Short Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_score)
With 480.59 ETHFI at 0.36$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.377 (4.61 %)
Short Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_score)
With 480.59 ETHFI at 0.36$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.377 (4.61 %)
Position
Entry 0.3604$
Qty 480.5913 ETHFI
Size 173.1859$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 173.21$
SL 0.377 (-4.61%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4327
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 5.57×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.07×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 04/08 11:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 04/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 04/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | range | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2359 | r1h: -1.561% · r4h: -2.732% · r1d: -6.20% · r3d: -7.82% · ema21_slope: -0.2151% · dist_ema21: -5.068% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1782 | rs_1h: -2.259% · rs_4h: -3.297% · rs_1d: -6.45% · rs_3d: -9.41% · beta_24h: -0.634 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 3.42× · zscore_50: 3.408 · trend: 180.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7685 | ADX: 32.2 (trend) · Chop: 16.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.465% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.541% | 0.1R | -1.246% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.249% | 0.3R | -1.246% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.249% | 0.3R | -1.246% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.249% | 0.3R | -1.709% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.249% | 0.3R | -1.709% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.199% | 0.7R | -1.709% | 0.4R | 1.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.64 | bear_high | -4.96% | -0.85 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.42 | range_high | -0.22% | -0.74 | 04/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 52% | late | — | — | 0.42 | bull_medium_confirmed | +0.96% | -0.70 | 04/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
choppy 55% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.74% | -0.60 | 04/08 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 3.574×ATR | p18 | -0.821×ATR | p79 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 4.539×ATR | p75 | -2.105×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 3.545×ATR | p77 | -2.297×ATR | p98 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 4.312×ATR | p72 | -2.125×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3604 | 0.377 | 0.7699 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.377 - 0.3604 = 0.0166
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3604 - = 0.3604
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3604 / 0.0166 = 21.7108
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 173.1859 | 100 | 480.5913 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0166 = 481.93
Taille de position USD = 481.93 x 0.3604 = 173.69
Donc, tu peux acheter 481.93 avec un stoploss a 0.377
Avec un position size USD de 173.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 481.93 x 0.0166 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 481.93 x 0.3604 = 173.69
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 173.69$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 173.21 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.61 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.79 $ | -1.03 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2458 % | 27.05 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3604 | 0.377 | 0.7699 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.377 - 0.3604 = 0.0166
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3604 - = 0.3604
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3604 / 0.0166 = 21.7108
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.541% | 0.1R | -1.246% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.249% | 0.3R | -1.246% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.249% | 0.3R | -1.246% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.249% | 0.3R | -1.709% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.249% | 0.3R | -1.709% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.199% | 0.7R | -1.709% | 0.4R | 1.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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