Long Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1980.36 FARTCOIN at 0.135$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1452 (7.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1311 (2.96 %)
04 Aug 2026 at 19:39:56
hyperliquid
FARTCOIN
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
04 Aug 2026 19:39
→ 07:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1351$
Qty 1980.3598 FARTCOIN
Size 267.5664$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1452 (+7.48%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.1311 (-2.96%)
SL $ 7.92$
RR 2.53
Status
win
PnL
+0.47%
/ +1.27$
MAE -0.71%
MFE +1.70%
0.6R
expires
05 Aug 07:39
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 58751)
#6 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 04/08/2026 19:00
score du 04/08/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7609
Quality Score
0.607
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
04/08 19:31
04/08 19:31
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#6 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.01×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 12.24×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 04/08 19:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 04/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 04/08 19:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
04/08/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.6068
Score SMA
0.5761
Rank
#6
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7609
Rank Norm SMA
0.6991
Calculé le
04/08/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6251 | r1h: -1.081% · r4h: 2.551% · r1d: 3.56% · r3d: 7.97% · ema21_slope: 0.1109% · dist_ema21: 2.387% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5898 | rs_1h: -1.119% · rs_4h: 2.677% · rs_1d: 2.61% · rs_3d: 5.77% · beta_24h: 1.477 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3077 | rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: -0.432 · trend: 35.80% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7350 | ADX: 28.2 (trend) · Chop: 33.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.521% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.961%
(0.0040)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.540% | 0.2R | -0.429% | 0.1R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.540% | 0.2R | -0.711% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.192% | 0.4R | -0.711% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.695% | 0.6R | -0.711% | 0.2R | 2.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.695% | 0.6R | -0.711% | 0.2R | 2.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.695% | 0.6R | -2.850% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.79
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -4.55% | -0.81 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.65 | range_high | +0.65% | +0.33 | 04/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.63 | bull_medium | +1.26% | +0.18 | 04/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -1.3ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.38% | +0.21 | 04/08 19:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 32b | — | 5.31×ATR | p73 | +0.518×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 3.086×ATR | p41 | +1.075×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.189×ATR | p0 | +0.839×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 3.145×ATR | p65 | -0.772×ATR | p63 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7413
- reason: up_bo width=1.77×ATR dur=32b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.13107033
- tp_price: 0.14520918
- atr:
- score: 0.7413495490492
- expires_at: 2026-08-05T11:39:49.312114
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.7413495490492
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1077
- obi_top10 : 0.1124
- micro_price : 0.134916
- spread_pct : 0.074129
- mid_price : 0.13495
- bid_wall_price : 0.134
- bid_wall_size : 2583631.46
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.136
- ask_wall_size : 2007130.86
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1077
- obi_top5_std : 0
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6989
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.13314
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.12942
- balance_zone_mid:
0.13128
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785772800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785884400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.7742
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
32
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7413
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785870000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.13314
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.75
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
4
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.9396
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00209672 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
32
inside_close_ratio
0.75
bars_since_breakout
4
distance_to_edge_atr
0.9396
