Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 155.66 VVV at 12.257$ per unit. Take profit: 12.3598 (0.84 %) & Stop Loss: 12.2056 (0.42 %)
Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 155.66 VVV at 12.257$ per unit. Take profit: 12.3598 (0.84 %) & Stop Loss: 12.2056 (0.42 %)
Position
Entry 12.257$
Qty 155.6623 VVV
Size 1907.9522$ (margin 100$) (leverage 19)
Risk Setup
TP 12.3598 (+0.84%)
TP $ 16$
SL 12.2056 (-0.42%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8540
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.56×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.01×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.84×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 23:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.441016 15m : 0.57 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 03/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 03/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | range | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6097 | r1h: -0.138% · r4h: -0.612% · r1d: 5.42% · r3d: 3.57% · ema21_slope: 0.2768% · dist_ema21: 1.508% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5405 | rs_1h: -0.214% · rs_4h: -1.073% · rs_1d: 4.24% · rs_3d: 2.25% · beta_24h: 1.633 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1880 | rvol_20: 0.13× · zscore_50: -0.537 · trend: -32.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7425 | ADX: 29.1 (trend) · Chop: 32.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.340% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.759% | 1.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.261% | 0.6R | -0.791% | 1.9R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.506% | 1.2R | -1.118% | 2.7R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.506% | 1.2R | -2.913% | 7.0R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.506% | 1.2R | -2.913% | 7.0R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -5.36% | +0.91 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.49 | range_high | -0.26% | +0.40 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.44 | range_medium | +0.72% | +0.34 | 03/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | — | range_low | +0.71% | -0.18 | 03/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.603×ATR | p4 | +0.092×ATR | p11 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 2.774×ATR | p17 | +1.107×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.729×ATR | p16 | +0.111×ATR | p13 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.238×ATR | p36 | +0.214×ATR | p16 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63674.8
0.00160484
63777
0.441016
63405.6
0.00585747
63777
0.57
63465.6
0.00489057
63776
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12.625
191
0.7222
0.5876
0.2957
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0.3292
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0.6035
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0.6601
0.673
0.1105
0.0863
1
0.5782
1.6547
0.5
0.5
1
8
1
0.4904
0.4335
6.1823
0.55
2.3117
9.3084
1.6547
0
0.2256
0.78
0.43
0.6505
0.5245
0.8483
0.673
-2.2882
4.7088
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:09 | 12.25700000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:15 | 12.20600000 | -0.416% |
| 3 | 23:21 | 12.19900000 | -0.473% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 22:20:00 | 12.476 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:30:00 | 12.387 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 23:00:00 | 12.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 23:05:00 | 12.314 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 23:35:00 | 12.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 23:55:00 | 12.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:35:00 | 12.183 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 01:15:00 | 12.218 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:10:00 | 12.414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 03:05:00 | 12.252 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 06:00:00 | 11.751 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:30:00 | 11.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:45:00 | 11.854 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 13:30:00 | 11.657 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 13:45:00 | 11.966 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:00:00 | 12.625 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 21:15:00 | 12.568 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:30:00 | 12.183 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:00:00 | 12.414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 03:00:00 | 12.252 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 02:00:00 | 12.007 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 11.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 12.076 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 20:00:00 | 11.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:00:00 | 11.876 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 12:00:00 | 11.537 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 11.998 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 11.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 19:00:00 | 12.625 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 12.183 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.257 | 12.2056 | 12.3598 | 2 | 27.729 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.2056 - 12.257 = -0.051399999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.257 - 12.3598 = -0.1028
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1028 / -0.051399999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1907.9522 | 100 | 155.6623 | 19.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.051399999999999 = -155.64
Taille de position USD = -155.64 x 12.257 = -1907.68
Donc, tu peux acheter -155.64 avec un stoploss a 12.2056
Avec un position size USD de -1907.68$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -155.64 x -0.051399999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -155.64 x -0.1028 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.84 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.42 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5629 % | 134.22 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.257 | 12.2056 | 12.3598 | 2 | 27.729 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.2056 - 12.257 = -0.051399999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.257 - 12.3598 = -0.1028
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1028 / -0.051399999999999 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.759% | 1.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.261% | 0.6R | -0.791% | 1.9R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.506% | 1.2R | -1.118% | 2.7R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.506% | 1.2R | -2.913% | 7.0R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.506% | 1.2R | -2.913% | 7.0R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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