Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 30222.89 XPL at 0.0779$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07845 (0.68 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07766 (0.33 %)
Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 30222.89 XPL at 0.0779$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07845 (0.68 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07766 (0.33 %)
Position
Entry 0.07792$
Qty 30222.8938 XPL
Size 2355.0283$ (margin 100$) (leverage 24)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07845 (+0.68%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 0.07766 (-0.33%)
SL $ 7.86$
RR 2.04
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7617
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.76×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 7.71×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.04×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 04/08 19:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.578051 15m : 0.532449 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 04/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 04/08 19:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5779 | r1h: 0.452% · r4h: 0.774% · r1d: 2.18% · r3d: 4.15% · ema21_slope: 0.0765% · dist_ema21: 1.373% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5675 | rs_1h: 0.414% · rs_4h: 0.900% · rs_1d: 1.22% · rs_3d: 1.95% · beta_24h: 1.123 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2063 | rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.690 · trend: -10.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7201 | ADX: 38.3 (trend) · Chop: 50.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.019% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.846% | 2.5R | -0.040% | 0.1R | 21.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.847% | 2.5R | -0.254% | 0.8R | 3.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.804% | 5.4R | -0.254% | 0.8R | 7.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.573% | 7.7R | -0.254% | 0.8R | 10.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.573% | 7.7R | -0.254% | 0.8R | 10.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | — | — | 0.54 | bear_high | -4.55% | -0.91 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.40 | range_high | +0.65% | +0.26 | 04/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.53 | bull_medium | +0.91% | +0.04 | 04/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.51 | range_low | +0.39% | +0.03 | 04/08 19:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 31b | — | 6.407×ATR | p86 | -0.034×ATR | p3 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 19b | — | 3.912×ATR | p77 | +0.918×ATR | p82 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 2.44×ATR | p44 | -0.014×ATR | p1 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.726×ATR | p3 | -0.463×ATR | p48 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64178.5
-0.00164534
64073
0.578051
63929.6
0.00310288
64128
0.532449
63435.6
0.0116388
64174
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0.4922
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0.8075
0.5455
0.8826
0.1219
0.0767
1
0.6341
1.4178
0.5
0.5
-1
9
1
0.6035
0.3707
2.5302
0.55
1.2521
2.3887
1.4178
0.496
0.3148
0.8
0.1913
0.4271
0.5033
0.7463
0.8826
-0.9338
7.0177
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 16:55:00 | 0.077049 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 19:10:00 | 0.078461 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 19:30:00 | 0.077861 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 19:40:00 | 0.079029 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 20:15:00 | 0.078058 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 20:45:00 | 0.078944 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 21:30:00 | 0.078214 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 22:20:00 | 0.078141 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 23:05:00 | 0.078872 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 23:55:00 | 0.077798 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 03:15:00 | 0.076865 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 06:30:00 | 0.078269 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 09:30:00 | 0.07653 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 10:45:00 | 0.07793 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 12:30:00 | 0.076664 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 14:15:00 | 0.076177 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 15:00:00 | 0.078081 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 19:30:00 | 0.079029 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 23:00:00 | 0.078872 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 23:30:00 | 0.078113 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 03:00:00 | 0.077421 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:00:00 | 0.0757 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 0.077364 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 02:00:00 | 0.074475 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 0.074279 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:00:00 | 0.077422 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:00:00 | 0.076282 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 06:00:00 | 0.078269 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 14:00:00 | 0.076177 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 19:00:00 | 0.079029 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07792 | 0.07766 | 0.07845 | 2.04 | 0.1133 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07766 - 0.07792 = -0.00026
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07792 - 0.07845 = -0.00053
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00053 / -0.00026 = 2.0385
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2355.0283 | 100 | 30222.8938 | 24.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00026 = -30769.23
Taille de position USD = -30769.23 x 0.07792 = -2397.54
Donc, tu peux acheter -30769.23 avec un stoploss a 0.07766
Avec un position size USD de -2397.54$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -30769.23 x -0.00026 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -30769.23 x -0.00053 = 16.31
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.31$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.68 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 7.86 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.02 $ | 0.68 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0398 % | 11.93 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07792 | 0.07766 | 0.07845 | 2.04 | 0.1133 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07766 - 0.07792 = -0.00026
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07792 - 0.07845 = -0.00053
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00053 / -0.00026 = 2.0385
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.846% | 2.5R | -0.040% | 0.1R | 21.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.847% | 2.5R | -0.254% | 0.8R | 3.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.804% | 5.4R | -0.254% | 0.8R | 7.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.573% | 7.7R | -0.254% | 0.8R | 10.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.573% | 7.7R | -0.254% | 0.8R | 10.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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