Signaux confirmants (61)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:39 | 0.13511000 | +0.007% |
| 2 | 19:45 | 0.13511000 | +0.007% |
| 3 | 19:51 | 0.13531000 | +0.155% |
| 4 | 19:57 | 0.13531000 | +0.155% |
| 5 | 20:05 | 0.13531000 | +0.155% |
| 6 | 20:10 | 0.13464000 | -0.34% |
| 7 | 20:16 | 0.13464000 | -0.34% |
| 8 | 20:21 | 0.13496000 | -0.104% |
| 9 | 20:27 | 0.13496000 | -0.104% |
| 10 | 20:34 | 0.13496000 | -0.104% |
| 11 | 20:39 | 0.13530000 | +0.148% |
| 12 | 20:45 | 0.13530000 | +0.148% |
| 13 | 20:51 | 0.13465000 | -0.333% |
| 14 | 20:57 | 0.13465000 | -0.333% |
| 15 | 21:04 | 0.13465000 | -0.333% |
| 16 | 21:09 | 0.13443000 | -0.496% |
| 17 | 21:16 | 0.13443000 | -0.496% |
| 18 | 21:21 | 0.13442000 | -0.503% |
| 19 | 21:27 | 0.13442000 | -0.503% |
| 20 | 21:34 | 0.13442000 | -0.503% |
| 21 | 21:39 | 0.13497000 | -0.096% |
| 22 | 21:45 | 0.13497000 | -0.096% |
| 23 | 21:51 | 0.13572000 | +0.459% |
| 24 | 21:57 | 0.13572000 | +0.459% |
| 25 | 22:04 | 0.13572000 | +0.459% |
| 26 | 22:09 | 0.13615000 | +0.777% |
| 27 | 22:15 | 0.13615000 | +0.777% |
| 28 | 22:21 | 0.13646000 | +1.007% |
| 29 | 22:27 | 0.13646000 | +1.007% |
| 30 | 22:34 | 0.13646000 | +1.007% |
| 31 | 22:39 | 0.13658000 | +1.095% |
| 32 | 22:45 | 0.13658000 | +1.095% |
| 33 | 22:51 | 0.13647000 | +1.014% |
| 34 | 22:57 | 0.13647000 | +1.014% |
| 35 | 23:05 | 0.13647000 | +1.014% |
| 36 | 23:09 | 0.13632000 | +0.903% |
| 37 | 23:15 | 0.13632000 | +0.903% |
| 38 | 23:21 | 0.13604000 | +0.696% |
| 39 | 23:27 | 0.13604000 | +0.696% |
| 40 | 23:34 | 0.13604000 | +0.696% |
| 41 | 23:39 | 0.13518000 | +0.059% |
| 42 | 23:45 | 0.13518000 | +0.059% |
| 43 | 23:51 | 0.13478000 | -0.237% |
| 44 | 23:57 | 0.13478000 | -0.237% |
| 45 | 00:04 | 0.13478000 | -0.237% |
| 46 | 00:09 | 0.13474000 | -0.266% |
| 47 | 00:16 | 0.13474000 | -0.266% |
| 48 | 00:21 | 0.13444000 | -0.489% |
| 49 | 00:27 | 0.13444000 | -0.489% |
| 50 | 00:34 | 0.13444000 | -0.489% |
| 51 | 00:39 | 0.13459000 | -0.377% |
| 52 | 00:45 | 0.13459000 | -0.377% |
| 53 | 00:51 | 0.13527000 | +0.126% |
| 54 | 00:57 | 0.13527000 | +0.126% |
| 55 | 01:04 | 0.13527000 | +0.126% |
| 56 | 01:09 | 0.13629000 | +0.881% |
| 57 | 01:15 | 0.13629000 | +0.881% |
| 58 | 01:21 | 0.13630000 | +0.888% |
| 59 | 01:27 | 0.13630000 | +0.888% |
| 60 | 01:33 | 0.13630000 | +0.888% |
| 61 | 01:39 | 0.13586000 | +0.563% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6989ms
Confidence avant OB :
74%
→
74%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.108
avg 0.108
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.112
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1350
Micro Price
0.1349
Spread
0.0741%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1340
Size
2,583,631.46
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1360
Size
2,007,130.86
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1351 | 0.1311 | 0.1452 | 2.53 | 0.1941 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1351
- Stop Loss: 0.1311
- Take Profit: 0.1452
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1311 - 0.1351 = -0.004
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1351 - 0.1452 = -0.0101
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0101 / -0.004 = 2.525
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 267.5664 | 100 | 1980.3598 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.004
Taille de position = 8 / -0.004 = -2000
Taille de position USD = -2000 x 0.1351 = -270.2
Donc, tu peux acheter -2000 avec un stoploss a 0.1311
Avec un position size USD de -270.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2000 x -0.004 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2000 x -0.0101 = 20.2
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.2$
Résumé
- Taille de position -2000
- Taille de position USD -270.2
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.2
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.525
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.48 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.96 % | 7.92 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.27 $ | 0.47 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7106 % | 24 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1351 | 0.1311 | 0.1452 | 2.53 | 0.1941 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1351
- Stop Loss: 0.1311
- Take Profit: 0.1452
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1311 - 0.1351 = -0.004
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1351 - 0.1452 = -0.0101
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0101 / -0.004 = 2.525
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.961%
(0.0040)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.540% | 0.2R | -0.429% | 0.1R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.540% | 0.2R | -0.711% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.192% | 0.4R | -0.711% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.695% | 0.6R | -0.711% | 0.2R | 2.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.695% | 0.6R | -0.711% | 0.2R | 2.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.695% | 0.6R | -2.850% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.