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Long Trade on HYPE

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04 Aug 2026 at 04:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on HYPE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 6.99 HYPE at 54.96$ per unit. Take profit: 56.334 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 53.8162 (2.08 %)

HYPE LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 04 Aug 2026 04:10 → 06:10 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 54.96$

Qty 6.994 HYPE

Size 384.3904$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 56.334 (+2.5%)

TP $ 9.61$

SL 53.8162 (-2.08%)

SL $ 8$

RR 1.2

Status loss PnL -0.10% / -0.38$ MAE -0.88% MFE +0.03% 0.0R expires 04 Aug 06:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=15 > threshold=10/41

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 58096)
#4 / 40 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 04/08/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6464

Quality Score
0.619
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
221.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
04/08 04:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#4 / 40 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-4 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.08 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#4 / 40 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-4 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.08 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.39×ATR
4h near 0.00×ATR
1d clear 4.36×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down late OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

04/08 04:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

03/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

04/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

04/08 03:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1280
range compression range_bound
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational range compression — 0
Tactical range range — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.50
Transition risk : 0.50
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.70
Snapshot évalué : 04/08 04:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 04/08/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.6194
Score SMA
0.5662
Rank
#4 / 40
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6464
Rank Norm SMA
0.6658
Calculé le
04/08/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6529 r1h: 1.178% · r4h: 1.413% · r1d: 4.90% · r3d: 5.87% · ema21_slope: 0.0973% · dist_ema21: 1.697%
Force Relative 25% 0.6645 rs_1h: 1.187% · rs_4h: 1.627% · rs_1d: 3.23% · rs_3d: 4.89% · beta_24h: 1.225
Volume 20% 0.3933 rvol_20: 1.23× · zscore_50: 0.474 · trend: -16.60%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5250 ADX: 25.8 (trend) · Chop: 61.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.855% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 2.2h) Initial Risk: -2.081% (1.1438)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -0.881% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -0.881% 0.4R 0.0× 24
2.2h ★ +0.029% 0.0R -0.881% 0.4R 0.0× 25
4h +1.414% 0.7R -0.881% 0.4R 1.6× 48
8h +1.514% 0.7R -0.881% 0.4R 1.7× 96
12h +1.514% 0.7R -0.881% 0.4R 1.7× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.69
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
47%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.49 bear_high -4.94% -0.96 03/08 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 42% mid — near 0.0ATR 0.59 range_high -0.42% +0.22 04/08 00:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 45% mid — near -0.4ATR 0.53 range_medium +0.31% +0.20 04/08 03:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind normal bull_low_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 49% late — — — range_low +0.17% +0.12 04/08 03:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 28b — 6.177×ATR p86 -0.076×ATR p6
4h ↑ up mid 11b — 3.279×ATR p55 +0.762×ATR p69
1h ↑ up mid 6b — 2.559×ATR p61 +0.93×ATR p77
15m ↑ up late 4b — 4.035×ATR p80 +2.281×ATR p99

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 53.81616293
  2. tp_price: 56.334
  3. atr: 0.45753483
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-04T14:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 42
  3. score: 0.6529
  4. delta_2h: 0.065
  5. extension_atr: 1.91
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.6464
  9. confidence: 0.952

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
54.96 53.8162 56.334 1.2 88.819
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 54.96
  • Stop Loss: 53.8162
  • Take Profit: 56.334

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 53.8162 - 54.96 = -1.1438

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 54.96 - 56.334 = -1.374

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.374 / -1.1438 = 1.2013

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
384.3904 100 6.994 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -1.1438

Taille de position = 8 / -1.1438 = -6.99

Taille de position USD = -6.99 x 54.96 = -384.17

Donc, tu peux acheter -6.99 avec un stoploss a 53.8162

Avec un position size USD de -384.17$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -6.99 x -1.1438 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -6.99 x -1.374 = 9.6

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 9.6$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -6.99
  • Taille de position USD -384.17
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 9.6
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.2013

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 9.61 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.08 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.38 $ -0.10
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8806 % 42.31 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
54.96 53.8162 56.334 1.2 88.819
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 54.96
  • Stop Loss: 53.8162
  • Take Profit: 56.334

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 53.8162 - 54.96 = -1.1438

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 54.96 - 56.334 = -1.374

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.374 / -1.1438 = 1.2013

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 2.2h) Initial Risk: -2.081% (1.1438)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -0.881% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -0.881% 0.4R 0.0× 24
2.2h ★ +0.029% 0.0R -0.881% 0.4R 0.0× 25
4h +1.414% 0.7R -0.881% 0.4R 1.6× 48
8h +1.514% 0.7R -0.881% 0.4R 1.7× 96
12h +1.514% 0.7R -0.881% 0.4R 1.7× 144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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