43%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.57 | range_low | +0.01% | -0.03 | 03/08 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 20b | — | 3.719×ATR | p28 | +0.094×ATR | p8 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.374×ATR | p0 | +0.289×ATR | p31 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 2.94×ATR | p62 | -0.586×ATR | p54 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.889×ATR | p15 | -0.525×ATR | p48 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63632.2
-0.004451
63349
0.598802
63365.4
-0.000259006
63349
0.560806
63446.1
-0.00107387
63378
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
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494.7
189
0.638
0.6521
0.3339
0.2603
0.3942
0.9551
0.3097
0.5373
0.7079
0.4111
0.6227
0.647
-0.0219
0.0357
0.6667
-0.6468
0.3038
0.65
0.35
1
27
1
0.4793
0.5768
5.5418
0.55
0.9551
5.1741
0.3038
0.551
0.2509
0.48
-0.1154
0.5106
0.4664
0.61
0.647
-3.4022
6.237
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 17:40:00 | 489.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 19:05:00 | 485.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 19:35:00 | 488.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:00:00 | 485.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 20:20:00 | 488.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:15:00 | 484.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 23:05:00 | 479.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 23:40:00 | 479.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 484.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 01:00:00 | 478.67 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 04:00:00 | 474.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 05:15:00 | 478.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 471.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 13:30:00 | 482.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 14:15:00 | 494.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 16:00:00 | 487.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:45:00 | 493.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:15:00 | 488.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 484.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 01:00:00 | 478.67 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 461.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 473.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 458.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 04:00:00 | 477.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 476.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 469.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 495.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 471.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 14:00:00 | 494.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 479.46 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 478.68 | 476.8398 | 482.3604 | 2 | 1315.5 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 476.8398 - 478.68 = -1.8402
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 478.68 - 482.3604 = -3.6804
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.6804 / -1.8402 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2080.9833 | 100 | 4.3473 | 21.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.8402 = -4.35
Taille de position USD = -4.35 x 478.68 = -2082.26
Donc, tu peux acheter -4.35 avec un stoploss a 476.8398
Avec un position size USD de -2082.26$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4.35 x -1.8402 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4.35 x -3.6804 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.77 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.38 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.77 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0585 % | 15.22 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 478.68 | 476.8398 | 482.3604 | 2 | 1315.5 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 476.8398 - 478.68 = -1.8402
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 478.68 - 482.3604 = -3.6804
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.6804 / -1.8402 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.247% | 3.2R | -0.059% | 0.2R | 21.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.671% | 4.4R | -0.059% | 0.2R | 28.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.275% | 5.9R | -0.059% | 0.2R | 38.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.275% | 5.9R | -0.059% | 0.2R | 38.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.298% | 6.0R | -0.059% | 0.2R | 39.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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