Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 521.56 LDO at 0.28$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2949 (5.47 %)
04 Aug 2026 at 20:10:05
hyperliquid
LDO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
04 Aug 2026 20:10
→ 23:05
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.2796$
Qty 521.5607 LDO
Size 145.8336$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 145.83$
SL 0.2949 (-5.47%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR
Status
loss
PnL
-0.60%
/ -0.87$
MAE -1.57%
MFE +1.49%
0.3R
expires
04 Aug 23:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 58775)
#43 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 04/08/2026 20:00
score du 04/08/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0200
Quality Score
0.410
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
9.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
04/08 20:00
04/08 20:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#43 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#43 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.20×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.45×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 04/08 20:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 04/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 04/08 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1296
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué :
04/08 20:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
04/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4097
Score SMA
0.4379
Rank
#43
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0200
Rank Norm SMA
0.0919
Calculé le
04/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2209 | r1h: -0.259% · r4h: 0.493% · r1d: -14.68% · r3d: -13.61% · ema21_slope: -0.6864% · dist_ema21: -4.590% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2548 | rs_1h: -0.153% · rs_4h: 0.537% · rs_1d: -15.76% · rs_3d: -15.81% · beta_24h: -1.001 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1939 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -0.211 · trend: -44.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9397 | ADX: 52.8 (trend) · Chop: 21.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.881% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -5.472%
(0.0153)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.420% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.491% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.491% | 0.3R | -1.574% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.491% | 0.3R | -1.574% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.491% | 0.3R | -6.402% | 1.2R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.491% | 0.3R | -7.046% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.2
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.69 | bear_high | -4.55% | -0.98 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.39 | range_high | +0.65% | -0.93 | 04/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
48%
|
choppy 52% | early | — | — | 0.36 | bull_medium | +0.91% | -0.92 | 04/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | weak | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.25 | range_low | +0.41% | -0.03 | 04/08 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 5.078×ATR | p56 | -2.037×ATR | p99 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 31b | — | 10.252×ATR | p100 | -2.139×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 0.966×ATR | p0 | -0.344×ATR | p28 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.062×ATR | p10 | +0.333×ATR | p30 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2796 | 0.2949 | 0.4903 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2796
- Stop Loss: 0.2949
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2949 - 0.2796 = 0.0153
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2796 - = 0.2796
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2796 / 0.0153 = 18.2745
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 145.8336 | 100 | 521.5607 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0153
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0153 = 522.88
Taille de position USD = 522.88 x 0.2796 = 146.2
Donc, tu peux acheter 522.88 avec un stoploss a 0.2949
Avec un position size USD de 146.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 522.88 x 0.0153 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 522.88 x 0.2796 = 146.2
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 146.2$
Résumé
- Taille de position 522.88
- Taille de position USD 146.2
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 146.2
- Risk-Reward Ratio 18.2745
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 145.83 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.47 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.87 $ | -0.60 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9406 % | 17.19 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2796 | 0.2949 | 0.4903 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2796
- Stop Loss: 0.2949
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2949 - 0.2796 = 0.0153
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2796 - = 0.2796
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2796 / 0.0153 = 18.2745
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -5.472%
(0.0153)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.420% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.491% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.491% | 0.3R | -1.574% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.491% | 0.3R | -1.574% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.491% | 0.3R | -6.402% | 1.2R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.491% | 0.3R | -7.046% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.