Long Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1122.76 FARTCOIN at 0.138$ per unit. Take profit: 0.156 (12.88 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1311 (5.14 %)
04 Aug 2026 at 17:09:58
hyperliquid
FARTCOIN
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
04 Aug 2026 17:09
→ 05:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1382$
Qty 1122.7629 FARTCOIN
Size 155.1658$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.156 (+12.88%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.1311 (-5.14%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-1.48%
/ -2.3$
MAE -2.94%
MFE +0.62%
0.1R
expires
05 Aug 05:09
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 58661)
#3 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 04/08/2026 17:00
score du 04/08/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5921
Quality Score
0.696
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
04/08 17:02
04/08 17:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#3 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.14 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.14 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.30×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 12.24×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 04/08 17:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 04/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 04/08 16:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1293
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué :
04/08 17:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
04/08/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.6959
Score SMA
0.5688
Rank
#3
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5921
Rank Norm SMA
0.6817
Calculé le
04/08/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6670 | r1h: 0.672% · r4h: 4.980% · r1d: 3.17% · r3d: 7.55% · ema21_slope: 0.0593% · dist_ema21: 3.167% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6750 | rs_1h: 0.424% · rs_4h: 4.295% · rs_1d: 2.23% · rs_3d: 4.80% · beta_24h: 1.567 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6058 | rvol_20: 1.64× · zscore_50: 0.924 · trend: 71.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7059 | ADX: 25.4 (trend) · Chop: 38.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.476% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.138%
(0.0071)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.622% | 0.1R | -0.861% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.622% | 0.1R | -1.599% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.622% | 0.1R | -2.938% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.622% | 0.1R | -2.938% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.622% | 0.1R | -2.938% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.622% | 0.1R | -5.029% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.44
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -4.55% | -0.81 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.65 | range_high | +0.38% | +0.29 | 04/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.64 | bull_medium | +1.26% | +0.27 | 04/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
68%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | bull_low | +0.83% | +0.34 | 04/08 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 32b | — | 5.31×ATR | p73 | +0.518×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 3.038×ATR | p37 | +0.93×ATR | p78 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 3.899×ATR | p90 | +1.776×ATR | p95 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.959×ATR | p24 | +1.079×ATR | p77 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7269
- reason: up_bo width=1.81×ATR dur=30b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.13107472
- tp_price: 0.15601321
- atr:
- score: 0.72692609942208
- expires_at: 2026-08-05T09:09:51.042819
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.72692609942208
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.078
- obi_top10 : 0.0096
- micro_price : 0.13760371
- spread_pct : 0.072674
- mid_price : 0.13765
- bid_wall_price : 0.137
- bid_wall_size : 1299497.96
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.138
- ask_wall_size : 1220005.6
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0718
- obi_top5_std : 0.0073
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6940
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.13314
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.12942
- balance_zone_mid:
0.13128
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785772800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785877200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.8121
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
30
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7269
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785870000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.13314
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.4649
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00205283 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
30
inside_close_ratio
0.8
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
2.4649
Signaux confirmants (25)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:09 | 0.13820000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:16 | 0.13820000 | 0% |
| 3 | 17:22 | 0.13817000 | -0.022% |
| 4 | 17:27 | 0.13817000 | -0.022% |
| 5 | 17:34 | 0.13817000 | -0.022% |
| 6 | 17:39 | 0.13854000 | +0.246% |
| 7 | 17:45 | 0.13854000 | +0.246% |
| 8 | 17:51 | 0.13792000 | -0.203% |
| 9 | 17:57 | 0.13792000 | -0.203% |
| 10 | 18:05 | 0.13792000 | -0.203% |
| 11 | 18:09 | 0.13746000 | -0.535% |
| 12 | 18:16 | 0.13746000 | -0.535% |
| 13 | 18:21 | 0.13713000 | -0.774% |
| 14 | 18:27 | 0.13713000 | -0.774% |
| 15 | 18:34 | 0.13713000 | -0.774% |
| 16 | 18:39 | 0.13651000 | -1.223% |
| 17 | 18:45 | 0.13651000 | -1.223% |
| 18 | 18:51 | 0.13630000 | -1.375% |
| 19 | 18:57 | 0.13630000 | -1.375% |
| 20 | 19:04 | 0.13630000 | -1.375% |
| 21 | 19:09 | 0.13667000 | -1.107% |
| 22 | 19:15 | 0.13667000 | -1.107% |
| 23 | 19:21 | 0.13701000 | -0.861% |
| 24 | 19:27 | 0.13701000 | -0.861% |
| 25 | 19:34 | 0.13701000 | -0.861% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6940ms
Confidence avant OB :
73%
→
73%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.078
avg 0.072
± 0.007
OBI Top 10
0.010
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1377
Micro Price
0.1376
Spread
0.0727%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1370
Size
1,299,497.96
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1380
Size
1,220,005.60
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1382 | 0.1311 | 0.156 | 2.51 | 0.1908 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1382
- Stop Loss: 0.1311
- Take Profit: 0.156
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1311 - 0.1382 = -0.0071
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1382 - 0.156 = -0.0178
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0178 / -0.0071 = 2.507
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155.1658 | 100 | 1122.7629 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0071
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0071 = -1126.76
Taille de position USD = -1126.76 x 0.1382 = -155.72
Donc, tu peux acheter -1126.76 avec un stoploss a 0.1311
Avec un position size USD de -155.72$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1126.76 x -0.0071 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1126.76 x -0.0178 = 20.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.06$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1126.76
- Taille de position USD -155.72
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.06
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.507
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 12.88 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.14 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.3 $ | -1.48 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.9378 % | 57.18 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1382 | 0.1311 | 0.156 | 2.51 | 0.1908 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1382
- Stop Loss: 0.1311
- Take Profit: 0.156
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1311 - 0.1382 = -0.0071
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1382 - 0.156 = -0.0178
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0178 / -0.0071 = 2.507
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.138%
(0.0071)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.622% | 0.1R | -0.861% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.622% | 0.1R | -1.599% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.622% | 0.1R | -2.938% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.622% | 0.1R | -2.938% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.622% | 0.1R | -2.938% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.622% | 0.1R | -5.029% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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