04 Aug 2026 at 02:09:23 hyperliquid

Long Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 3386.2 FARTCOIN at 0.132$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1379 (4.47 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1296 (1.82 %)

FARTCOIN LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 04 Aug 2026 02:09 → 10:00 · 7 hours

Position

Entry 0.132$

Qty 3386.2004 FARTCOIN

Size 446.9785$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1379 (+4.47%)

TP $ 19.98$

SL 0.1296 (-1.82%)

SL $ 8.13$

RR 2.46

Status loss PnL -1.82% / -8.13$ MAE -2.17% MFE +0.97% 0.5R expires 04 Aug 14:09

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 58015)
#10 / 42 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 04/08/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8024

Quality Score
0.573
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
75 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
04/08 02:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#10 / 42 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
75 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.82 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#10 / 42 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
75 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.82 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.01×ATR
4h clear 1.33×ATR
1d clear 12.68×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

04/08 02:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

03/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

04/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

04/08 01:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1278
range compression range_bound
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational range range — 0
Tactical range range — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.50
Transition risk : 0.50
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.70
Snapshot évalué : 04/08 02:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 04/08/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.5734
Score SMA
0.5653
Rank
#10 / 42
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8024
Rank Norm SMA
0.6245
Calculé le
04/08/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5836 r1h: -0.556% · r4h: 0.182% · r1d: 4.33% · r3d: 4.67% · ema21_slope: 0.1623% · dist_ema21: 0.950%
Force Relative 25% 0.5532 rs_1h: -0.286% · rs_4h: 0.164% · rs_1d: 2.69% · rs_3d: 3.36% · beta_24h: 1.262
Volume 20% 0.2563 rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.344 · trend: -6.74%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7248 ADX: 37.8 (trend) · Chop: 49.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.260% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.818% (0.0024)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.182% 0.1R -1.008% 0.6R 0.2× 12
2h +0.485% 0.3R -1.152% 0.6R 0.4× 24
4h +0.485% 0.3R -1.152% 0.6R 0.4× 48
8h +0.864% 0.5R -2.000% 1.1R 0.4× 96
12h ★ +0.970% 0.5R -2.174% 1.2R 0.5× 144
24h +5.591% 3.1R -2.174% 1.2R 2.6× 288

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.72
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 37% mid — — 0.63 bear_high -5.36% -0.78 03/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 41% mid — — 0.65 range_high +0.00% +0.46 04/08 00:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 44% early — near 0.0ATR 0.64 range_medium +0.62% +0.09 04/08 01:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive compression bull_medium
61%
noisy_chop 42% mid near 0.3ATR — 0.52 range_low +0.50% +0.01 04/08 01:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 32b — 5.499×ATR p73 +0.546×ATR p55
4h ↑ up mid 6b — 2.262×ATR p17 +0.674×ATR p64
1h ↑ up early 7b — 1.64×ATR p11 +0.104×ATR p14
15m ↓ down mid 8b — 2.943×ATR p56 -0.542×ATR p47

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.7507
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.23×ATR dur=50b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.12963747
  5. tp_price: 0.13790632
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.75066957017362
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-04T18:09:15.858257
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.75066957017362
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0209
  14. obi_top10 : -0.0286
  15. micro_price : 0.13190683
  16. spread_pct : 0.075815
  17. mid_price : 0.13195
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.131
  19. bid_wall_size : 2683491.3
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.133
  22. ask_wall_size : 2424790.8
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.0062
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0082
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6854
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.13155
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.12804
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.129795
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1785646800
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1785823200
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.2282
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    50
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7507
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1785805200
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.13155
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.6
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    5
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.2857
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    1
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    2
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    9
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    7
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00157527
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
50
inside_close_ratio
0.6
bars_since_breakout
5
distance_to_edge_atr
0.2857

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 02:09 0.13200000 0%
2 02:15 0.13200000 0%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6854ms Confidence avant OB : 75% → 75%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.021
avg 0.006 ± 0.008
OBI Top 10 -0.029

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1320
Micro Price
0.1319
Spread
0.0758%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.1310
Size
2,683,491.30

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.1330
Size
2,424,790.80

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.132 0.1296 0.1379 2.46 0.1774
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.132
  • Stop Loss: 0.1296
  • Take Profit: 0.1379

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1296 - 0.132 = -0.0024

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.132 - 0.1379 = -0.0059

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0059 / -0.0024 = 2.4583

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
446.9785 100 3386.2004 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0024

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0024 = -3333.33

Taille de position USD = -3333.33 x 0.132 = -440

Donc, tu peux acheter -3333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.1296

Avec un position size USD de -440$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -3333.33 x -0.0024 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -3333.33 x -0.0059 = 19.67

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.67$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -3333.33
  • Taille de position USD -440
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.67
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4583

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.47 % 19.98 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.82 % 8.13 $
PNL PNL %
-8.13 $ -1.82
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2 % 110 % 26
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.132 0.1296 0.1379 2.46 0.1774
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.132
  • Stop Loss: 0.1296
  • Take Profit: 0.1379

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1296 - 0.132 = -0.0024

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.132 - 0.1379 = -0.0059

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0059 / -0.0024 = 2.4583

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.818% (0.0024)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.182% 0.1R -1.008% 0.6R 0.2× 12
2h +0.485% 0.3R -1.152% 0.6R 0.4× 24
4h +0.485% 0.3R -1.152% 0.6R 0.4× 48
8h +0.864% 0.5R -2.000% 1.1R 0.4× 96
12h ★ +0.970% 0.5R -2.174% 1.2R 0.5× 144
24h +5.591% 3.1R -2.174% 1.2R 2.6× 288

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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