Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 4036.31 DOT at 0.833$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8366 (0.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8306 (0.24 %)
Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 4036.31 DOT at 0.833$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8366 (0.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8306 (0.24 %)
Position
Entry 0.8326$
Qty 4036.3066 DOT
Size 3360.5885$ (margin 100$) (leverage 34)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8366 (+0.48%)
TP $ 16.15$
SL 0.8306 (-0.24%)
SL $ 8.07$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9018
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.79×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.11×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 04/08 02:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.509071 15m : 0.443978 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 04/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 04/08 02:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6100 | r1h: -0.519% · r4h: -0.442% · r1d: 4.73% · r3d: 9.17% · ema21_slope: 0.1638% · dist_ema21: 1.115% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5842 | rs_1h: -0.249% · rs_4h: -0.459% · rs_1d: 3.09% · rs_3d: 7.86% · beta_24h: 0.860 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3068 | rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.170 · trend: 38.63% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7216 | ADX: 33.2 (trend) · Chop: 45.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.825% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.362% | 1.5R | -0.303% | 1.3R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.633% | 2.6R | -0.350% | 1.5R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.644% | 2.7R | -0.350% | 1.5R | 1.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.644% | 2.7R | -0.950% | 4.0R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.473% | 6.1R | -0.950% | 4.0R | 1.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -4.94% | -0.00 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.73 | range_high | -0.15% | +0.66 | 04/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.64 | range_medium | +0.37% | +0.21 | 04/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | normal | bull_low |
48%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.23% | -0.01 | 04/08 02:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.695×ATR | p13 | +1.09×ATR | p83 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 22b | — | 7.398×ATR | p100 | +1.267×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.103×ATR | p35 | -0.04×ATR | p4 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 3.739×ATR | p61 | -0.743×ATR | p60 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63707.5
-0.00110717
63637
0.509071
63474
0.00275611
63649
0.443978
63439.6
0.00369355
63674
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0.8627
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0.1733
1
0.9957
3.177
0.65
0.35
1
4
1
0.4992
0.5479
3.9765
0.5
2.2136
4.3256
3.177
0.1838
0.181
0.72
0.2604
0.5858
0.586
0.8836
0.8627
-2.0512
12.8863
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:56 | 0.83259000 | -0.001% |
| 2 | 03:08 | 0.83166000 | -0.113% |
| 3 | 03:14 | 0.83127000 | -0.16% |
| 4 | 03:20 | 0.83064000 | -0.235% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 0.82525 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:55:00 | 0.82022 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:40:00 | 0.84703 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 03:15:00 | 0.83859 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 03:30:00 | 0.84571 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 04:30:00 | 0.83572 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:50:00 | 0.8394 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 06:05:00 | 0.83313 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 06:10:00 | 0.83796 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 06:50:00 | 0.83231 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 09:45:00 | 0.80667 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 14:00:00 | 0.82828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:00:00 | 0.81419 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:15:00 | 0.82992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 18:45:00 | 0.83152 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:45:00 | 0.81874 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 22:15:00 | 0.82475 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 23:30:00 | 0.82008 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:30:00 | 0.84703 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 06:45:00 | 0.83262 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 0.76749 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 0.76058 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 0.78392 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.76317 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 0.79923 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 0.80063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 0.79096 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 03:00:00 | 0.7871 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 0.83152 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 02:00:00 | 0.84703 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8326 | 0.8306 | 0.8366 | 2 | 1.1654 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8306 - 0.8326 = -0.002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8326 - 0.8366 = -0.004
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.004 / -0.002 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3360.5885 | 100 | 4036.3066 | 34.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.002 = -4000
Taille de position USD = -4000 x 0.8326 = -3330.4
Donc, tu peux acheter -4000 avec un stoploss a 0.8306
Avec un position size USD de -3330.4$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4000 x -0.002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4000 x -0.004 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.48 % | 16.15 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 8.07 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.07 $ | -0.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2702 % | 112.49 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8326 | 0.8306 | 0.8366 | 2 | 1.1654 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8306 - 0.8326 = -0.002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8326 - 0.8366 = -0.004
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.004 / -0.002 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.362% | 1.5R | -0.303% | 1.3R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.633% | 2.6R | -0.350% | 1.5R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.644% | 2.7R | -0.350% | 1.5R | 1.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.644% | 2.7R | -0.950% | 4.0R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.473% | 6.1R | -0.950% | 4.0R | 1.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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