Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 420.87 LDO at 0.283$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3016 (6.72 %)
Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 420.87 LDO at 0.283$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3016 (6.72 %)
Position
Entry 0.2826$
Qty 420.8745 LDO
Size 118.9391$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 118.94$
SL 0.3016 (-6.72%)
SL $ 8$
RR
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2163
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 3.24×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.29×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 04/08 11:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 04/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 04/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | range | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1258 | r1h: -6.194% · r4h: -7.088% · r1d: -13.80% · r3d: -16.12% · ema21_slope: -0.3296% · dist_ema21: -10.766% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.0000 | rs_1h: -6.892% · rs_4h: -7.652% · rs_1d: -14.05% · rs_3d: -17.71% · beta_24h: -2.080 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 13.94× · zscore_50: 6.873 · trend: 543.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7836 | ADX: 34.0 (trend) · Chop: 0.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.185% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.214% | 0.2R | -1.217% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.401% | 0.2R | -1.217% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.794% | 0.3R | -1.217% | 0.2R | 1.5× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.794% | 0.3R | -1.217% | 0.2R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.964% | 0.3R | -1.217% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.537% | 0.4R | -1.217% | 0.2R | 2.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.70 | bear_high | -4.96% | -0.92 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.41 | range_high | -0.22% | -0.84 | 04/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
ranging_calm 55% | late | — | — | 0.30 | bull_medium_confirmed | +0.96% | -0.90 | 04/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
45%
|
choppy 59% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.74% | -0.87 | 04/08 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 4.669×ATR | p56 | -1.552×ATR | p95 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 29b | — | 9.675×ATR | p100 | -2.492×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 8.559×ATR | p97 | -3.507×ATR | p100 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 5.169×ATR | p86 | -3.682×ATR | p99 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2826 | 0.3016 | 0.4698 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3016 - 0.2826 = 0.019
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2826 - = 0.2826
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2826 / 0.019 = 14.8737
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118.9391 | 100 | 420.8745 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.019 = 421.05
Taille de position USD = 421.05 x 0.2826 = 118.99
Donc, tu peux acheter 421.05 avec un stoploss a 0.3016
Avec un position size USD de 118.99$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 421.05 x 0.019 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 421.05 x 0.2826 = 118.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 118.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 118.94 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.72 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.76 $ | 0.64 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2173 % | 18.11 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2826 | 0.3016 | 0.4698 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3016 - 0.2826 = 0.019
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2826 - = 0.2826
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2826 / 0.019 = 14.8737
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.214% | 0.2R | -1.217% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.401% | 0.2R | -1.217% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.794% | 0.3R | -1.217% | 0.2R | 1.5× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.794% | 0.3R | -1.217% | 0.2R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.964% | 0.3R | -1.217% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.537% | 0.4R | -1.217% | 0.2R | 2.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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