Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 4421.58 DOT at 0.832$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8357 (0.43 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8303 (0.22 %)
Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 4421.58 DOT at 0.832$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8357 (0.43 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8303 (0.22 %)
Position
Entry 0.8321$
Qty 4421.5751 DOT
Size 3679.2811$ (margin 100$) (leverage 37)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8357 (+0.43%)
TP $ 15.92$
SL 0.8303 (-0.22%)
SL $ 7.96$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9033
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.51×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.11×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 04/08 07:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.371112 15m : 0.408371 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 04/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 04/08 06:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | range | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6439 | r1h: 0.073% · r4h: 0.400% · r1d: 4.13% · r3d: 9.69% · ema21_slope: 0.1453% · dist_ema21: 0.932% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6140 | rs_1h: -0.025% · rs_4h: 0.425% · rs_1d: 2.68% · rs_3d: 8.72% · beta_24h: 0.820 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3217 | rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: 0.058 · trend: -8.63% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6978 | ADX: 31.8 (trend) · Chop: 46.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.794% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.238% | 1.1R | -0.236% | 1.1R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.238% | 1.1R | -0.642% | 3.0R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.238% | 1.1R | -0.891% | 4.1R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.534% | 7.1R | -0.891% | 4.1R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.426% | 20.5R | -0.891% | 4.1R | 5.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -4.94% | -0.00 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
choppy 47% | late | — | — | 0.73 | range_high | -0.60% | +0.68 | 04/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.65 | range_medium | +0.28% | +0.20 | 04/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_low |
48%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.15% | +0.02 | 04/08 06:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.695×ATR | p13 | +1.09×ATR | p83 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 23b | — | 7.735×ATR | p100 | +1.285×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.611×ATR | p7 | +0.246×ATR | p28 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.437×ATR | p3 | -0.182×ATR | p20 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63662.4
0.000903825
63720
0.371112
63500.1
0.00346258
63720
0.408371
63388.2
0.00567471
63748
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0.84703
190
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0.325
0.2151
0.415
1
0.4179
0.5614
0.7502
0.3198
0.6421
0.883
0.1244
0.1513
1
0.9157
3.3709
0.65
0.35
1
9
1
0.5698
0.5479
3.9765
0.55
2.2136
4.3256
3.3709
0.1838
0.1979
0.52
-0.2883
0.429
0.575
0.8524
0.883
-2.073
15.6432
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:14 | 0.83212000 | +0.002% |
| 2 | 07:26 | 0.83157000 | -0.064% |
| 3 | 08:02 | 0.83105000 | -0.126% |
| 4 | 08:14 | 0.83078000 | -0.159% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 06:10:00 | 0.83796 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 07:20:00 | 0.83008 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 08:00:00 | 0.83667 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 08:30:00 | 0.82969 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 08:50:00 | 0.83787 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 09:30:00 | 0.83796 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 10:05:00 | 0.83794 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 10:30:00 | 0.83195 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 10:45:00 | 0.83652 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 11:10:00 | 0.8319 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 15:00:00 | 0.81419 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:15:00 | 0.82992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 18:45:00 | 0.83152 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:45:00 | 0.81874 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 22:15:00 | 0.82475 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 23:30:00 | 0.82008 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:30:00 | 0.84703 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 08:30:00 | 0.82969 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 09:30:00 | 0.83796 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 11:00:00 | 0.8319 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 0.76058 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 0.78392 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.76317 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 0.79923 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 0.80063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 0.79096 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 03:00:00 | 0.7871 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 0.83152 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 02:00:00 | 0.84703 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 08:00:00 | 0.82969 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8321 | 0.8303 | 0.8357 | 2 | 1.2227 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8303 - 0.8321 = -0.0017999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8321 - 0.8357 = -0.0036
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0036 / -0.0017999999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3679.2811 | 100 | 4421.5751 | 37.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0017999999999999 = -4444.44
Taille de position USD = -4444.44 x 0.8321 = -3698.22
Donc, tu peux acheter -4444.44 avec un stoploss a 0.8303
Avec un position size USD de -3698.22$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4444.44 x -0.0017999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4444.44 x -0.0036 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.43 % | 15.92 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.22 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.96 $ | -0.22 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2355 % | 108.88 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8321 | 0.8303 | 0.8357 | 2 | 1.2227 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8303 - 0.8321 = -0.0017999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8321 - 0.8357 = -0.0036
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0036 / -0.0017999999999999 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.238% | 1.1R | -0.236% | 1.1R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.238% | 1.1R | -0.642% | 3.0R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.238% | 1.1R | -0.891% | 4.1R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.534% | 7.1R | -0.891% | 4.1R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.426% | 20.5R | -0.891% | 4.1R | 5.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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