Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 396432.11 PUMP at 0.0022$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002242 (1.82 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002182 (0.91 %)
Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 396432.11 PUMP at 0.0022$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002242 (1.82 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002182 (0.91 %)
Position
Entry 0.002202$
Qty 396432.111 PUMP
Size 872.9435$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002242 (+1.82%)
TP $ 15.86$
SL 0.002182 (-0.91%)
SL $ 7.93$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6947
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.91×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 04/08 03:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.386834 15m : 0.323069 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 04/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 04/08 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | range | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7048 | r1h: -0.045% · r4h: 3.816% · r1d: 7.52% · r3d: 2.39% · ema21_slope: 0.1315% · dist_ema21: 3.082% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6724 | rs_1h: 0.117% · rs_4h: 4.012% · rs_1d: 5.79% · rs_3d: 1.38% · beta_24h: 1.845 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2872 | rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.143 · trend: 8.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5602 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 50.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.865% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.315% | 3.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.315% | 3.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.315% | 3.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +4.269% | 4.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +8.038% | 8.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.61 | bear_high | -4.94% | +0.99 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.49 | range_high | -0.42% | +0.56 | 04/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.35 | range_medium | +0.19% | +0.40 | 04/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.25 | range_low | -0.01% | +0.43 | 04/08 03:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 21b | — | 4.978×ATR | p80 | +0.892×ATR | p80 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.277×ATR | p23 | +0.899×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 3.024×ATR | p67 | +0.703×ATR | p65 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 19b | — | 5.201×ATR | p94 | +0.212×ATR | p19 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63704.2
-0.00342609
63486
0.386834
63447.4
0.00115876
63521
0.323069
63433
0.00203277
63562
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0.002104
192
0.7464
0.627
0.4355
0.265
0.575
0.8508
0.2314
0.6042
0.7215
0.707
0.6694
0.8513
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0.0824
1
1.3559
1.9872
0.75
0.25
1
13
1
0.4701
0.6286
4.2293
0.5
0.8508
3.5983
1.9872
0
0.2301
0.62
0.2025
0.5866
0.5028
0.5284
0.8513
-1.555
8.9036
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 02:30:00 | 0.002138 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:50:00 | 0.002155 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 03:15:00 | 0.002139 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:40:00 | 0.002184 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:45:00 | 0.002239 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 05:50:00 | 0.002229 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 06:05:00 | 0.002253 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 06:30:00 | 0.002224 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 0.002245 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 07:20:00 | 0.002197 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 14:30:00 | 0.002135 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:45:00 | 0.002077 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:15:00 | 0.002077 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:30:00 | 0.002258 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 0.002108 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 0.002142 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:30:00 | 0.002104 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:00:00 | 0.002183 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 06:00:00 | 0.002253 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 07:15:00 | 0.00222 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.002041 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 0.002288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 12:00:00 | 0.002129 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 0.002186 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 05:00:00 | 0.002044 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:00:00 | 0.002148 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:00:00 | 0.002077 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 0.002258 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 0.002104 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 06:00:00 | 0.002253 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002202 | 0.002182 | 0.002242 | 2 | 0.005653 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002182 - 0.002202 = -2.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002202 - 0.002242 = -4.0E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.0E-5 / -2.0E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 872.9435 | 100 | 396432.111 | 9.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.0E-5 = -400000
Taille de position USD = -400000 x 0.002202 = -880.8
Donc, tu peux acheter -400000 avec un stoploss a 0.002182
Avec un position size USD de -880.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -400000 x -2.0E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -400000 x -4.0E-5 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.82 % | 15.86 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.91 % | 7.93 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.86 $ | 1.82 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002202 | 0.002182 | 0.002242 | 2 | 0.005653 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002182 - 0.002202 = -2.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002202 - 0.002242 = -4.0E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.0E-5 / -2.0E-5 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.315% | 3.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.315% | 3.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.315% | 3.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +4.269% | 4.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +8.038% | 8.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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