Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 290.11 AVAX at 6.7$ per unit. Take profit: 6.7552 (0.82 %) & Stop Loss: 6.6724 (0.41 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 290.11 AVAX at 6.7$ per unit. Take profit: 6.7552 (0.82 %) & Stop Loss: 6.6724 (0.41 %)
Position
Entry 6.7$
Qty 290.1087 AVAX
Size 1943.7283$ (margin 100$) (leverage 19)
Risk Setup
TP 6.7552 (+0.82%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 6.6724 (-0.41%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9447
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.14×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.35×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 04/08 10:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.468051 15m : 0.400825 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 04/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 04/08 10:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | range | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5939 | r1h: -0.691% · r4h: -0.664% · r1d: 3.18% · r3d: 6.30% · ema21_slope: 0.2153% · dist_ema21: 0.303% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5034 | rs_1h: -0.864% · rs_4h: -1.324% · rs_1d: 2.16% · rs_3d: 4.80% · beta_24h: 1.487 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3927 | rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: 0.403 · trend: 22.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8335 | ADX: 40.0 (trend) · Chop: 31.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.009% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.827% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.881% | 2.1R | -0.172% | 0.4R | 5.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.881% | 2.1R | -0.172% | 0.4R | 5.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.881% | 2.1R | -0.830% | 2.0R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.881% | 2.1R | -0.830% | 2.0R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.76 | bear_high | -4.96% | +0.29 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.67 | range_high | -0.22% | +0.42 | 04/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.57 | range_medium | +0.45% | +0.26 | 04/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | range_medium |
36%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.25% | -0.09 | 04/08 10:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.456×ATR | p0 | +0.832×ATR | p76 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.888×ATR | p41 | +0.519×ATR | p54 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 3.677×ATR | p81 | -0.415×ATR | p43 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 3.573×ATR | p68 | -1.43×ATR | p87 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63750.6
-0.000605806
63712
0.468051
63603.7
0.00170128
63712
0.400825
63408.4
0.00565485
63767
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6.98
187
0.697
0.6153
0.277
0.1969
0.3425
1
0.2056
0.5921
0.6282
0.844
0.6139
0.7426
0.0809
0.0987
1
0.0273
1.5939
0.45
0.55
1
12
1
0.6063
0.495
8.2937
0.55
2.0504
11.47
1.5939
0
0.2644
0.74
0.4382
0.4669
0.529
0.7591
0.7426
-3.6816
10.6226
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:18 | 6.70000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:24 | 6.70560000 | +0.084% |
| 3 | 10:30 | 6.71950000 | +0.291% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 10:25:00 | 6.7867 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 10:45:00 | 6.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 11:00:00 | 6.7943 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 11:35:00 | 6.7976 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 11:50:00 | 6.8231 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 12:20:00 | 6.7819 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 12:35:00 | 6.8215 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 13:05:00 | 6.8345 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 13:30:00 | 6.7193 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 14:15:00 | 6.7 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 15:45:00 | 6.497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:00:00 | 6.5508 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:30:00 | 6.594 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 6.5455 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:45:00 | 6.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 04:45:00 | 6.9081 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 09:15:00 | 6.7598 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 10:45:00 | 6.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 13:00:00 | 6.8345 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 14:15:00 | 6.7 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 23:00:00 | 6.3783 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 6.4476 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 6.3203 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 6.3858 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 6.0382 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 6.6806 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 18:00:00 | 6.6688 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 6.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:00:00 | 6.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 13:00:00 | 6.7193 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7 | 6.6724 | 6.7552 | 2 | 11.133 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.6724 - 6.7 = -0.027600000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.7 - 6.7552 = -0.0552
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0552 / -0.027600000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1943.7283 | 100 | 290.1087 | 19.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.027600000000001 = -289.86
Taille de position USD = -289.86 x 6.7 = -1942.06
Donc, tu peux acheter -289.86 avec un stoploss a 6.6724
Avec un position size USD de -1942.06$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -289.86 x -0.027600000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -289.86 x -0.0552 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.82 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.41 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.01 $ | 0.82 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7 | 6.6724 | 6.7552 | 2 | 11.133 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.6724 - 6.7 = -0.027600000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.7 - 6.7552 = -0.0552
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0552 / -0.027600000000001 = 2
Array
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[result] => win
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.827% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.881% | 2.1R | -0.172% | 0.4R | 5.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.881% | 2.1R | -0.172% | 0.4R | 5.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.881% | 2.1R | -0.830% | 2.0R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.881% | 2.1R | -0.830% | 2.0R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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