03 Aug 2026 at 22:50:38 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ALGO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 1514.72 ALGO at 0.0906$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1038 (14.61 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08529 (5.83 %)

ALGO LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 03 Aug 2026 22:50 → 10:50 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.09057$

Qty 1514.7241 ALGO

Size 137.1855$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1038 (+14.61%)

TP $ 20.04$

SL 0.08529 (-5.83%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.51

Status loss PnL -0.63% / -0.86$ MAE -2.09% MFE +1.53% 0.3R expires 04 Aug 10:50 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 57849)
#4 / 41 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/08/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9667

Quality Score
0.664
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
66 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/08 22:46

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#4 / 41 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
66 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.83 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#4 / 41 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
66 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.83 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near 0.12×ATR
1d near 0.27×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

03/08 22:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

03/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

03/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

03/08 22:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 03/08/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.6637
Score SMA
0.6729
Rank
#4 / 41
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9667
Rank Norm SMA
0.8772
Calculé le
03/08/2026 22:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7460 r1h: 0.100% · r4h: -0.556% · r1d: 6.47% · r3d: 14.13% · ema21_slope: 0.3673% · dist_ema21: 2.147%
Force Relative 25% 0.6288 rs_1h: -0.638% · rs_4h: -0.945% · rs_1d: 5.50% · rs_3d: 12.76% · beta_24h: 0.172
Volume 20% 0.2547 rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.139 · trend: -2.92%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8783 ADX: 45.4 (trend) · Chop: 36.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.468% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -5.830% (0.0053)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.840% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -1.934% 0.3R 0.0× 24
4h +0.396% 0.1R -2.091% 0.4R 0.2× 48
8h +0.918% 0.2R -2.091% 0.4R 0.4× 96
12h ★ +1.526% 0.3R -2.091% 0.4R 0.7× 143
24h +1.526% 0.3R -2.091% 0.4R 0.7× 288

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.28
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 37% late — near 0.3ATR 0.67 bear_high -5.36% +0.68 03/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
73%
ranging_calm 51% late — near 0.1ATR 0.53 range_high -0.26% +0.89 03/08 20:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high
68%
noisy_chop 45% early — — 0.40 range_medium +0.72% +0.57 03/08 22:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_medium
59%
noisy_chop 35% early near 0.2ATR — — range_low +0.71% -0.06 03/08 22:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 6b — 3.588×ATR p32 +1.404×ATR p92
4h ↑ up late 5b — 3.877×ATR p78 +1.535×ATR p96
1h ↑ up early 3b — 1.217×ATR p0 +0.359×ATR p30
15m ↓ down early 2b — 1.321×ATR p0 -0.201×ATR p15

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.6637
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.96×ATR dur=31b phase=extending
  4. stop_price: 0.08528651
  5. tp_price: 0.10377171
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.66374486562614
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-04T14:50:31.197627
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.66374486562614
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.1238
  14. obi_top10 : 0.1831
  15. micro_price : 0.09051139
  16. spread_pct : 0.110497
  17. mid_price : 0.09055
  18. bid_wall_price :
  19. bid_wall_size :
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.092
  22. ask_wall_size : 607094.9
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.1181
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0052
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7108
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.0001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.087423
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.0834205
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.08542175
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1785700800
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1785808800
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.9596
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    31
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.6637
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1785769200
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.087423
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.6129
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    11
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    2.3256
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    2
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    3
  59. regime : bull_high_confirmed
  60. atr_entry : 0.00135236
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
31
inside_close_ratio
0.6129
bars_since_breakout
11
distance_to_edge_atr
2.3256

Signaux confirmants (3)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 22:50 0.09056800 -0.002%
2 22:56 0.09056800 -0.002%
3 23:03 0.09056800 -0.002%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7108ms Confidence avant OB : 66% → 66%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.124
avg 0.118 ± 0.005
OBI Top 10 0.183

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.0906
Micro Price
0.0905
Spread
0.1105%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.0920
Size
607,094.90

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.09057 0.08529 0.1038 2.51 0.1275
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.09057
  • Stop Loss: 0.08529
  • Take Profit: 0.1038

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08529 - 0.09057 = -0.00528

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.09057 - 0.1038 = -0.01323

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.01323 / -0.00528 = 2.5057

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
137.1855 100 1514.7241 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00528

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00528 = -1515.15

Taille de position USD = -1515.15 x 0.09057 = -137.23

Donc, tu peux acheter -1515.15 avec un stoploss a 0.08529

Avec un position size USD de -137.23$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1515.15 x -0.00528 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1515.15 x -0.01323 = 20.05

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.05$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1515.15
  • Taille de position USD -137.23
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.05
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5057

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
14.61 % 20.04 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.83 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.86 $ -0.63
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.0912 % 35.87 % 21
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.09057 0.08529 0.1038 2.51 0.1275
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.09057
  • Stop Loss: 0.08529
  • Take Profit: 0.1038

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08529 - 0.09057 = -0.00528

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.09057 - 0.1038 = -0.01323

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.01323 / -0.00528 = 2.5057

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -5.830% (0.0053)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.840% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -1.934% 0.3R 0.0× 24
4h +0.396% 0.1R -2.091% 0.4R 0.2× 48
8h +0.918% 0.2R -2.091% 0.4R 0.4× 96
12h ★ +1.526% 0.3R -2.091% 0.4R 0.7× 143
24h +1.526% 0.3R -2.091% 0.4R 0.7× 288

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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