Long Trade on XMR (BosPullback)
With 2.08 XMR at 361.76$ per unit. Take profit: 371.3832 (2.66 %) & Stop Loss: 357.9107 (1.06 %)
Long Trade on XMR (BosPullback)
With 2.08 XMR at 361.76$ per unit. Take profit: 371.3832 (2.66 %) & Stop Loss: 357.9107 (1.06 %)
Position
Entry 361.76$
Qty 2.0783 XMR
Size 751.8499$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 371.3832 (+2.66%)
TP $ 20$
SL 357.9107 (-1.06%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3682
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.34×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.40×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.02×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 04/08 13:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 04/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 04/08 12:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4694 | r1h: -0.350% · r4h: -0.609% · r1d: -1.26% · r3d: -0.62% · ema21_slope: -0.0148% · dist_ema21: -0.870% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4449 | rs_1h: -0.076% · rs_4h: -0.667% · rs_1d: -1.53% · rs_3d: -2.26% · beta_24h: -0.135 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2263 | rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.711 · trend: -5.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6698 | ADX: 23.9 (weak) · Chop: 41.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.539% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.442% | 0.4R | -0.008% | 0.0R | 53.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.442% | 0.4R | -0.680% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.442% | 0.4R | -2.283% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.442% | 0.4R | -2.900% | 2.7R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.442% | 0.4R | -2.900% | 2.7R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.52 | bear_high | -4.96% | +0.80 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near 0.5ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.38 | range_high | +0.15% | -0.22 | 04/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_medium |
40%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.25 | range_medium | +0.64% | -0.11 | 04/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.40% | -0.09 | 04/08 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.352×ATR | p0 | +0.366×ATR | p44 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 21b | — | 1.807×ATR | p0 | -0.552×ATR | p60 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.442×ATR | p0 | -0.444×ATR | p43 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 1.563×ATR | p6 | -0.268×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
358.15
146
0.3031
0.5972
0.3131
0.2464
0.3676
1
0.1307
0.457
0.3742
0.7607
0.5301
0.6775
-0.1139
-0.0469
0
-0.5547
-0.7376
0.5294
0.4706
-1
3
1
0.5072
0.5211
4.2561
0.55
1.5623
4.9577
-0.7376
0
0.2647
0.82
0.1031
0.5232
0.5189
0
0.6775
-3.4403
7.2266
1
0
0
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358.15
366.18
366.18
358.15
362.39
357.74
360.065
0.5755
367.34
363.49
365.415
0.8436
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 361.76 | 357.9107 | 371.3832 | 2.5 | 537.87 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 357.9107 - 361.76 = -3.8493
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 361.76 - 371.3832 = -9.6232
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.6232 / -3.8493 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 751.8499 | 100 | 2.0783 | 8.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -3.8493 = -2.08
Taille de position USD = -2.08 x 361.76 = -752.46
Donc, tu peux acheter -2.08 avec un stoploss a 357.9107
Avec un position size USD de -752.46$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2.08 x -3.8493 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2.08 x -9.6232 = 20.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.66 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.06 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.06 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1029 % | 103.66 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 361.76 | 357.9107 | 371.3832 | 2.5 | 537.87 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 357.9107 - 361.76 = -3.8493
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 361.76 - 371.3832 = -9.6232
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.6232 / -3.8493 = 2.5
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.442% | 0.4R | -0.008% | 0.0R | 53.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.442% | 0.4R | -0.680% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.442% | 0.4R | -2.283% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.442% | 0.4R | -2.900% | 2.7R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.442% | 0.4R | -2.900% | 2.7R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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