Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 304.18 AVAX at 6.791$ per unit. Take profit: 6.8432 (0.77 %) & Stop Loss: 6.7643 (0.39 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 304.18 AVAX at 6.791$ per unit. Take profit: 6.8432 (0.77 %) & Stop Loss: 6.7643 (0.39 %)
Position
Entry 6.7906$
Qty 304.1787 AVAX
Size 2065.5558$ (margin 100$) (leverage 21)
Risk Setup
TP 6.8432 (+0.77%)
TP $ 16$
SL 6.7643 (-0.39%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8502
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.47×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.45×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 04/08 02:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.379936 15m : 0.422108 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 04/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 04/08 02:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6339 | r1h: -0.255% · r4h: -0.023% · r1d: 6.70% · r3d: 7.04% · ema21_slope: 0.2177% · dist_ema21: 2.919% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6108 | rs_1h: 0.016% · rs_4h: -0.041% · rs_1d: 5.07% · rs_3d: 5.72% · beta_24h: 1.359 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4008 | rvol_20: 0.70× · zscore_50: -0.130 · trend: 82.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8170 | ADX: 38.0 (trend) · Chop: 19.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.060% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.493% | 1.3R | -0.268% | 0.7R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.627% | 1.6R | -0.418% | 1.1R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.627% | 1.6R | -0.454% | 1.2R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.875% | 2.3R | -1.334% | 3.4R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.875% | 2.3R | -1.504% | 3.9R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.76 | bear_high | -4.94% | +0.33 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.67 | range_high | -0.15% | +0.49 | 04/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.56 | range_medium | +0.52% | +0.40 | 04/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -1.7ATR | — | 0.39 | range_low | +0.32% | -0.06 | 04/08 02:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.553×ATR | p0 | +0.908×ATR | p79 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.536×ATR | p67 | +1.436×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.154×ATR | p44 | +0.675×ATR | p61 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 15b | — | 3.811×ATR | p69 | -0.411×ATR | p44 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63715.9
-0.000580046
63679
0.379936
63468.4
0.00416746
63733
0.422108
63440.8
0.00460506
63733
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.276295133438
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 22
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6.98
195
0.7284
0.6153
0.2808
0.1646
0.3758
1
0.357
0.5593
0.6282
0.892
0.6293
0.8444
0.2904
0.1582
1
1.8972
3.2048
0.45
0.55
1
4
1
0.6708
0.495
8.2937
0.55
2.0504
11.47
3.2048
0
0.3063
0.82
0.7119
0.4938
0.5678
0.7226
0.8444
-1.8245
9.9044
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:42 | 6.79060000 | 0% |
| 2 | 02:48 | 6.79900000 | +0.124% |
| 3 | 02:54 | 6.79330000 | +0.04% |
| 4 | 03:00 | 6.78460000 | -0.088% |
| 5 | 03:06 | 6.78780000 | -0.041% |
| 6 | 03:12 | 6.78820000 | -0.035% |
| 7 | 03:18 | 6.78370000 | -0.102% |
| 8 | 03:24 | 6.78220000 | -0.124% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 02:30:00 | 6.7786 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:45:00 | 6.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 03:20:00 | 6.8554 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 03:50:00 | 6.9049 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 04:05:00 | 6.8366 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:45:00 | 6.9081 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 05:30:00 | 6.8982 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 06:00:00 | 6.8226 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 06:25:00 | 6.8519 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 06:40:00 | 6.7904 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 10:00:00 | 6.4576 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 12:00:00 | 6.4175 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 14:15:00 | 6.5456 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:45:00 | 6.497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:00:00 | 6.5508 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:30:00 | 6.594 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 6.5455 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:45:00 | 6.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 04:45:00 | 6.9081 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 06:00:00 | 6.8226 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 6.3318 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 23:00:00 | 6.3783 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 6.4476 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 6.3203 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 6.3858 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 6.0382 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 6.6806 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 18:00:00 | 6.6688 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 6.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:00:00 | 6.98 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7906 | 6.7643 | 6.8432 | 2 | 10.983 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.7643 - 6.7906 = -0.0263
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.7906 - 6.8432 = -0.0526
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0526 / -0.0263 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2065.5558 | 100 | 304.1787 | 21.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0263 = -304.18
Taille de position USD = -304.18 x 6.7906 = -2065.56
Donc, tu peux acheter -304.18 avec un stoploss a 6.7643
Avec un position size USD de -2065.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -304.18 x -0.0263 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -304.18 x -0.0526 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.77 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.39 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.39 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4182 % | 107.98 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7906 | 6.7643 | 6.8432 | 2 | 10.983 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.7643 - 6.7906 = -0.0263
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.7906 - 6.8432 = -0.0526
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0526 / -0.0263 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.493% | 1.3R | -0.268% | 0.7R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.627% | 1.6R | -0.418% | 1.1R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.627% | 1.6R | -0.454% | 1.2R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.875% | 2.3R | -1.334% | 3.4R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.875% | 2.3R | -1.504% | 3.9R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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