Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 169.4 VVV at 12.185$ per unit. Take profit: 12.2795 (0.78 %) & Stop Loss: 12.1378 (0.39 %)
Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 169.4 VVV at 12.185$ per unit. Take profit: 12.2795 (0.78 %) & Stop Loss: 12.1378 (0.39 %)
Position
Entry 12.185$
Qty 169.3978 VVV
Size 2064.1124$ (margin 100$) (leverage 21)
Risk Setup
TP 12.2795 (+0.78%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 12.1378 (-0.39%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8540
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.34×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.52×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.84×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 23:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.469063 15m : 0.57643 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 03/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 03/08 23:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | range | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6097 | r1h: -0.138% · r4h: -0.612% · r1d: 5.42% · r3d: 3.57% · ema21_slope: 0.2768% · dist_ema21: 1.508% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5405 | rs_1h: -0.214% · rs_4h: -1.073% · rs_1d: 4.24% · rs_3d: 2.25% · beta_24h: 1.633 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1880 | rvol_20: 0.13× · zscore_50: -0.537 · trend: -32.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7425 | ADX: 29.1 (trend) · Chop: 32.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.340% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.575% | 1.5R | -0.205% | 0.5R | 2.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.854% | 2.2R | -0.271% | 0.7R | 3.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.100% | 2.8R | -0.788% | 2.0R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.100% | 2.8R | -2.339% | 6.0R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.100% | 2.8R | -2.339% | 6.0R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -5.36% | +0.91 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.49 | range_high | -0.23% | +0.28 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.44 | range_medium | +0.39% | +0.27 | 03/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.53 | range_low | +0.34% | -0.21 | 03/08 23:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.603×ATR | p4 | +0.092×ATR | p11 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 2.269×ATR | p9 | +0.661×ATR | p67 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.509×ATR | p32 | -0.398×ATR | p39 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.885×ATR | p52 | -1.091×ATR | p75 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63675.3
0.00087341
63731
0.469063
63415.5
0.0036654
63648
0.57643
63463.4
0.00319178
63666
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 02:00:00
[1] => 12.007
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 10:00:00
[1] => 11.6
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 16:00:00
[1] => 12.076
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 20:00:00
[1] => 11.52
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 07:00:00
[1] => 11.876
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 12:00:00
[1] => 11.537
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 21:00:00
[1] => 11.998
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 08:00:00
[1] => 11.52
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 19:00:00
[1] => 12.625
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 00:00:00
[1] => 12.183
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.2633663366337
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.24624476729869
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.6280062382008
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 06:00:00
[1] => 11.751
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 08:30:00
[1] => 11.52
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 09:45:00
[1] => 11.854
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 13:30:00
[1] => 11.657
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 13:45:00
[1] => 11.966
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 19:00:00
[1] => 12.625
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 21:15:00
[1] => 12.568
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 00:30:00
[1] => 12.183
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 02:00:00
[1] => 12.414
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 03:15:00
[1] => 12.188
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.8205252134687
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8542829012143
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 22:20:00
[1] => 12.476
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 22:30:00
[1] => 12.387
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 23:00:00
[1] => 12.45
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 23:05:00
[1] => 12.314
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 23:35:00
[1] => 12.31
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 23:55:00
[1] => 12.44
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 00:35:00
[1] => 12.183
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 01:15:00
[1] => 12.218
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 02:10:00
[1] => 12.414
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 03:20:00
[1] => 12.176
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.8446914773643
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.073915900131409
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 15
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9546649145861
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
12.625
191
0.7206
0.5876
0.3011
0.2669
0.3292
1
0.1621
0.6146
0.6608
0.868
0.6589
0.6243
0.0993
0.0799
1
0.258
1.268
0.5
0.5
1
8
1
0.4663
0.4335
6.1823
0.55
2.3117
9.3084
1.268
0
0.2045
0.78
0.4973
0.6667
0.5216
0.8454
0.6243
-2.5105
4.1721
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:27 | 12.18500000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:39 | 12.20300000 | +0.148% |
| 3 | 23:45 | 12.20200000 | +0.14% |
| 4 | 23:57 | 12.19300000 | +0.066% |
| 5 | 00:04 | 12.18900000 | +0.033% |
| 6 | 00:09 | 12.17000000 | -0.123% |
| 7 | 00:15 | 12.17900000 | -0.049% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 22:20:00 | 12.476 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:30:00 | 12.387 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 23:00:00 | 12.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 23:05:00 | 12.314 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 23:35:00 | 12.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 23:55:00 | 12.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:35:00 | 12.183 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 01:15:00 | 12.218 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:10:00 | 12.414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 03:20:00 | 12.176 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 06:00:00 | 11.751 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:30:00 | 11.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:45:00 | 11.854 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 13:30:00 | 11.657 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 13:45:00 | 11.966 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:00:00 | 12.625 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 21:15:00 | 12.568 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:30:00 | 12.183 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:00:00 | 12.414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 03:15:00 | 12.188 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 02:00:00 | 12.007 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 11.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 12.076 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 20:00:00 | 11.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:00:00 | 11.876 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 12:00:00 | 11.537 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 11.998 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 11.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 19:00:00 | 12.625 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 12.183 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.185 | 12.1378 | 12.2795 | 2 | 29.537 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.1378 - 12.185 = -0.0472
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.185 - 12.2795 = -0.0945
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0945 / -0.0472 = 2.0021
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2064.1124 | 100 | 169.3978 | 21.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0472 = -169.49
Taille de position USD = -169.49 x 12.185 = -2065.24
Donc, tu peux acheter -169.49 avec un stoploss a 12.1378
Avec un position size USD de -2065.24$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -169.49 x -0.0472 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -169.49 x -0.0945 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.78 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.39 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.01 $ | 0.78 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2052 % | 52.97 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.185 | 12.1378 | 12.2795 | 2 | 29.537 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.1378 - 12.185 = -0.0472
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.185 - 12.2795 = -0.0945
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0945 / -0.0472 = 2.0021
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.2794
[stop_loss] => 12.1378
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-04 04:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.303
[stop_loss] => 12.1378
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-04 06:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.3266
[stop_loss] => 12.1378
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-04 06:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.3502
[stop_loss] => 12.1378
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-04 06:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.3738
[stop_loss] => 12.1378
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-04 06:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.3974
[stop_loss] => 12.1378
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-04 06:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.421
[stop_loss] => 12.1378
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-04 06:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.4446
[stop_loss] => 12.1378
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-04 06:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.4682
[stop_loss] => 12.1378
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-08-04 06:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.4918
[stop_loss] => 12.1378
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-04 06:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.5154
[stop_loss] => 12.1378
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-08-04 06:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.575% | 1.5R | -0.205% | 0.5R | 2.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.854% | 2.2R | -0.271% | 0.7R | 3.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.100% | 2.8R | -0.788% | 2.0R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.100% | 2.8R | -2.339% | 6.0R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.100% | 2.8R | -2.339% | 6.0R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.